ParisLongchamp 15:05 RESULTED
Group 1 4 Oct 2026

Sunday 4 October Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe

ParisLongchamp — Group 1 · 2,400 metres

Mr Fox tips Minnie Hauk 25/1 Read the verdict
2,400 metresDistance
€5 millionPrize Fund
1 cub picking Leading: Daryz (100%) Join the pack
Official Result

Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe

Confirmed
  1. Winner Daryz Mickael Barzalona · F-H Graffard
    6/5
  2. 38/1
  3. 139/10
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
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15:05–15:05 · 1 race

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Settled
  • 16 declared
  • 1 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Comment
1
Daryz
Age 4 · 9-5
1-1131
Mickael Barzalona
F-H Graffard
—
131
138
4
9-5
★★★★☆
1
15/8
SR 131 backed by market confidence at 15/8 — a genuine contender.
AI verdict

SR 131 backed by market confidence at 15/8 — a genuine contender.

2
Saddadd
Age 4 · 9-5
3-1341
Ray Dawson
Roger Varian
—
94
128
4
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1
SR 94 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 94 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Chestnut Rocket
Age 4 · 9-5
-26512
Marvin Grandin
Alicja Karkosa
—
87
125
4
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
300/1
SR 87 suggests ability but 300/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 300/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Admire Terra
Age 5 · 9-5
P0-139
Cristian Demuro
Yasuo Tomomichi
—
88
129
5
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
80/1
SR 88 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
★
Meisho Tabaru
Age 5 · 9-5
160-21
Yutaka Take
Mamoru Ishibashi
—
96
133
5
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1
SR 96 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 96 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Arrow Eagle
Age 5 · 9-5
61-473
Ioritz Mendizabal
J-C Rouget
—
89
128
5
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
150/1
SR 89 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Bay City Roller
Age 4 · 9-5
1-2212
Oisin Murphy
George Scott
—
101
134
4
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1
SR 101 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 101 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Minnie Hauk
Age 4 · 9-2
-15283
William Buick
A P O'Brien
—
111
137
4
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1
SR 111 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 111 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Kalpana
Age 5 · 9-2
1-1211
Colin Keane
Andrew Balding
—
127
136
5
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
5/1
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Friendly Soul
Age 5 · 9-2
1/P321
James Doyle
John & Thady Gosden
—
92
130
5
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1
SR 92 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
★
Varandir
Age 3 · 8-13
11141
Clement Lecoeuvre
F-H Graffard
—
117
128
3
8-13
★★★☆☆
—
10/1
SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Benvenuto Cellini
Age 3 · 8-13
-1V135
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
—
107
132
3
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1
SR 107 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 107 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Bright Light
Age 3 · 8-13
124523
Benjamin Marie
Andreas Suborics
—
81
121
3
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
150/1
SR 81 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Maltese Cross
Age 3 · 8-13
-11211
Tom Marquand
William Haggas
—
124
133
3
8-13
★★★☆☆
—
7/1
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

15
Thundering On
Age 3 · 8-9
-21141
Pierre-Charles Boudot
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
—
122
132
3
8-9
★★★☆☆
—
10/1
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

16
Diamond Necklace
Age 3 · 8-9
1-1112
Christophe Soumillon
A P O'Brien
—
118
136
3
8-9
★★★☆☆
—
14/1
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Daryz

Live signal

Daryz owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (73) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 F-H Graffard Mickael Barzalona
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Kalpana

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Andrew Balding
✓ Value Signal

Minnie Hauk

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · A P O'Brien
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
73 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +27.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Daryz
64.7 15/8
2 9. Kalpana
64.3 5/1
3 14. Maltese Cross
63.4 7/1
4 15. Thundering On
61.0 10/1
5 16. Diamond Necklace
58.1 14/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick, the Fox's call and the AI view — all on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting closed

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🦊 Mr Fox
Minnie Hauk
Experience over noise

The benchmark pick. If you beat the Fox, you're ahead of the field.

See full Fox reasoning →
🤖 AI view
Daryz
2 of 3 agree

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
Crowd leader Daryz is carrying 100% of the Cub vote right now.
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
1

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 9-5
15/8
J: Mickael Barzalona
T: F-H Graffard
★★★★☆ SR 131 🐾 1

SR 131 backed by market confidence at 15/8 — a genuine contender.

9
Age 5 · 9-2
5/1
J: Colin Keane
T: Andrew Balding
★★★☆☆ SR 127 🐾 —

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Age 3 · 8-13
7/1
J: Tom Marquand
T: William Haggas
★★★☆☆ SR 124 🐾 —

SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 3 · 8-13
10/1
J: Clement Lecoeuvre
T: F-H Graffard
★★★☆☆ SR 117 🐾 —

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

15
Age 3 · 8-9
10/1
J: Pierre-Charles Boudot
T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien
★★★☆☆ SR 122 🐾 —

SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

16
Age 3 · 8-9
14/1
J: Christophe Soumillon
T: A P O'Brien
★★★☆☆ SR 118 🐾 —

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 3 · 8-13
16/1
J: Ryan Moore
T: A P O'Brien
★★☆☆☆ SR 107 🐾 —

SR 107 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Three engines. Independent analysis.

Claude
Daryz

Daryz owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (77) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

ChatGPT
Daryz

Daryz owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Favourite Focus lens likes the blend of SR strength (77) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

Gemini
Admire Terra

Admire Terra owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Value Hunter lens likes the blend of SR strength (72) and market confidence (0). There is still enough pricing upside to keep the pick from looking overexposed. The profile is live enough to win even with more instability in the simulation.

🦊 Mr Fox's SelectionMinnie HaukFull analysis →

This is where Cubs make their call. This is where the Fox sharpens his edge. This is where the race is decided — before it's run.

🗺 The Course Group 1

2,400 metres Distance to cover
Good Expected going
16 Confirmed runners
ParisLongchamp Track and setting
Group 1 Race grade