Killarney Races Beginners Steeplechase · 2m4f180y
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 78 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Impero | 11/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 Paddy Power |
| 2 Mister Loolah | 66/1 open 101.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Stede Bonnet | 8/11 open 2.50 | 8/11 open 3.00 | 8/11 open 2.63 | 8/11 open 2.63 | 8/11 open 2.63 | 8/11 open 2.63 | 8/11 Bet365 |
| 4 Time Is A Thief | 6/5 open 2.10 | 11/10 open 1.62 | 6/5 open 1.80 | 6/5 open 1.80 | 6/5 open 1.73 | 6/5 open 1.80 | 6/5 Bet365 |
| 5 Woodstream Lad | 25/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 41.00 | 22/1 open 41.00 | 22/1 open 41.00 | 22/1 open 41.00 | 22/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Time Is A Thief owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
No drifters in this race.
Stede Bonnet (SR 108, evens) is the standout pick despite carrying a MarkMv:+1. The horse has confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+) and going fitness (GoingFit:+) for today's 2m4f180y on good ground — two critical signals that no other runner can match. Crucially, the market has steamed in 28% to evens, reflecting strong confidence from Gordon Elliott's yard (18% strike rate, 4040 runners), with Jack Kennedy booking (22% strike rate, 1221 runners) — an elite combination that rarely appears without intent. The form string 30-230 shows consistent placed efforts, and this is a small field of just five where class and connections matter enormously. Each-way alternative: Impero. Main danger: Time Is A Thief — Despite the alarming 37% drift, Time Is A Thief carries the highest SR in the field at 112 and a form line showing a win over hurdles (2/F1-2), and Henry de Bromhead's yard retains a 16% strike rate — if the layoff concerns prove unfounded, the raw ability is there to trouble Stede Bonnet.