Kelso 16:05 RESULTED
Class 4 4 Oct 2026

Sunday 4 October Scottish Racing Academy Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Scottish Racing Academy Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) · 3m2f39y

Official Result

Scottish Racing Academy Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Upfordebate (IRE) Brian Hughes · Patrick Neville
    5/4F
  2. 15/8
  3. 11/4
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Fairlawn Skipper silks
Fairlawn Skipper Non-Runner
Age 6 · 11-12
01U121
115
—
115OR
6
11-12
—
—
SP FCST 7/4
—
1
Golden Point silks
Golden Point
Age 7 · 12-0
/511P-
117
117
116
7
12-0
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 FCST 4/1
Winner two starts back and again three starts back, Golden Point has run over today's trip and going and tops our ranking of the four, but a pulled-up effort last time and 204 days off the track make fitness the one concern under 168 lb.
AI verdict

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Upfordebate silks
Upfordebate
Age 7 · 11-8
5538-1
111
115
109
7
11-8
★★★★☆
—
11/8 31/19 11/10
Won last time out and returns just ten days later, a fresh and fit gelding who has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a weight of 162 lb, and our rating of 109 ranks him only third of four.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Inis Oirr silks
Inis Oirr
Age 9 · 11-3
1-2234
106
116
114
9
11-3
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 7/2 9/2
Inis Oirr has been running consistently, with a fourth last time out, a third two starts back, and a second three starts back, while he is fresh from a run just 10 days ago and has run over today's trip and going before. His placings have slipped with each run, which is the one reservation, but our rating of 114 backs him up.
AI verdict

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Sir Carnegie silks
Sir Carnegie
Age 6 · 11-1
116513
104
115
105
6
11-1
★★★☆☆
—
9/4 FCST 2/1
Sir Carnegie arrives fresh from a third last time out, and a winner two starts back, with three wins in his last six starts, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Quick back out after ten days, but a rating that ranks him last of four is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Fairlawn Skipper 7/4 2/1 15/8 15/8 15/8 — 2/1 Paddy Power
1 Golden Point 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 9/2 Bet365
3 Upfordebate 11/8 open 3.25 11/8 open 3.25 5/4 open 3.25 5/4 open 3.25 11/10 open 3.25 5/4 open 2.63 11/8 Bet365
4 Inis Oirr 5/1 open 8.50 9/2 open 9.00 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 Bet365
5 Sir Carnegie 9/4 open 5.50 2/1 open 4.50 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.00 85/40 open 5.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Upfordebate

Live signal

Upfordebate owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Patrick Neville Brian Hughes
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Golden Point

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
✓ Value Signal

Inis Oirr

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

5/1 · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Upfordebate
65.9 11/8
2 1. Golden Point
61.0 9/2
3 4. Inis Oirr
60.6 5/1
4 5. Sir Carnegie
60.3 9/4
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sir Carnegie
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 7 · 11-8
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 115 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 6 · 11-1
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 115 🐾 —

SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 12-0
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 117 🐾 —

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 9 · 11-3
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 116 🐾 —

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sir Carnegie
Confidence: Speculative

Sir Carnegie (SR:115, 9/4) has steamed in 29% since opening and carries the lightest weight in the field at 11-1, giving him a 13lb advantage over top-weight Golden Point and meaningful concessions to both rivals. His Course:W1P1 record at Kelso is a significant differentiator in a four-runner field where no other runner has proven course form, and his recent form string of 116513 shows consistent competitiveness at this class level with a last-run third suggesting he's in the mix. Brian Hughes on Upfordebate is the main danger, but Upfordebate is now running off a mark 6lb higher than his last win (MarkMv:+6) which is a notable concern, and GoingFit:? means the course specialist with weight in hand gets the vote. Each-way alternative: Upfordebate. Main danger: Upfordebate — Upfordebate is the market favourite at 13/8 with a 20% move in, Brian Hughes (19% strike rate, 964 career rides) is a significant booking, and his last-run win at the same class confirms current form — the +6lb mark rise is the only real concern.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Shane Fenelon (5) is a claiming apprentice/conditional with a modest 9% strike rate (326 rides) — in a tight 4-runner field at Kelso, that inexperience relative to Brian Hughes (19%, 964 rides) is a…
  • Sir Carnegie's form string 116513 includes a '5' and a '1' sandwiching a '3' last time — the last-run third was behind horses he'd previously beaten, suggesting he may be slightly regressing rather t…
  • Upfordebate is the strongest market mover (in 20% to 13/8 favourite) with a 4-star rating versus Sir Carnegie's 3-star — the market and form analysts collectively rate Upfordebate higher despite the…
  • Sir Carnegie is also running off a career-high or near-high mark (MarkMv:+3) and is fitted with a new hood (HG:b) for the first time, introducing a gear-change unknown that could go either way in a s…
Shortlist Sir Carnegie, Upfordebate, Inis Oirr
Each-way: Upfordebate Danger: Upfordebate

🗺 The Course Class 4

3m2f39y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Kelso Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade