Fit after 30 days off, Good World has run over today's trip and on this going, and he won five starts back before a fourth two runs ago, a seventh last time out. He carries 168 lb off a mark of 100, but our figures of 105 rank him second, which makes him our pick on overall profile.
Form last 61P-047
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
78SR105RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Our rating of 101 ranks him third of 14 and sits above his official mark of 97, while he has run on today's going before and carries 165 lb. The risk is a poor recent run, unplaced in each of his last three starts and 61 days off.
Form last 63800-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
69SR101RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Won last time out and again four starts back, with a third three starts back, so James The Brave arrives in good heart, and he has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 105 ranks him top of 14. The main risk is a 177-day layoff, with 165 lb to carry.
Form last 6P13F1-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR105RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Fifth last time out and a fourth six starts back show Coolboy Christy is not far off, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 100 ranks him fourth of 14. The risk is that he is yet to win in his last six starts and carries 163 lb after 46 days off.
Form last 6484505
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR100RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Lakewood Rose unseated last time out, 9 days ago, after a pair of sevenths, though a third four starts back shows she has more to offer, and she has run over today's trip and on this going. Carrying 163 lb off 95, she is rated 99 by us, fifth of 14, so she sits mid-pack.
Form last 6-4377U
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR99RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Monntie is hard to fancy, winless in her last four and beaten into fifth on each of her last two outings, with a fourth three starts back, and she is rated 11th of 14 on our figures. She has run on today's going and was second four starts back, but 161 lb after 37 days off is a big ask.
Form last 62-455
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR88RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Seventh last time out and back quickly after nine days, Inchidaly Copper has run over today's trip and going, and a third four starts back shows some ability. Yet he is winless in his last five and carries 158 lb off 90, while our rating of 98 hints at a little more.
Form last 6-83P07
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
71SR98RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
King's Son was fifth last time out and hasn't been closer than a third five starts back, so he's yet to win in his last five, though he has run on today's going before. A 34-day break and 157 lb are against him, and our rating of 90 only edges his official 89.
Form last 6-36675
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR90RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Political Stance is winless in his last five and unplaced in his last two, though a second four starts back shows he has ability, and he has run over today's trip and going before after 23 days off. Carrying 157 lb off an official mark of 89 is a stiff ask, even if our rating of 94 ranks him seventh of 14.
Form last 672P-00
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR94RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prophetess Miriam has finished eighth, ninth, ninth and eighth in her last four runs, with a fourth five starts back the best of her recent form, and she is yet to win in that spell. She has run on today's going and is fresh from a 15-day break, while 156 lb is a stiff burden off 88.
Form last 64-8998
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR91RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five, Ballyminnion Boy was sixth last time out 41 days ago, with nothing better than an eighth before that, so he is hard to fancy under 154 lb. He has run over today's trip and going before, which is about the best that can be said, and our rating of 87 ranks him 13th of 14.
Form last 6-00806
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR87RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Blackwater Soldier arrives winless in his last five, with an eighth last time out and a ninth two starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns after 41 days off. Carrying 150 lb off an official mark of 82 is a stiff ask, even if our rating of 89 ranks him tenth of 14.
Form last 66009/8
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR89RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mane Attraction is hard to fancy, winless in his last four with an unplaced effort last time out, a sixth two starts back and an eighth four starts back, and he returns after 391 days off. He has run on today's going and our rating has him last of 14, though 150 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 6/8060-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR81RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in his last six outings, Tedworth is hard to fancy: he was fourth last time out, but before that came a pulled up, a fourth three starts back, a seventh and an unseated rider. Back out just three days later under 149 lb, he has run over today's trip and going, though our rating ranks him 12th of 14.
Form last 64U74P4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR87RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
James The Brave owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1Padraig ButlerMichael Kenneally(5)
76%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Coolboy Christy
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/1 · P J Rothwell✓ Value Signal
Mane Attraction
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Norman Lee◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
James The Brave (SR 100, 5/2) is the clear class standout in this field — his SR of 100 is 19 points clear of the next best, Tedworth at 81, in what is a workmanlike lower-tier handicap hurdle. He carries 11-11 which is not onerous by top-weight standards, and his MarkMv:-6 means he is running off a mark 6lb lower than his last win, a significant advantage. Course:W1P1 at Killarney confirms he handles this track, and the market has backed that confidence with a 10% tightening since opening. The 177-day absence is a flag, but trainer Padraig Butler's 11% strike rate is solid for a small yard, and the form string P13F1 reads as a horse who had a fall mid-season but returned to win — the rightmost finish is a win, so he arrives here in form. The main risk is the GoingFit:? — no established record on good ground — but the course form and class superiority outweigh that uncertainty.
Each-way alternative: Tedworth.
Main danger: Tedworth — Tedworth (SR 81, 5/1) has steamed 12% in the market, ran just 3 days ago showing trainer confidence in a quick turnaround, and at 10-9 carries 16lb less than James The Brave — that weight concession over 2m6f on good ground could narrow the class gap significantly.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
177-day absence is a serious flag: the form string shows 'P13F1-' where the dash indicates he has not run since that win, and a 6-month layoff for a small yard (11% SR, only 72 runners) with no recor…
GoingFit:? on good ground at Killarney in October is a genuine unknown — his course form (W1P1) may have been achieved on different ground, and there is no established evidence he handles a quicker s…
Apprentice jockey Michael Kenneally (5lb claim, 10% SR over 456 rides) is an unremarkable booking for the class standout in the race — a horse of his calibre returning from layoff arguably warrants a…
Tedworth (SR:81, 5/1) has had only 3 days since last run and is race-sharp, carrying 3lb less than James The Brave and showing a market move in of 12% — a fresh, fit rival at a significant weight adv…
ShortlistJames The Brave, Tedworth, Blackwater Soldier, King's Son