Kelso 14:20 RESULTED
Class 4 4 Oct 2026

Sunday 4 October Percy's Racing Dream Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)

Percy's Racing Dream Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier) · 2m4f189y

1 cub picking Leading: Ballynoe Boy (100%) Join the pack
Official Result

Percy's Racing Dream Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Interchangeable (GB) Mr John Dixon · John Dixon
    5/1
  2. 7/2J
  3. 4/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 1 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Klitschko silks
Klitschko
Age 8 · 12-0
335U1-
117
99
111
8
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 4/1 11/2
Klitschko won last time out and has run over today's trip and on this going, so he arrives in good heart as a leading danger, carrying 168 lb off an official mark of 117. The main risk is a 199-day absence, which leaves fitness the question.
AI verdict

SR 99 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Evaluation silks
Evaluation
Age 8 · 11-12
2/324-
115
85
112
8
11-12
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 8/1 13/2
Evaluation is our pick on overall profile: he has hit the frame in three of his last four, including a second two starts back, and a fourth last time out keeps him consistent. Back in just eight days and with going experience, he's yet to win but looks fit.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Do No Wrong silks
Do No Wrong
Age 10 · 11-12
51P21-
115
101
113
10
11-12
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 5/1 12/1
Do No Wrong won last time out and was second two starts back, a winner in two of his last five, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The big risk is a 339-day layoff, with 166 lb to carry, though our rating has him top of the ten.
AI verdict

SR 101 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Bold Light silks
Bold Light
Age 9 · 11-9
34-355
112
103
113
9
11-9
★★☆☆☆
—
11/4 15/2 9/4
Fit after just 11 days off, Bold Light has been thereabouts, finishing a third five starts back and a third again before two fifth-place efforts, and he has run over today's trip and going. Yet to win in his last five, he carries a hefty 163 lb, which is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 103 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Heart Above silks
Heart Above
Age 8 · 11-1
7-1P95
104
90
101
8
11-1
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1
Heart Above showed a bit of promise with a fifth last time out, 18 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going, but he's a ninth and a pulled up in his last three before that. Carrying 155 lb off 104, he looks a midfield type, with our rating of 101 placing him seventh of ten.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Ballynoe Boy silks
Ballynoe Boy
Age 6 · 11-6
-74111
102
106
95
6
11-6
★★★☆☆
1
13/8 7/4 3/2
Ballynoe Boy arrives with three wins in his last five starts, including last time out, and has run over today's trip and going, but he is back just two days after that win and carries 160 lb off an official mark of 102. Our figures rank him eighth of ten, which makes him hard to fancy despite the form.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Kool Raoul silks
Kool Raoul
Age 6 · 10-12
35785-
101
94
102
6
10-12
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 13/2 7/2
Kool Raoul has been winless in his last five, with a fifth last time out and a third five starts back the best of it, and he returns after 174 days off. He has run over today's trip and going and carries 152 lb off 101, while our rating of 102 has him sixth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Dalileo silks
Dalileo
Age 11 · 10-8
311789
97
68
93
11
10-8
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 28/1 14/1
Dalileo is hard to fancy after sliding to a ninth last time out, an eighth two starts back and a seventh three starts back, though he did win four and five starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Back within 10 days and carrying 148 lb off 97, he looks tough to side with, and our rating of 93 ranks him ninth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Starlyte silks
Starlyte
Age 9 · 10-7
44-344
96
92
110
9
10-7
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 10/1 13/2
Starlyte is yet to win in her last five, but a fourth last time out, a fourth two starts back and a third three starts back show she is consistent, and she has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 147 lb off 96 is a burden, though our rating of 110 ranks her fifth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Interchangeable silks
Interchangeable
Age 6 · 10-2
03-656
84
62
90
6
10-2
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 25/1 22/1
Interchangeable is winless in his last five, finishing sixth last time out and fifth two starts back, and he returns after 76 days off. He has run on today's going and a third four starts back is the best of it, but 142 lb makes him hard to fancy, and our figures rank him last of ten.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Klitschko 6/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 Paddy Power
2 Evaluation 8/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 9.00 13/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 17/2 9/1 Paddy Power
3 Do No Wrong 12/1 open 6.50 18/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 6.00 18/1 open 6.00 18/1 open 6.50 18/1 Paddy Power
4 Bold Light 11/4 open 8.50 5/2 open 9.00 9/4 open 8.50 9/4 open 8.50 5/2 open 8.50 5/2 open 9.00 11/4 Bet365
5 Heart Above 5/1 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 Bet365
6 Ballynoe Boy 13/8 open 3.50 6/4 open 4.00 6/4 open 3.75 6/4 open 3.75 13/8 open 3.75 6/4 open 2.75 13/8 Bet365
7 Kool Raoul 4/1 open 10.00 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.50 7/2 open 9.00 4/1 Bet365
8 Dalileo 25/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 29.00 14/1 open 29.00 14/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 Bet365
9 Starlyte 7/1 open 12.00 13/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 13.00 7/1 Bet365
10 Interchangeable 28/1 open 41.00 25/1 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 41.00 28/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Bold Light

Live signal

Bold Light owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Gregor Walkingshaw(10)
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Klitschko

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Lucinda Hughes
✓ Value Signal

Interchangeable

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · John Dixon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Bold Light
61.4 11/4
2 1. Klitschko
59.8 6/1
3 6. Ballynoe Boy
59.2 13/8
4 7. Kool Raoul
56.4 4/1
5 9. Starlyte
54.3 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ballynoe Boy
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
Crowd leader Ballynoe Boy is carrying 100% of the Cub vote right now.
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
1

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 6 · 11-6
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾 1

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 9 · 11-9
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 103 🐾 —

SR 103 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 10-12
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾 —

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 8 · 11-1
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 8 · 12-0
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 99 🐾 —

SR 99 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 9 · 10-7
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 8 · 11-12
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 10 · 11-12
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 101 🐾 —

SR 101 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ballynoe Boy
Confidence: Medium

Ballynoe Boy (SR 106, 13/8) is the standout on every meaningful signal. The highest SR in the field, a confirmed sequence of three consecutive wins (Form: -74111 reading right-to-left gives 1-1-1 most recently), proven at today's distance (DistFit:+) and today's good going (GoingFit:+), running off the same mark as his last win (MarkMv:=), and carrying a manageable 11-6. Crucially, the market has shortened 29% from its opening price — the money is clearly following this horse, and at a yard (Nicky Richards, 16% strike rate) that sends horses ready. The combination of SR leadership, form peak, going/distance suitability, and strong market confidence makes this an unusually clean case. Each-way alternative: Bold Light. Main danger: Bold Light — Bold Light (SR 103, 11/2) has steamed in 25% in the market, holds strong course form (W2P2 at Kelso), and the MarkMv:-11 drop means connections believe this mark is workable — the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are the only real concerns stopping it from being the pick.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Days:2 is an exceptionally tight turnaround — running just 48 hours after his last start raises serious questions about recovery and freshness for a horse asked to complete a four-timer.
  • Bold Light (SR:103, 11/2) has shortened 25% in the market and boasts a Course:W2P2 record at Kelso, suggesting local track specialists could exploit any residual fatigue in Ballynoe Boy.
  • His three-win sequence (Form:-74111) came after a '7' and '4', implying he was returning from a below-par period — the quality of those wins and the company beaten warrants scrutiny before backing hi…
  • Heart Above holds Course:W3P9 at this track and Starlyte Course:W3P6 — multiple proven course winners in the field means Ballynoe Boy's going/distance fit advantage is diluted by rivals with superior…
Shortlist Ballynoe Boy, Bold Light, Heart Above, Starlyte
Each-way: Bold Light Danger: Bold Light

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m4f189y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Kelso Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade