Killarney 15:20 RESULTED
4 Oct 2026

Sunday 4 October Gleneagle Group Handicap Hurdle

Gleneagle Group Handicap Hurdle · 2m6f180y

Official Result

Gleneagle Group Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner James The Brave (IRE) Michael Kenneally · Padraig Butler
    3/1F
  2. 11/2
  3. 33/1
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  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Good World silks
Good World
Age 11 · 12-0
1P-047
100
78
105
11
12-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 8/1 14/1
Fit after 30 days off, Good World has run over today's trip and on this going, and he won five starts back before a fourth two runs ago, a seventh last time out. He carries 168 lb off a mark of 100, but our figures of 105 rank him second, which makes him our pick on overall profile.
AI verdict

SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

2
It's Not His Fault silks
It's Not His Fault
Age 5 · 11-11
3800-0
97
69
101
5
11-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 16/1 18/1
Our rating of 101 ranks him third of 14 and sits above his official mark of 97, while he has run on today's going before and carries 165 lb. The risk is a poor recent run, unplaced in each of his last three starts and 61 days off.
AI verdict

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

3
James The Brave silks
James The Brave
Age 6 · 11-11
P13F1-
97
100
105
6
11-11
★★★☆☆
—
2/1 11/4 32/17
Won last time out and again four starts back, with a third three starts back, so James The Brave arrives in good heart, and he has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 105 ranks him top of 14. The main risk is a 177-day layoff, with 165 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Coolboy Christy silks
Coolboy Christy
Age 5 · 11-9
484505
95
85
100
5
11-9
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 7/1 9/1
Fifth last time out and a fourth six starts back show Coolboy Christy is not far off, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 100 ranks him fourth of 14. The risk is that he is yet to win in his last six starts and carries 163 lb after 46 days off.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Lakewood Rose silks
Lakewood Rose
Age 8 · 11-9
-4377U
95
76
99
8
11-9
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 7/1 20/1
Lakewood Rose unseated last time out, 9 days ago, after a pair of sevenths, though a third four starts back shows she has more to offer, and she has run over today's trip and on this going. Carrying 163 lb off 95, she is rated 99 by us, fifth of 14, so she sits mid-pack.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Monntie silks
Monntie
Age 4 · 11-7
2-455
95
65
88
4
11-7
★★☆☆☆
—
SP FCST 12/1
Monntie is hard to fancy, winless in her last four and beaten into fifth on each of her last two outings, with a fourth three starts back, and she is rated 11th of 14 on our figures. She has run on today's going and was second four starts back, but 161 lb after 37 days off is a big ask.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Inchidaly Copper silks
Inchidaly Copper
Age 10 · 11-4
-83P07
90
71
98
10
11-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 16/1 11/1
Seventh last time out and back quickly after nine days, Inchidaly Copper has run over today's trip and going, and a third four starts back shows some ability. Yet he is winless in his last five and carries 158 lb off 90, while our rating of 98 hints at a little more.
AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

8
King's Son silks
King's Son
Age 6 · 11-3
-36675
89
80
90
6
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 13/2 10/1
King's Son was fifth last time out and hasn't been closer than a third five starts back, so he's yet to win in his last five, though he has run on today's going before. A 34-day break and 157 lb are against him, and our rating of 90 only edges his official 89.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Political Stance silks
Political Stance
Age 6 · 11-3
72P-00
89
70
94
6
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 10/1 18/1
Political Stance is winless in his last five and unplaced in his last two, though a second four starts back shows he has ability, and he has run over today's trip and going before after 23 days off. Carrying 157 lb off an official mark of 89 is a stiff ask, even if our rating of 94 ranks him seventh of 14.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Prophetess Miriam silks
Prophetess Miriam
Age 6 · 11-2
4-8998
88
74
91
6
11-2
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 10/1 14/1
Prophetess Miriam has finished eighth, ninth, ninth and eighth in her last four runs, with a fourth five starts back the best of her recent form, and she is yet to win in that spell. She has run on today's going and is fresh from a 15-day break, while 156 lb is a stiff burden off 88.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Ballyminnion Boy silks
Ballyminnion Boy
Age 6 · 11-0
-00806
86
77
87
6
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 7/1 17/2
Winless in his last five, Ballyminnion Boy was sixth last time out 41 days ago, with nothing better than an eighth before that, so he is hard to fancy under 154 lb. He has run over today's trip and going before, which is about the best that can be said, and our rating of 87 ranks him 13th of 14.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Blackwater Soldier silks
Blackwater Soldier
Age 9 · 10-10
6009/8
82
71
89
9
10-10
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 20/1 6/1
Blackwater Soldier arrives winless in his last five, with an eighth last time out and a ninth two starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns after 41 days off. Carrying 150 lb off an official mark of 82 is a stiff ask, even if our rating of 89 ranks him tenth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Mane Attraction silks
Mane Attraction
Age 6 · 10-10
/8060-
82
55
81
6
10-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 33/1 25/1
Mane Attraction is hard to fancy, winless in his last four with an unplaced effort last time out, a sixth two starts back and an eighth four starts back, and he returns after 391 days off. He has run on today's going and our rating has him last of 14, though 150 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

14
Tedworth silks
Tedworth
Age 6 · 10-9
4U74P4
81
81
87
6
10-9
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 5/1 9/2
Winless in his last six outings, Tedworth is hard to fancy: he was fourth last time out, but before that came a pulled up, a fourth three starts back, a seventh and an unseated rider. Back out just three days later under 149 lb, he has run over today's trip and going, though our rating ranks him 12th of 14.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Good World 16/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 Bet365
2 It's Not His Fault 18/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 Bet365
3 James The Brave 2/1 open 3.75 15/8 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.75 9/4 Coral
4 Coolboy Christy 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 10/1 Coral
5 Lakewood Rose 22/1 open 8.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 Bet365
6 Monntie 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 12/1 14/1 Paddy Power
7 Inchidaly Copper 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
8 King's Son 11/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 Bet365
9 Political Stance 20/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 20/1 Bet365
10 Prophetess Miriam 16/1 open 11.00 14/1 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 Bet365
11 Ballyminnion Boy 9/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 Bet365
12 Blackwater Soldier 6/1 open 26.00 7/1 open 21.00 13/2 open 21.00 13/2 open 21.00 7/1 open 21.00 13/2 open 21.00 7/1 Paddy Power
13 Mane Attraction 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 25/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 33/1 Coral
14 Tedworth 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

James The Brave

Speculative

James The Brave owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Padraig Butler Michael Kenneally(5)
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Coolboy Christy

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/1 · P J Rothwell
✓ Value Signal

Mane Attraction

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Norman Lee
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. James The Brave
58.2 2/1
2 4. Coolboy Christy
53.2 9/1
3 12. Blackwater Soldier
52.6 6/1
4 11. Ballyminnion Boy
50.1 9/1
5 14. Tedworth
49.7 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
James The Brave
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 6 · 11-11
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾 —

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Age 6 · 10-9
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 9 · 10-10
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 11-9
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 6 · 11-0
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 11-3
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 10 · 11-4
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

1
Age 11 · 12-0
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

10
Age 6 · 11-2
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 11-11
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

9
Age 6 · 11-3
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
James The Brave
Confidence: Speculative

James The Brave (SR 100, 5/2) is the clear class standout in this field — his SR of 100 is 19 points clear of the next best, Tedworth at 81, in what is a workmanlike lower-tier handicap hurdle. He carries 11-11 which is not onerous by top-weight standards, and his MarkMv:-6 means he is running off a mark 6lb lower than his last win, a significant advantage. Course:W1P1 at Killarney confirms he handles this track, and the market has backed that confidence with a 10% tightening since opening. The 177-day absence is a flag, but trainer Padraig Butler's 11% strike rate is solid for a small yard, and the form string P13F1 reads as a horse who had a fall mid-season but returned to win — the rightmost finish is a win, so he arrives here in form. The main risk is the GoingFit:? — no established record on good ground — but the course form and class superiority outweigh that uncertainty. Each-way alternative: Tedworth. Main danger: Tedworth — Tedworth (SR 81, 5/1) has steamed 12% in the market, ran just 3 days ago showing trainer confidence in a quick turnaround, and at 10-9 carries 16lb less than James The Brave — that weight concession over 2m6f on good ground could narrow the class gap significantly.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 177-day absence is a serious flag: the form string shows 'P13F1-' where the dash indicates he has not run since that win, and a 6-month layoff for a small yard (11% SR, only 72 runners) with no recor…
  • GoingFit:? on good ground at Killarney in October is a genuine unknown — his course form (W1P1) may have been achieved on different ground, and there is no established evidence he handles a quicker s…
  • Apprentice jockey Michael Kenneally (5lb claim, 10% SR over 456 rides) is an unremarkable booking for the class standout in the race — a horse of his calibre returning from layoff arguably warrants a…
  • Tedworth (SR:81, 5/1) has had only 3 days since last run and is race-sharp, carrying 3lb less than James The Brave and showing a market move in of 12% — a fresh, fit rival at a significant weight adv…
Shortlist James The Brave, Tedworth, Blackwater Soldier, King's Son
Each-way: Tedworth Danger: Tedworth

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m6f180y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Killarney Track and setting