Killarney 15:55 RESULTED
4 Oct 2026

Sunday 4 October Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase

Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase · 2m1f0y

Official Result

Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Kilbrin Rocco (IRE) Jack Kennedy · Eoin Christopher McCarthy
    5/2F
  2. 4/1
  3. 33/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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15:05–15:05 · 1 race

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Bythesametoken silks
Bythesametoken
Age 12 · 11-12
359-4U
118
100
124
12
11-12
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 15/2 14/1
Bythesametoken is yet to win in his last five, but he returns just 14 days after unseating, having run over today's trip and on this going before, and his fourth two starts back is the best recent guide. Our rating of 124 puts him top of the ten, though the yard's form is a concern.
AI verdict

SR 100 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Beauforts Storm silks
Beauforts Storm
Age 7 · 11-4
2U744P
110
91
113
7
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 16/1 22/1
Quick back-up in six days after being pulled up last time, but Beauforts Storm has twice finished fourth in her last six outings and has run over today's trip and going before; our 113 puts her second of ten. The risk is that 158 lb is a hefty burden and she is yet to win in that spell.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Kilbrin Rocco silks
Kilbrin Rocco
Age 7 · 10-13
51-292
105
112
103
7
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 11/4 3/1
Kilbrin Rocco was second last time out, just ten days ago, and has run over today's trip and going, but a ninth two starts back and a yard 0/23 in the last 14 days make him hard to fancy. Carrying 153 lb off 105, he's rated eighth of ten on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Ballybrittas silks
Ballybrittas
Age 7 · 10-12
4-5138
104
96
104
7
10-12
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 15/2 10/1
Beaten into eighth last time out, Ballybrittas was third two starts back and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before after 23 days off. A yard 1/24 in the last 14 days and 152 lb temper the case, with our rating of 104 placing him sixth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Cahirdown Boy silks
Cahirdown Boy
Age 11 · 10-12
4U5-FU
104
66
103
11
10-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 20/1 33/1
Unseated last time out, and a faller two starts back, so Cahirdown Boy arrives with jumping questions, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns after just nine days. A fourth five starts back is his best recent effort, and 152 lb is a stiff burden.
AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

6
Claude silks
Claude
Age 5 · 10-10
-03044
102
103
108
5
10-10
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 4/1 9/2
Fourth in each of his last two starts and fresh enough after 23 days, Claude has run over today's trip and going, though he is winless in his last five and carries 150 lb off 102. Our rating of 108 puts him fifth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Presenting Lad silks
Presenting Lad
Age 10 · 10-10
920P22
102
105
111
10
10-10
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 7/2 6/1
Presenting Lad arrives in cracking nick, runner-up last time out and again two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 111 ranks him third of ten. The risk is that he is still yet to win in his last six starts, and 150 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Chosen Shant silks
Chosen Shant
Age 10 · 10-8
125163
100
97
97
10
10-8
★★★☆☆
—
8/1 13/2 8/1
Chosen Shant filled third last time out and is a winner three starts back, but a sixth two starts ago and a quick return after six days make her hard to fancy, especially carrying 148 lb off 100. She has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank her last of ten.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Party President silks
Party President
Age 6 · 10-8
P26600
100
92
109
6
10-8
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 25/1 11/2
Party President has been unplaced in his last two outings but showed his best with a second five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 109 puts him fourth of ten, though 63 days off and 148 lb are the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Stoneyford Lady silks
Stoneyford Lady
Age 7 · 10-8
7-534F
100
99
102
7
10-8
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 FCST 7/2
Stoneyford Lady fell last time out and is yet to win in her last five, with a fourth two starts back and a third three starts back the best of it, while a yard going 3/55 and 148 lb are hard to ignore. She has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 102 still ranks her ninth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Bythesametoken 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 16/1 Paddy Power
2 Beauforts Storm 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 Coral
3 Kilbrin Rocco 10/3 open 5.00 3/1 open 3.75 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 3/1 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 Bet365
4 Ballybrittas 10/1 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365
5 Cahirdown Boy 33/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 Paddy Power
6 Claude 5/1 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 9/2 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 Bet365
7 Presenting Lad 6/1 open 4.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 7/1 Paddy Power
8 Chosen Shant 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 Coral
9 Party President 8/1 open 26.00 11/2 open 26.00 7/1 open 26.00 7/1 open 26.00 13/2 open 26.00 13/2 open 26.00 8/1 Bet365
10 Stoneyford Lady 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 4/1 9/2 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Claude

Live signal

Claude owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Sarah Joanna Connell Peter Smithers(5)
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Kilbrin Rocco

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Eoin Christopher McCarthy
✓ Value Signal

Cahirdown Boy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · E McNamara
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Claude
60.5 5/1
2 3. Kilbrin Rocco
59.2 10/3
3 10. Stoneyford Lady
58.0 4/1
4 7. Presenting Lad
57.0 6/1
5 9. Party President
56.4 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Kilbrin Rocco
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 7 · 10-13
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 112 🐾 —

SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 7 · 10-8
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾 —

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 5 · 10-10
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 103 🐾 —

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 10 · 10-10
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾 —

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 10 · 10-8
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾 —

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 6 · 10-8
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 10-12
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾 —

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 12 · 11-12
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 100 🐾 —

SR 100 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Kilbrin Rocco
Confidence: Speculative

Kilbrin Rocco (SR 112, 7/2) holds the clear SR advantage in this field by 7 points over the next best, and at 10-13 carries a workable weight. Jack Kennedy's booking (22% strike rate from 1221 career rides) is the most significant jockey upgrade in the race and a strong stable signal — connections don't put Kennedy on at 7/2 without intent. The form string 51-292 shows a recent second, meaning peak fitness is there, and while the DistFit:- and GoingFit:~ are mild negatives, the SR gap and jockey quality overpower those concerns. The slight market drift (out 6%) is the main reservation, but Kennedy's presence on a classically superior horse in a modest €9k handicap is the decisive factor. Each-way alternative: Stoneyford Lady. Main danger: Stoneyford Lady — Stoneyford Lady (SR 99, 4/1) is trained by Henry de Bromhead (16% strike rate, 2344 runners) with Darragh O'Keeffe in the plate (13%), carries the lightest weight in the field at 10-8, and is a well-backed second favourite — de Bromhead's runners at this price are rarely without a chance.

Case against 4 clamped
  • MarkMv:+6 indicates the handicapper has raised Kilbrin Rocco's mark by 6lbs off the recent second, meaning he runs off a higher weight today than when he achieved that form figure.
  • Trainer Eoin Christopher McCarthy has only an 8% strike rate from 411 runs — a modest stable signal that partially undermines the Kennedy booking as a reliable intent indicator.
  • GoingFit:~ (uncertain/not ideal) at Killarney on 04-Oct suggests the ground may not suit, and with no DistFit either, the horse is unproven at both this distance and likely going combination today.
  • Market drifted out 6% despite Jack Kennedy's presence — in a €9k handicap where professional money talks, even a modest drift against a heavily-promoted jockey booking is a genuine warning sign of st…
Shortlist Kilbrin Rocco, Stoneyford Lady, Presenting Lad, Chosen Shant
Each-way: Stoneyford Lady Danger: Stoneyford Lady

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Killarney Track and setting