Curragh 16:15 RESULTED
4 Oct 2026

Sunday 4 October Business Plus Handicap

Business Plus Handicap · 6f

Official Result

Business Plus Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Nouvel Espoir (IRE) Julian Pietropaolo · James M Barcoe
    13/2
  2. 20/1
  3. 11/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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Settled
  • 24 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Nakamura silks
Nakamura
Age 3 · 10-0
878207
79
47
81
3
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 16/1 28/1
Nakamura is ranked third of 24 on our rating of 81 and returns quickly after 12 days, having run over today's trip and going before, plus a second three starts back. The risk is a string of poor finishes, including a seventh last time, and he is yet to win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

2
Real Force silks
Real Force
Age 9 · 10-0
/50-40
78
54
91
9
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1
Real Force is our top-rated runner, and while winless in his last four, he steps up having a fourth two starts back and has run over today's trip and going before. A 168-day break is the one reservation, but an official mark of 78 looks workable from draw 21.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

3
Cool Azul silks
Cool Azul
Age 3 · 9-13
223712
78
79
84
3
9-13
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 13/2 6/1
Cool Azul was second last time out, and a winner two starts back, so he arrives in cracking form having made the frame in five of his last six; he has run over today's trip and going, though 47 days off the track is the one question mark.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Sommelier silks
Sommelier
Age 5 · 9-13
500004
77
55
77
5
9-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 14/1 11/1
Fourth last time out and only eight days ago, so he arrives fit, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Yet winless in his last six, with four unplaced runs before that fourth, and 139 lb from stall 22 is a big ask off an official mark of 77.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
I Bid You Ajou silks
I Bid You Ajou
Age 5 · 9-12
442260
76
53
77
5
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 12/1 20/1
Winless in his last six, I Bid You Ajou has still been second twice, three and four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, though he was unplaced last time and a sixth before that suggests the form is tailing off. Carrying 138 lb from draw 15, he looks a midfield sort.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

6
Tolebi silks
Tolebi
Age 4 · 9-12
940455
76
53
80
4
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 22/1 18/1
Tolebi has been consistent without a win, finishing fifth last time out, fifth two starts back and a fourth three starts back, and he's fresh enough after 12 days off, having run over today's trip and going. Carrying 138 lb from draw 18 and yet to win in his last six, he looks a competitive but unspectacular sort, ranked fifth of 24 by our rating.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

7
Contrary To Law silks
Contrary To Law
Age 3 · 9-10
-67146
75
63
75
3
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 9/1 11/1
Contrary To Law has a winner three starts back, but he's tailed off since, with a fourth two starts back and a sixth last time out, and he returns after 47 days. He has run over today's trip and is rated 75, ranked eleventh of 24 by us, so he looks a midfield sort.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Smoke Them Out silks
Smoke Them Out
Age 4 · 9-10
030771
67
57
70
4
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 9/1 11/1
Won last time out and is back just four days later, which suggests he's in good heart, though two sevenths before that show he's been inconsistent. He has run over today's trip and going, carries 136 lb from stall 19, and our rating of 70 ranks him 16th of 24.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Go Athletico silks
Go Athletico
Age 8 · 9-9
625600
73
44
80
8
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1
Winless in his last six, Go Athletico was unplaced last time out and two starts back, though a second five starts back shows some ability. He has run over today's trip and going, is fresh enough after 12 days, and our rating of 80 sits above his official 73.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

10
Michael's Well silks
Michael's Well
Age 3 · 9-9
21-685
74
56
80
3
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 14/1 25/1
Michael's Well won four starts back and was second five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 80 ranks him fourth of 24. The risk is a 62-day absence after a fifth last time out and a pair of modest efforts before that.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

11
Gotta Catch'em All silks
Gotta Catch'em All
Age 6 · 9-8
129356
72
42
71
6
9-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
SP 22/1 28/1
Sixth last time out and a fifth two starts back, he has drifted from a third three starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns after 29 days. Carrying 134 lb from stall 11, he sits 15th of 24 on our rating of 71, so he looks a midfield type.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

12
Jon Riggens silks
Jon Riggens
Age 8 · 9-8
076713
72
70
77
8
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 8/1 12/1
Third last time out and a winner two starts back, Jon Riggens arrives fresh after 25 days and has run over today's trip and going, though his earlier form read seventh, sixth, seventh, and 134 lb from stall one is no light burden.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Gerrit's Gem silks
Gerrit's Gem
Age 6 · 9-6
007034
70
64
74
6
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 10/1 11/1
Fourth last time out and a third two starts back suggest he's in decent order after 25 days off, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but he's winless in his last six and carries 132 lb from draw 10, while our rating of 74 ranks him only 12th of 24.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Nouvel Espoir silks
Nouvel Espoir
Age 6 · 9-6
443222
70
68
69
6
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 11/1 10/1
Nouvel Espoir has been second in each of his last three, and a third four starts back, yet he is still winless in recent starts and is back after only four days. He has run over today's trip and going, but 132 lb from draw 6 is a stiff ask, and our figures rank him 18th of 24.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Therewillbeglory silks
Therewillbeglory
Age 4 · 9-6
4-3022
70
44
69
4
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 18/1 25/1
Therewillbeglory is winless in her last five but has been runner-up on her last two starts, and she's back after 18 days having run over today's trip before. Carrying 132 lb from stall 12, she's still hard to fancy, as our rating of 69 ranks her only 17th of 24.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

16
Apache Outlaw silks
Apache Outlaw
Age 6 · 9-4
350323
68
70
78
6
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 17/2 13/2
Apache Outlaw is consistent, finishing third last time out, a second two starts back and a third three starts back, and he's fresh from just 12 days ago, but he's yet to win in his last six. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 78 sits well above his official 68, though 130 lb from draw 3 is a notable burden.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Apothic Red silks
Apothic Red
Age 3 · 9-4
865721
69
70
69
3
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 6/1 15/2
Last-time winner and a second two starts back give him a lively recent line, but he is an outsider on our figures, ranked 19 of 24 with a 68 rating against an official 69, and 130 lb from stall 14 is a big ask after 36 days off. He has run over today's trip and going before, which is a modest plus.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

18
Irish Rumour silks
Irish Rumour
Age 6 · 9-3
050315
67
60
65
6
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 9/1 12/1
Irish Rumour was a fifth last time out, 13 days ago, after a win two starts back and a third three starts back, so the form isn't bad, and she has run over today's trip and going. However, she carries 129 lb from draw 4 and our figures rank her 22nd of 24, which makes her hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

19
Mint Man silks
Mint Man
Age 5 · 9-3
803100
67
45
68
5
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
50/1 28/1 40/1
Mint Man has been unplaced in his last two outings, and a winner three starts back is his one success in his last six, so he is hard to fancy after 32 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 68 ranks him 21st of 24, from draw 9 with 129 lb.
AI verdict

SR 45 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

20
Noble Nation silks
Noble Nation
Age 5 · 9-2
000-13
66
66
73
5
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 8/1 9/1
Third last time out and a winner two starts back, Noble Nation has shown a good level of recent form, and he has run over today's trip and going, but 168 days off is a long break. Carrying 128 lb from draw 8, he sits 14th of 24 on our rating of 73.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

21
Venetian Star silks
Venetian Star
Age 3 · 8-13
200505
64
60
74
3
8-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 14/1 10/1
Venetian Star is winless in his last six, though he was fifth last time out just six days ago and has run over today's trip and going before. A second six starts back is his best recent finish, and our rating of 74 sits above his official 64, but he carries 125 lb from draw 7.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

22
Green Kite silks
Green Kite
Age 4 · 8-11
420458
61
38
62
4
8-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 22/1 28/1
Green Kite was beaten into eighth last time out and has been winless in his last six starts, so he is hard to fancy, though a second five starts back and a run just 12 days ago show he is fit. He has run over today's trip and going, but our figures rank him 23rd of 24.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

23
Go Out silks
Go Out
Age 4 · 8-10
903460
60
43
68
4
8-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 25/1 28/1
Go Out is winless in his last six, unplaced last time out and a sixth two starts back, so he is hard to fancy, ranked 20th of 24 on our figures. He has run over today's trip and going, and a third four starts back plus a quick 13-day turnaround offer some mitigation.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

24
Tawaazon silks
Tawaazon
Age 8 · 8-7
594556
50
34
58
8
8-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 22/1 28/1
Tawaazon is winless in his last six, finishing sixth last time out and no better than a fourth four starts back, so he is hard to fancy at the foot of our ratings. He has run over today's trip and going, and a 15-day gap keeps him fresh enough, while his official mark of 50 offers some respite from drawing 24.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Nakamura 28/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 Paddy Power
2 Real Force 22/1 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 25/1 25/1 Paddy Power
3 Cool Azul 13/2 open 10.00 6/1 open 7.50 13/2 13/2 6/1 open 7.50 13/2 13/2 Bet365
4 Sommelier 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
5 I Bid You Ajou 20/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 Paddy Power
6 Tolebi 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 Bet365
7 Contrary To Law 11/1 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Paddy Power
8 Smoke Them Out 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Paddy Power
9 Go Athletico 22/1 22/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 22/1 open 26.00 25/1 Coral
10 Michael's Well 25/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Paddy Power
11 Gotta Catch'em All 28/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Paddy Power
12 Jon Riggens 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 Paddy Power
13 Gerrit's Gem 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Paddy Power
14 Nouvel Espoir 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 Bet365
15 Therewillbeglory 25/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 28/1 Paddy Power
16 Apache Outlaw 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 12.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 Coral
17 Apothic Red 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 Coral
18 Irish Rumour 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Paddy Power
19 Mint Man 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
20 Noble Nation 11/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365
21 Venetian Star 12/1 open 29.00 12/1 open 34.00 11/1 open 29.00 11/1 open 29.00 11/1 open 29.00 10/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
22 Green Kite 28/1 open 23.00 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 33/1 33/1 Paddy Power
23 Go Out 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 28/1 Bet365
24 Tawaazon 28/1 open 23.00 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 33/1 33/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Cool Azul

Speculative

Cool Azul owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/2 A Oliver W. J. Lee
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Apache Outlaw

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Adrian McGuinness
✓ Value Signal

Michael's Well

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Eddie & Patrick Harty
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Cool Azul
50.7 13/2
2 16. Apache Outlaw
49.8 7/1
3 20. Noble Nation
46.3 11/1
4 17. Apothic Red
45.7 8/1
5 7. Contrary To Law
44.9 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Cool Azul
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-13
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 6 · 9-4
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Age 3 · 9-4
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-10
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 9-10
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 6 · 9-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 6 · 9-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

20
Age 5 · 9-2
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-13
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾 —

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

12
Age 8 · 9-8
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

18
Age 6 · 9-3
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

21
Age 3 · 8-13
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

6
Age 4 · 9-12
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

5
Age 5 · 9-12
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cool Azul
Confidence: Speculative

Cool Azul (SR:79, 13/2) is the highest-rated horse in this 24-runner field by a clear margin — 9 SR points clear of the next best group — and carries a manageable 9-13. The form string 223712 shows consistent placing with a recent win, and the market has shortened 8% (Mkt:in8%), confirming professional support. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at 6f, and jockey W.J. Lee (15% strike rate from 1,896 rides) is the standout booking in the race. The +4 mark rise is a modest concern, but the SR advantage and market confidence outweigh it. Each-way alternative: Jon Riggens. Main danger: Apache Outlaw — Apache Outlaw (SR:70, 17/2) has shortened 9% in the market, carries a light 9-4 off a massive MarkMv:-26 drop, and holds Course:W1P5 at the Curragh — a horse freshened up and presented at a significantly easier mark on a track it handles.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Course record is thin — W0P1 at the Curragh — meaning Cool Azul has not won here and has only one placing from a single visit, a worry in a 24-runner handicap where course specialists like Jon Riggen…
  • 47-day absence in a competitive sprint handicap is a fitness concern; rivals Smoke Them Out (4 days) and Nouvel Espoir (4 days) are race-sharp and have the fitness edge.
  • +4 mark rise means Cool Azul runs off a career-high official rating today; the lone win in the form string (position 5 in '223712') came off a lower mark, and the handicapper may have caught up.
  • At 24 runners over 6f the draw and pace scenario become critical — Cool Azul's stall position and likely traffic at a bunched start could negate a rating advantage that exists on paper.
Shortlist Cool Azul, Jon Riggens, Apache Outlaw, Noble Nation
Each-way: Jon Riggens Danger: Apache Outlaw

🗺 The Course Race conditions

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
24 Confirmed runners
Curragh Track and setting