Better Off Alone showed his hand with a third last time out, and at 30 days since that run he should be fresh, having already tackled today's trip and going. Yet to win in his last five, he is still the one to beat on our 104 rating, despite top weight of 168 lb.
Form last 6P34P-3
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
88SR104RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
A Dublin Job has run over today's trip and on this going, and our rating of 100 puts him second of seven, well clear of his official mark of 88 off 158 lb, while 19 days since his last run suggests he's fit enough. The risk is a poor strike-rate, yet to win in his last six starts and unseated two runs back.
Form last 65565U6
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR100RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Hard to fancy, as Bravethewaves was unplaced last time out and has finished a fifth, then a seventh, since his win four starts back. He has run on today's going and returns after 36 days, but 155 lb is a lot to carry, and our rating of 79 sits sixth of seven.
Form last 67175-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
62SR79RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Another Mystery won two starts back and was fifth last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before, with our rating of 85 ranking him third of seven; the risk is a 117-day absence under 152 lb.
Form last 63PU1-5
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
78SR85RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Fit after 24 days off, Izzy's Grey has run over today's trip and going, and a second three starts back is the best of his recent efforts; he is yet to win in his last five, though, and a sixth last time out is the risk, with 151 lb to carry.
Form last 6-44206
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR85RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed in his last three outings, with a third last time out, another third two starts back and a second three starts back, and he is fit after 24 days off. Having run over today's trip and going helps, but 151 lb is a big weight to carry off 81, and our rating of 80 ranks him only fifth of seven.
Form last 6-1P233
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR80RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Fane Court is yet to win in his last five, though a third last time out, a second two starts back and a third three starts back show he is bang in the mix; he has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 145 lb and ranked last of seven on our figures, he is hard to fancy.
Form last 6P-4323
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
86SR78RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Better Off Alone owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Martin KeighleyFreddie Keighley(5)
74%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Fane Court
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · D. J. Jeffreys✓ Value Signal
A Dublin Job
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Sarah-Jayne Davies◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Fane Court (SR:86, 3/1) carries the lightest competitive weight at 10-5 and is the only runner in this field with confirmed distance AND going fit (DistFit:+ GoingFit:+), meaning its form evidence at 3m on good ground is genuinely proven — a critical edge in a 3m chase. Its recent form 4-3-2-3 shows consistent placing at this class without winning, but the weight advantage over Better Off Alone (12-0) and Jo Arengeot Bey Aa (10-11) is meaningful over a stamina test. The trainer Jeffreys sends it out freshened at 26 days and the apprentice claim from Lewis Stones (3lb) further reduces the burden to an effective 10-2, which is the lightest effective weight in the field.
Each-way alternative: Jo Arengeot Bey Aa.
Main danger: Jo Arengeot Bey Aa — Jo Arengeot Bey Aa (SR:85, 7/4) has outstanding course form (W1P3 at Uttoxeter), is steaming in the market at 6%, and carries Gavin Sheehan — a 23% career strike-rate jockey who is by far the best booking in the race — and Donald McCain's 15% trainer strike rate adds further confidence despite the DistFit:- concern.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Fane Court has not won in its last 6 starts (form P-4323), suggesting a horse that consistently finds one or two too good — a pattern likely to repeat against the market-drifting favourite Jo Arengeo…
Trainer D.J. Jeffreys operates at only 9% strike rate from 239 runners — a notably weak yard record that undermines confidence in converting this theoretical weight advantage into an actual win.
Jo Arengeot Bey Aa (7/4, SR:85) is trained by Donald McCain (15%) with Gavin Sheehan (23% strike rate) aboard, both significantly superior handler/jockey combinations, and the horse is moving in the…
Lewis Stones is a conditional claiming 3lb but holds only a 12% strike rate; the claim benefit is offset by inexperience in a 3m chase where positional judgment and jumping fluency under pressure mat…
ShortlistFane Court, Jo Arengeot Bey Aa, Better Off Alone
Each-way: Jo Arengeot Bey AaDanger: Jo Arengeot Bey Aa