Won last time out and two starts back, so she arrives in good heart, and she has run over today's trip and going before; against that, 35 days since her last run and 132 lb from draw 2 leave plenty to prove, with our rating of 94 placing her seventh of 17.
Form last 6293011
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR94RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Pivotal Attack is a leading threat, a winner three starts back who has run over today's trip and going before, returns after 22 days, and sits third of 17 on our rating of 106 against an official 102. The risk is form: she has finished eighth then ninth in her last two outings.
Form last 6384189
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
106SR106RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Quick back-up run after a fourth last time out, and she's a winner three starts back who has run over today's trip and going before; our 107 rating ranks her second of 17. The main risk is that she's finished fourth in two of her last three outings without getting her head in front.
Form last 645-144
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
106SR107RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Carla Ridge counts a winner two starts back and has run over today's trip, while a third and a second also sit in her last five outings, and our top-ranked runner at 111 gets the nod. A sixth last time and 147 days off are the one reservation, but she looks the one to beat from stall 14.
Form last 62301-6
★AI Rating★★★★☆
115SR111RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-3 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Fregada showed a clear upturn when third last time out, after a fourth two starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 98 ranks her fourth of 17. The risk is a 74-day absence, with 129 lb from draw 9 and yet to win in her last five.
Form last 6-96643
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR98RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Gazelle d'Or has been unplaced in her last two, though a fourth three starts back and seconds four and five starts back show she's capable, and she's run over today's trip and going. Back in just eight days, she's yet to win in recent starts, but our rating of 95 sits well above her official 88.
Form last 6022400
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR95RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fresh from a win last time out just 15 days ago, she has also run over today's trip and going, but an eighth two starts back and a ninth five starts back show inconsistency, and 129 lb from stall 10 is no light task, with our rating of 90 only ninth of 17.
Form last 6294581
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR90RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Staysound Susie has been below her best lately, with a seventh last time out and a sixth three starts back, though she did win four starts back and has run over today's trip and going. Quick back-out after five days and 129 lb are against her, while our 88 rating is only tenth of 17.
Form last 6531607
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR88RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Treasure Rose won twice in her last six starts, but those wins came five and six starts back, and she's since managed a fifth last time out, an eighth, another eighth and a fifth. She's fit after 13 days, has run over today's trip and going, and carries 129 lb from draw 16, with our rating of 84 only ranking her 12th of 17.
Form last 6115885
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR84RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dancing Saxon arrives in cracking form, second last time out, third two starts back and a winner three starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before; a 35-day break and 128 lb from stall one temper that, while our rating of 97 ranks her fifth of 17.
Form last 6112132
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
112SR97RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Do For Love has finished seventh, sixth and sixth in her last three outings, and she is a long way from the win she managed four starts back. Our ratings have her last of 17, and she is hard to fancy off 128 lb, though 44 days off may have freshened her up.
Form last 65-1667
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR65RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Focaccia is winless in her last six, though a third two starts back and a second five starts back show she can get involved, and she has run over today's trip and going. Unplaced last time out 16 days ago and carrying 128 lb from stall six, she looks a midfield type, with our rating of 88 ranking her 11th of 17.
Form last 6828630
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR88RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Institute won last time out, but that came after a fourth two starts back and a sixth three starts back, and 50 days off the track is a concern. Carrying 128 lb from draw 5, she has run over today's trip, yet our figures rank her 16th of 17.
Form last 62-8641
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR77RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Luna Mia was seventh last time out and a fourth two starts back, and she returns after 114 days off with a yard out of form (3/55). She has run over today's trip and going, and her second three starts back is a positive, but our rating of 83 only ranks her 13th of 17.
Form last 6182-47
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR83RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Space Bear arrives in cracking nick, a winner last time out and again two starts back, and she's fresh from a 19-day break with experience of today's trip and going. Even so, 128 lb off an official 85 is a big ask, and our rating of 78 ranks her 15th of 17.
Form last 6230211
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR78RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Third last time out and a second two starts back suggest she's in decent form, though she's had a 35-day break and a win five starts back is her only success in her last six. She has run over today's trip and going, but carries 128 lb from stall 12, and our rating of 94 leaves her mid-pack at eighth of 17.
Form last 6418523
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR94RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Thenandnow is winless in her last six, unplaced last time out and with just two thirds in that spell, so she is hard to fancy at 14th of 17 on our ratings. She has run over today's trip and going, and a quick 13-day turnaround keeps her fit, but 128 lb from stall 13 is a big ask.
Form last 6503530
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR81RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dancing Saxon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Joseph Patrick O'BrienJ M Sheridan
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Carla Ridge
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · Eddie & Patrick Harty✓ Value Signal
Gazelle d'Or
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · M C Grassick◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Dancing Saxon (SR 112, 7/2) is the most complete profile in the field: DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm she handles this exact 6f-on-good combination, while a form string of 112132 shows consistent, high-level form with no weak link. Crucially, the market has shortened 12% from opening — real money arriving on a horse already at a fair price — and she carries the joint-lowest weight in the field at 9-2, a meaningful lbs advantage over Carla Ridge (9-3) and especially Likedbymike (9-6). Joseph Patrick O'Brien's 16% strike rate from 3,193 runners marks him as a top operation and Dancing Saxon is clearly the yard's #1 here, with stable companion Greydreambeliever carrying DistFit:- and GoingFit:- red flags that make her the secondary runner by design.
Each-way alternative: Space Bear.
Main danger: Carla Ridge — Carla Ridge (SR 115, the highest SR in the field) has proven GoingFit:+ and a Curragh win on her record (Course:W1P1), and while the 147-day absence and 20% market drift are concerns, a class-fit drop back to a mark she has previously handled at this course makes her the most dangerous rival if fully wound up.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Carla Ridge (SR:115) is rated 3lbs superior and has a Curragh course win (W1P1); despite 147 days off, her mark has risen +7 suggesting her yard has her ready — she represents a clear class benchmark…
Space Bear is steaming in at 52% market support (vs Dancing Saxon's 12%) in the same 9-2 weight bracket — stronger whisper money arriving on a rival with two recent wins and a +4 mark move questions…
Dancing Saxon's jockey J M Sheridan carries an 11% strike rate from just 1,221 rides — in a 17-runner competitive sprint at the Curragh, this is a notably weaker rider booking than rivals ridden by B…
A MarkMv of +19 means Dancing Saxon is racing off a significantly raised handicap mark — if the assessor has caught up with her 112 SR, the weight-for-age 3yo lbs advantage may not fully compensate f…
ShortlistDancing Saxon, Carla Ridge, Space Bear, Spinning Around