Killarney 17:05 RESULTED
4 Oct 2026

Sunday 4 October Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase

Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase · 2m7f100y

Official Result

Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Joe's Turn (IRE) Donagh Meyler · Mark Michael McNiff
    10/1
  2. 33/1
  3. 11/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Uttoxeter

12:51–16:56 · 8 races

Curragh

13:20–17:25 · 8 races

Killarney

13:35–17:05 · 7 races

Kelso

13:45–16:40 · 6 races

ParisLongchamp

15:05–15:05 · 1 race

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Settled
  • 15 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Keep Em Quite silks
Keep Em Quite
Age 5 · 12-0
5-5240
100
82
99
5
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 6/1 7/1
Keep Em Quite sets a solid standard with a second three starts back and a fourth two runs ago, and he has run over today's trip and going before. He comes here after 30 days off, though he was unplaced last time and is yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Nolans Rocco silks
Nolans Rocco
Age 7 · 11-10
P21P-7
96
80
90
7
11-10
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 13/2 9/1
Nolans Rocco has the profile of a mid-pack mare: she won three starts back and was second four starts back, but she was seventh last time out and pulled up two starts back. She has run over today's trip and going, and 164 lb is a hefty burden off an official mark of 96, which holds her back, with our rating of 90 putting her seventh of 15.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Kilkee Bay silks
Kilkee Bay
Age 7 · 11-8
U8125U
94
83
97
7
11-8
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 6/1 7/1
Kilkee Bay won four starts back and was a second three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating ranks him fourth of 15. The risk is a clear one: he unseated last time out and again six starts back, and he returns after 45 days carrying 162 lb.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
King Ferdinand silks
King Ferdinand
Age 10 · 11-5
/P0PP0
91
56
104
10
11-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 25/1 28/1
Our top-rated runner at 104 against an official 91, King Ferdinand has run over today's trip and going and is fit after just eight days off, but he was unplaced last time and pulled up in three of his last five, so the big 159 lb burden is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

5
Barryroe Madam silks
Barryroe Madam
Age 7 · 11-0
004050
86
70
90
7
11-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 11/1 16/1
Barryroe Madam is winless in her last six, with a fifth two starts back and a fourth four starts back the best of it, though she has run over today's trip and on this going and is fresh from a run eight days ago. Carrying 154 lb off 86, she needs to improve, even if our rating of 90 hints at a little in hand.
AI verdict

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

6
Cullenwaine silks
Cullenwaine
Age 8 · 11-0
254127
86
85
81
8
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 4/1 11/2
Cullenwaine was beaten into seventh last time out, and he is 37 days since that run, though a second two starts back and a win three starts back show he can go well. He has run over today's trip and going, but 154 lb off 86 and an 11th-of-15 ranking on our figures make him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Ellens Pride silks
Ellens Pride
Age 6 · 11-0
4P7640
86
74
84
6
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 13/2 14/1
Ellens Pride has been busy, back after just ten days, and has run over today's trip and going, but she's yet to win in her last six starts, with a fourth two starts back her best recent effort. Carrying 154 lb off 86, she looks a midfield type, with our rating of 84 ranking her ninth of 15.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Zolpharine silks
Zolpharine
Age 8 · 11-0
114005
86
75
80
8
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 12/1 15/2
Zolpharine has failed to win in his last four, a fifth last time out followed by two unplaced runs, and he's back quickly after just four days, so he's hard to fancy. Carrying 154 lb off an official rating of 86 doesn't help either, though he has won twice in his last six and has run over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Avec Espoir silks
Avec Espoir
Age 13 · 10-13
P00-PP
85
53
98
13
10-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 FCST 50/1
Pulled up last time out and twice more in his last five, Avec Espoir is winless in recent starts, yet he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 98 ranks him third of 15 against an official 85. The risk is plain: he carries 153 lb and has not completed with any conviction lately.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

10
It's Time Again silks
It's Time Again
Age 10 · 10-13
0PF89P
85
53
89
10
10-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 14/1 22/1
Pulled up last time out and without a win in her last six starts, It's Time Again has plenty to prove, though she has run over today's trip and going before and a 41-day break gives her a fresh slate. Carrying 153 lb off 85, she looks a midfielder on our rating of 89, ranked eighth of 15.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

11
Joe's Turn silks
Joe's Turn
Age 10 · 10-13
2F-866
85
72
83
10
10-13
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 7/1 15/2
Joe's Turn arrives winless in his last five, with sixths in his last two runs and a second five starts back as his best effort, though a 44-day break is a mild question. He has run over today's trip and going and is rated 85 officially, and carries 153 lb.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
True Harmony silks
True Harmony
Age 6 · 10-10
-92665
82
79
79
6
10-10
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 11/2 5/1
True Harmony is yet to win in his last five starts, with a fifth last time out and two sixths before that, so he is hard to fancy after 37 days off. He has run over today's trip and going and was second four starts back, but 150 lb is a big burden, and our rating of 79 ranks him 13th of 15.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Kilashee silks
Kilashee
Age 11 · 10-6
7-PP7P
78
49
91
11
10-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 20/1 10/1
Kilashee is winless in her last five, pulled up three times with a seventh two starts back and another seventh five starts back, and she's quick to return after six days. She has run over today's trip and going and our rating of 90 ranks her fifth of 15, but 146 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

14
Backinabit silks
Backinabit
Age 7 · 10-4
P18957
76
70
75
7
10-4
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 13/2 10/1
Backinabit has been beaten in each of his last four runs, finishing seventh last time out, a fifth two starts back, then a ninth and an eighth, so the win five starts back looks a long way off. He has run on today's going and is back after 15 days, but 144 lb and a ranking of 14 of 15 on our figures make him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

15
Urbs Intacta Manet silks
Urbs Intacta Manet
Age 5 · 10-4
06-088
76
53
72
5
10-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 FCST 20/1
Winless in his last five, he finished eighth last time out and eighth again two starts back, so he is hard to fancy off 144 lb. He has run over today's trip and going and is fresh after 37 days, but our rating of 72 ranks him last of 15.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Keep Em Quite 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 8.50 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 7/1 7/1 15/2 Coral
2 Nolans Rocco 9/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 Paddy Power
3 Kilkee Bay 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 Coral
4 King Ferdinand 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 Bet365
5 Barryroe Madam 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
6 Cullenwaine 11/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 Paddy Power
7 Ellens Pride 14/1 open 7.50 18/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 Paddy Power
8 Zolpharine 8/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 15/2 open 15.00 15/2 open 15.00 8/1 Bet365
9 Avec Espoir 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 Bet365
10 It's Time Again 25/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 22/1 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Paddy Power
11 Joe's Turn 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 Coral
12 True Harmony 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
13 Kilashee 12/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 12/1 Bet365
14 Backinabit 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 11/1 Coral
15 Urbs Intacta Manet 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 20/1 22/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Kilkee Bay

Speculative

Kilkee Bay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/1 E McNamara Mr J Dunne(7)
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Cullenwaine

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · David O'Sullivan
✓ Value Signal

King Ferdinand

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Eugene M O'Sullivan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +14.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
71 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Kilkee Bay
55.1 7/1
2 6. Cullenwaine
52.2 11/2
3 2. Nolans Rocco
51.8 9/1
4 12. True Harmony
51.8 5/1
5 8. Zolpharine
50.6 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Zolpharine
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

12
Age 6 · 10-10
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 8 · 11-0
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 12-0
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 7 · 11-8
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 8 · 11-0
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 10 · 10-13
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 7 · 11-10
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 7 · 10-4
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Age 11 · 10-6
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾 —

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

7
Age 6 · 11-0
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 7 · 11-0
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Zolpharine
Confidence: Speculative

Zolpharine (SR:75, 17/2) is the standout selection driven by a dramatic 34% market move in — the strongest steamer in the field by a considerable margin — which in a competitive 15-runner handicap chase signals meaningful stable/market confidence. As John Patrick Ryan's #1 runner (Kilashee at SR:49 with a 24% drift is clearly the yard's second string), Zolpharine also carries a light 11-0 and has Course:W0P4 at Killarney, confirming this track suits. Although DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flag distance and going concerns on raw record, the market money at this price overrides statistical hesitation — the connections clearly believe conditions are workable today. At 17/2 with that level of support, the SR-to-weight ratio also compares favourably against the top-rated Cullenwaine (SR:85) who carries the same weight but has DistFit:- and GoingFit:- with a drifting market. Each-way alternative: Cullenwaine. Main danger: Cullenwaine — Cullenwaine holds the field's best SR (85) off a light 11-0, and a recent form figure of 7 from form 254127 is forgiven easily — the prior '1' and '2' show genuine ability and at 9/2 the market has not fully abandoned this horse despite the going and distance flags.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 114005 — the last three runs are 0, 0, 5, meaning Zolpharine has completely lost the thread since its winning burst and was beaten a combined large distance in those efforts.
  • Course:W0P4 at Killarney is a double-edged stat — four prior visits without a win suggests the track may not suit as well as implied; placed but never sealed the deal here.
  • DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are both flagged with only 4 days since last run, raising a real concern that today's trip/ground combination is untested territory for a horse out of form.
  • Cullenwaine (SR:85) carries the same 11-0 but is rated 10 points higher, is shorter in the market at 9/2, and posted a '7' last time out — sharper recent form than Zolpharine's consecutive zeros.
Shortlist Zolpharine, Cullenwaine, True Harmony, Keep Em Quite
Each-way: Cullenwaine Danger: Cullenwaine

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m7f100y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
15 Confirmed runners
Killarney Track and setting