Good Bye Milan won four starts back and was third two runs ago, but she was unplaced last time out and returns after a 457-day absence, so fitness is the big question. She has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 89 sits above her official 82, though 151 lb is a stiff burden.
Form last 619/30-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR89RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unseated last time out, Bossing It is yet to win in her last five starts, though a second five starts back and a fifth two runs ago show she can contend. She has run over today's trip and going and returns after 23 days, but 163 lb is a hefty burden off 94, while our rating of 95 ranks her fifth of 16.
Form last 6-2585U
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR95RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Penny Express is fit enough after 15 days off and has run over today's trip and going before, while a third two starts back followed by a fourth, a fifth and another fourth further back show he is knocking on the door; he is yet to win in his last six, but his 103 rating ranks him second of 16.
Form last 6P45430
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR103RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Quick back-out after nine days and ranked top of our 16 on a figure of 105, Big Dee has run over today's trip and going before and is rated 97 officially, though he is winless in his last five and the stable is 0/23 in the last fortnight.
Form last 603P-P7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
69SR105RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Regards To Rose won five starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while returning just 14 days after her last run keeps her fit, though she's finished seventh, eighth and ninth in her last three and her yard is 0/23 over the past fortnight. Our rating of 97 ranks her fourth of 16.
Form last 61-8987
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
75SR97RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Bryson has run over today's trip and on this going, and a second four starts back shows he can go close, while our rating of 97 ranks him third of 16 and he's only 93 officially. The main risk is a poor recent run, with a 39-day break and 162 lb to carry.
Form last 6-U2670
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
76SR97RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Fourth last time out is his best finish in a winless run of four, and he has run over today's trip, but a trainer cold at 3/55 and a sixth and a seventh earlier in that sequence keep him in the midfield mix; our rating of 92 sits six of 16 under 162 lb.
Form last 6/760-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR92RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Solar Generation was pulled up last time out after a fifth two starts back, and he is winless in his last four, though 44 days off should leave him fresher. He has run on today's going and carries 162 lb off an official mark of 93, while our rating of 89 has him eighth of 16.
Form last 600-5P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR89RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Alentejo is winless in his last five, with a ninth last time out and a pulled up two starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns after 46 days off. Carrying 160 lb off an official mark of 91, he looks short of the weight, and our rating of 87 ranks him 12th of 16.
Form last 6890P9
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR87RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Footstepstoglory is winless in his last five starts, unplaced last time out and absent for 86 days, which makes him hard to fancy under 158 lb. A second two starts back and experience of today's trip are the positives, though our figures rank him 15th of 16.
Form last 67852-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR83RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fifth last time out, and a winner two starts back, Kingdom Calling is quick to reappear after nine days and has run over today's trip and going, though his stable is 0/23 in the last 14 days and he carries 154 lb off an official mark of 85. Our rating of 91 ranks him seventh of 16.
Form last 6-60415
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR91RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Romella is hard to fancy, having finished unplaced last time out, a seventh two starts back, and another seventh three starts back, before a 311-day absence. She has run over today's trip and going and won five starts back, but 153 lb is a big ask.
Form last 618770-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR83RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Granlahan has been second in each of his last two starts and fresh from an 11-day break, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he is still winless in recent form and carries 152 lb off an official mark of 84, while our rating of 85 ranks him 13th of 16.
Form last 6362422
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR85RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
St Anthonys Corner is winless in her last five, pulled up last time out and unplaced in her last three before that bar a ninth four starts back, though she has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 152 lb off 83, she's a midfield type, with our rating of 87 only hinting at some upside.
Form last 60900-P
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR87RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in his last five, Mr Macphisto was unplaced last time, pulled up two starts back and fell three back, though a third four starts back shows he can contribute. He has run over today's trip and going, but 145 lb is a burden, and our rating of 88 ranks him tenth of sixteen.
Form last 673F/P0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR88RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Sidiriya fell last time out and returns from a 55-day break, and she is yet to win in her last five starts, though a second three starts back and a third four back show some ability. She has run over today's trip and going, but a struggling yard (1/24) and 144 lb make her hard to fancy.
Form last 66-325F
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR77RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five and unplaced in four of them, with a fourth two starts back the best of it, Inches Away is hard to fancy at 143 lb off 74 after 37 days off. She has run over today's trip and going before, which is about all she has going for her.
Form last 600/040
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR78RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mount Hotham is winless in his last five, finishing ninth last time out and a ninth four starts back, and he returns after 56 days off, so he is hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating sits 19th of 16 runners, but 143 lb gives him plenty to carry.
Form last 60-9069
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR73RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in his last five, The Border Boy is hard to fancy, with a pulled up two starts back and a fifth last time out 43 days ago. He has run over today's trip and going and our rating of 74 offers some support, but 141 lb is a lot to carry.
Form last 68-04P5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR75RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Colin's Friend owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1Henry de BromheadDarragh O'Keeffe
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Footstepstoglory
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · David Harry Kelly✓ Value Signal
Alentejo
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Mark Michael McNiff◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Granlahan (SR:86, 11/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has the most consistent recent form — a 362422 sequence that shows sustained competitiveness without a blowout run. At 10-12, he carries one of the lighter weights in the field, giving him a real lbs advantage over rivals with similar or lower SRs. The DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ suggest he is not proven but not out of his depth at 2m1f on good ground, and trainer Adrian McGuinness (9%) has form at this level. The 24% market drift is a concern worth noting, but in a wide-open 19-runner field with no dominant shortener, the SR edge and weight profile make Granlahan the most defensible selection; the drift may simply reflect the yard running stablemate Bryson as the market's preferred option despite Bryson's far weaker SR and poor DistFit/GoingFit.
Each-way alternative: Footstepstoglory.
Main danger: Footstepstoglory — Footstepstoglory (SR:77, 7/2) has steamed in 26% from opening and carries only 11-4, giving it a lighter weight than Granlahan for a marginally lower SR — the market is backing it hard and it is the most likely beneficiary if Granlahan's going/distance uncertainty materialises on the day.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
24% market drift in a race where stablemate Bryson has been backed in 48% — the McGuinness yard's money is clearly on Bryson, not Granlahan, suggesting stable confidence is split against the pick.
DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ mean Granlahan is unproven at 2m1f on good ground — a 4yo stepping up in trip on unfamiliar going in a 19-runner handicap is a significant unknown.
Penny Express (SR:84) is trained by Gordon Elliott (18% strike rate) and ran just 15 days ago, suggesting she is race-fit and peak-fit from a powerhouse yard — a more immediate threat than SR alone s…
Form sequence 362422 shows consistent near-misses but no win, and in a 19-runner field with pace and positional chaos, a horse that keeps finding one or two too good is at real risk of being buried i…