Placed in each of her last two starts, Catherine Magennis arrives here in good nick after 29 days off, with experience of today's trip and going working in her favour; third last time out and a runner-up two starts back, she looks the one to beat despite being yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 6723
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR79RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Duke of Leggagh won one of his last five starts and tackles a trip and going he has already encountered, arriving here fresh on a 20-day break and carrying a weight our rating of 79 suggests he can handle; the risk is a run of unplaced efforts in more recent starts.
Form last 6157-90
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR79RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Daonethatgotaway showed a glimmer of potential with a win six starts back, but his last three runs have been well below that level; he has experience over today's trip and going, and a 17-day turnaround keeps him fresh, though the 140 lb is the obvious concern.
Form last 6142079
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR73RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked well down on our figures, Deralo Ir is hard to fancy despite carrying a manageable 140 lb; a second four starts back is the sole encouragement, and while he has run over today's trip and going before, recent form makes him a tough sell.
Form last 6527-70
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR62RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Consistent sort who has placed in four of her last five starts — third last time out and third two starts back, with a second three starts back — but Lady Plimsoll remains yet to win and her 140 lb burden may test her resolve here.
Form last 6262-33
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR74RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Enchanted Lady arrives on the back of a ninth last time out and has been winless in her last five starts, with a fifth three starts back the best of recent efforts; she has run over today's trip and going, but rated 11th of 18 she faces a stiff ask here.
Form last 604579
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR66RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Summer Snow arrives on an 11-day turnaround with going experience in her favour, and our rating of 77 marks her out as a leading danger; the chief concern is a sequence of disappointing finishes that offers little encouragement.
Form last 6-90508
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
47SR77RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in his last three starts, Double Indian arrives here 35 days fresh and with experience of today's trip and going, though a run of eighth, seventh and ninth gives little encouragement, and a hefty 138 lb is an additional burden to overcome.
Form last 6978
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR73RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 12 of 18 here, Coulstys Way nevertheless showed ability with a third two starts back, though the unseating latest is a concern; she has run over today's trip and going, and 135 lb is no light burden.
Form last 628-03U
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR65RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Lily Parr heads here 19 days after a sixth, carrying 135 lb, though she has run over today's trip and going before and a rating of 72 offers some encouragement that better may be in her.
Form last 6544-06
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR72RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.
Winless in her last five starts and drawn from a yard without a win in 27 attempts over the past fortnight, Master Sydney faces an uphill task, though her experience over today's trip and going and a quick ten-day turnaround at least suggest she arrives ready.
Form last 64-0608
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR74RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 14 of 18 on our figures, Out On Friday makes for a tough sell; a second four starts back offers a rare crumb of comfort, and he does have experience over today's trip and going, returning after 18 days off carrying 132 lb.
Form last 6-02070
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR64RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Spy won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving him a solid platform, though he carries 131 lb and his record shows inconsistency in recent starts, with two sixths alongside the better efforts.
Form last 663361-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR66RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Chopsticks has struggled badly in his last three starts, finishing unplaced twice and ninth, and he ranks 15th of 18 on our figures — hard to fancy despite being winless in recent starts, experience over today's trip and going offering slim comfort.
Form last 6-34090
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR64RPR57OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 13 of 18 on our figures, Fianna faces a stiff ask on return from a 118-day absence, though she has run over today's trip and going before and her third three starts back shows she can find the frame.
Form last 65635-7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR65RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Ranked 17 of 18 on our figures, Yquem makes for a tough sell despite a win three starts back and a third two starts back; she has run over today's trip and going before, but a return to that level looks required.
Form last 6589134
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
61SR55RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Autocrat landed a win six starts back and has experience of today's distance and going, so the ingredients are there for a revival after 29 days off; the concern is that he has been out of the frame in his last five starts.
Form last 6170009
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR77RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Piatra Neamt makes for a difficult proposition, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a handy 13-day turnaround.
Form last 60-0058
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR50RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Lady Plimsoll owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3M D O'CallaghanJamie Powell
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Coulstys Way
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Patrick Magee✓ Value Signal
Double Indian
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Mrs John Harrington◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Coulstys Way (SR:59, 4/1) carries a very light 9-9 and has steamed in 17% in the market — the strongest positive market move in the field — suggesting stable confidence in a yard running at 10%. The SR of 59 is competitive for this level and the weight advantage over higher-rated rivals Catherine Magennis (SR:67, 10-2) and Lady Plimsoll (SR:65, 10-0) is meaningful at 1m4f on good ground where every pound counts. The form string 28-03U includes an unseated rider which distorts the recent picture, and prior to that there are respectable finishes; the market move suggests connections believe the horse is ready to build on that underlying ability. At 4/1 in a wide-open 18-runner handicap, the combination of market confidence, light weight, and credible SR justifies the pick.
Each-way alternative: Catherine Magennis.
Main danger: Catherine Magennis — Catherine Magennis carries the highest SR in the field (67) and despite drifting 9% has Seamie Heffernan booked — a jockey whose presence on any runner in an Irish provincial handicap is meaningful — and recent form of 7-2-3 shows consistent competitive placement at this level.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string 28-03U shows a '0' (last-place finish) immediately before the unseated rider — this is not just a distorted picture; the horse has two consecutive non-completions/failures in its most rec…
Jockey Jack Kearney (3lb claimer) strikes at only 5% from 187 rides — in an 18-runner competitive handicap at 1m4f, inexperienced handling in a large field is a concrete disadvantage.
Yquem (SR:61, 8-8, 11/2) has shown improving form (MarkMv:+10, recent sequence 589134) and carries 13lb less than Coulstys Way; the weight concession from a higher-rated, in-form rival undermines the…
Trainer Patrick Magee runs at 10% but from only 143 runners — a small yard strike rate; the 17% market move in a large field could reflect a small number of bets rather than genuine stable confidence…
ShortlistCoulstys Way, Catherine Magennis, Lady Plimsoll, Yquem