Kelso 15:30 RESULTED
Class 2 4 Oct 2026

Sunday 4 October Nspcc School Service Handicap Steeple Chase (Registered As The Simply Ned) (GBB Race)

Nspcc School Service Handicap Steeple Chase (Registered As The Simply Ned) (GBB Race) · 2m1f14y

1 cub picking Leading: Breaking Cover (100%) Join the pack
Official Result

Nspcc School Service Handicap Steeple Chase (Registered As The Simply Ned) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Breaking Cover (IRE) Chad Bament · Anthony Honeyball
    9/4J
  2. Second Primoz (IRE)
    13/2
  3. 9/4J
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 1 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tommy's Oscar silks
Tommy's Oscar
Age 11 · 12-0
42142-
144
140
150
11
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 7/1 6/1
Tommy's Oscar was second last time out and has a win three starts back in a consistent recent profile, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our top-rated runner carries 168 lb off 144, with 164 days since his last run the one reservation.
AI verdict

SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Breaking Cover silks
Breaking Cover
Age 8 · 11-9
6-4411
139
138
138
8
11-9
★★★☆☆
1
4/1 7/2 3/1
Breaking Cover arrives in cracking form, a winner last time out and again two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before after 29 days off. The main risk is the 163 lb he carries off an official mark of 139.
AI verdict

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Traprain Law silks
Traprain Law
Age 8 · 11-3
42133-
133
137
141
8
11-3
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 4/1 10/3
Traprain Law arrives with a solid book, a third last time out and another third two starts back, plus a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 141 ranks him second of six, but 169 days off and 157 lb are the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Primoz silks
Primoz
Age 8 · 11-1
5631B-
131
123
132
8
11-1
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 4/1 5/1
Primoz won two starts back and was third the run before, so the form is solid despite being brought down last time out. He has run over today's trip and going, but 177 days off is the main risk, and 155 lb is a stiff burden.
AI verdict

SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Aeros Luck silks
Aeros Luck
Age 7 · 10-7
62233-
123
116
131
7
10-7
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 11/2 9/2
Winless in his last five, Aeros Luck has been thereabouts with a third last time out, another third two starts back and a pair of seconds before that, but 165 days off is a concern and 147 lb is a hefty burden. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank him fifth of six.
AI verdict

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Ice Jet silks
Ice Jet
Age 4 · 10-2
112V21
127
136
126
4
10-2
★★★★☆
—
9/4 7/4 9/4
Ice Jet won last time out and boasts three wins in his last six starts, with a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Even so, he carries 142 lb off 127 and ranks last of six on our figures, so he is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tommy's Oscar 7/1 6/1 open 8.00 7/1 7/1 6/1 open 8.00 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 Bet365
2 Breaking Cover 4/1 open 5.50 7/2 7/2 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 4/1 Bet365
3 Traprain Law 9/2 9/2 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 9/2 Bet365
4 Primoz 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.00 7/1 Bet365
5 Aeros Luck 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 Bet365
6 Ice Jet 9/4 open 2.88 5/2 open 2.75 5/2 open 2.75 5/2 open 2.75 9/4 open 2.88 9/4 open 2.88 5/2 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Breaking Cover

Live signal

Breaking Cover owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (77) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Anthony Honeyball Chad Bament(5)
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tommy's Oscar

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Ann Hamilton
✓ Value Signal

Tommy's Oscar

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

7/1 · Ann Hamilton
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +29.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Breaking Cover
70.2 4/1
2 1. Tommy's Oscar
69.5 7/1
3 6. Ice Jet
68.5 9/4
4 3. Traprain Law
66.0 9/2
5 5. Aeros Luck
63.8 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Breaking Cover
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
Crowd leader Breaking Cover is carrying 100% of the Cub vote right now.
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
1

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 4 · 10-2
9/4
★★★★☆ SR 136 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 8 · 11-9
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 138 🐾 1

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 8 · 11-3
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 137 🐾 —

SR 137 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 7 · 10-7
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 116 🐾 —

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 11 · 12-0
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 140 🐾 —

SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 11-1
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 123 🐾 —

SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Breaking Cover
Confidence: Medium

Breaking Cover tops the composite score at SR 138 trading at 4/1. Composite ranks the field on SR + market + form + connections + distance/going fit — the pick is the best cross-signal case, not just the best SR.

Shortlist Breaking Cover, Ice Jet, Traprain Law, Tommy's Oscar, Primoz
Each-way: Ice Jet Danger: Traprain Law

🗺 The Course Class 2

2m1f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Kelso Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade