Lingfield (AW) 17:52 RESULTED
Class 6 18 Aug 2026

Tuesday 18 August Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 6f1y

Official Result

Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Balon D'or (GB) Paddy Bradley · Simon Dow
    7/2
  2. Second Happier (IRE)
    3/1
  3. 5/2F
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Chepstow

14:15–17:00 · 6 races

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14:30–18:22 · 8 races

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17:30–20:00 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Diamond Dreamer silks
Diamond Dreamer
Age 6 · 9-9
263760
60
59
62
6
9-9
10/1 FCST 8/1
Diamond Dreamer has run over today's trip and going before, but he arrives winless in his last six starts, with only a third and a second offering any encouragement; 47 days off and 135 lb from stall 10 add further questions for this midfield prospect.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Express Train silks
Express Train
Age 4 · 9-9
-63907
60
33
64
4
9-9
25/1 14/1 22/1
Express Train has run over today's trip and going, carries a workable 135 lb from stall three, and our rating of 64 edges him clear of his official mark — but he is winless in his last five starts, and that persistent shortfall in form is the key concern.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

3
Happier silks
Happier
Age 6 · 9-9
049611
55
68
66
6
9-9
9/4 FCST 2/1
Happier arrives in cracking form, winning on each of her last two starts, and she has experience of today's distance and going to call upon. Carrying 135 lb from stall five, our rating has her top of these, and she looks the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Peregrine Falcon silks
Peregrine Falcon
Age 4 · 9-8
-23536
59
44
64
4
9-8
12/1 14/1 9/1
Placed third two starts back and runner-up five starts back, Peregrine Falcon arrives fit on 18 days' rest with experience over today's trip and going, and our rating of 64 suggests she holds solid claims — the risk is she has been winless in her last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

5
Big Bard silks
Big Bard
Age 8 · 9-7
7-1906
58
42
61
8
9-7
20/1 11/1 14/1
Big Bard has a win among his last five outings but has since posted a ninth and a sixth, and 69 days off the track adds a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 133 lb from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Balon d'Or silks
Balon d'Or
Age 5 · 9-7
-76484
58
58
66
5
9-7
5/1 11/2 9/2
Winless in his last five starts, Balon d'Or nonetheless catches the eye as the second-ranked runner on our ratings, with experience over today's trip and going and a lively 14-day turnaround suggesting he arrives fresh; the concern is that his recent form has yet to translate into a placing.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Alashos silks
Alashos
Age 4 · 9-6
448147
57
58
60
4
9-6
7/1 11/2 6/1
Alashos won three starts back but has posted a fourth and seventh since, and 57 days off the track adds a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 132 lb from stall seven, and a rating of 60 gives him a slim edge over his official mark.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Due Date silks
Due Date
Age 6 · 9-5
807762
56
48
55
6
9-5
10/1 11/2 7/1
Winless in his last six starts, with a sixth, two sevenths, and an unplaced run among recent efforts, Due Date is hard to fancy ranked ninth of ten on our figures, though that second last time out and experience over today's distance and going offer slim encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Dashing Donkey silks
Dashing Donkey
Age 5 · 9-4
-05049
55
63
60
5
9-4
10/3 4/1 11/4
Winless in his last five starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Dashing Donkey faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's distance and going before and comes in reasonably fresh at 19 days since his last outing.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Porfin silks
Porfin
Age 8 · 8-9
045455
46
41
51
8
8-9
16/1 14/1 16/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Porfin is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns just five days after his latest fifth.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Diamond Dreamer 10/1 open 9.00 9/1 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365
2 Express Train 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365
3 Happier 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 2/1 2/1 5/2 open 3.00 2/1 open 3.25 5/2 William Hill
4 Peregrine Falcon 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
5 Big Bard 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 Bet365
6 Balon d'Or 5/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 Betfred
7 Alashos 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 6.50 6/1 6/1 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 Bet365
8 Due Date 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 8.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 Bet365
9 Dashing Donkey 10/3 open 10.00 10/3 open 6.50 11/4 open 8.00 11/4 open 8.00 10/3 open 8.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Betfred
10 Porfin 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Happier

Speculative

Happier owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Martin Keighley Toby Moore(7)
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Balon d'Or

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Simon Dow
✓ Value Signal

Express Train

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Richard Phillips
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Happier
51.5 9/4
2 6. Balon d'Or
49.1 5/1
3 9. Dashing Donkey
47.7 10/3
4 7. Alashos
44.5 7/1
5 1. Diamond Dreamer
41.4 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Happier
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 6 · 9-9
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 5 · 9-4
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-7
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-6
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 6 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 9-5
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-8
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

10
Age 8 · 8-9
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 41 🐾

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
Age 8 · 9-7
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 42 🐾

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Happier
Confidence: Speculative

Happier (SR:68, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field by SR margin, carrying a reasonable 9-9 and holding the only GoingFit:+ and DistFit:~ combination among contenders. The form string 049611 shows three consecutive wins culminating in a last-run victory just 6 days ago, confirming peak form right now. Running off the same mark as that last win (MarkMv:=) means connections haven't been punished by the handicapper yet, and trainer Keighley's 12% strike rate is solid for this level. The slight market drift of 5% is a mild concern but is more likely attributable to the quick back-up than any insider doubt. Each-way alternative: Dashing Donkey. Main danger: Dashing Donkey — Dashing Donkey (SR:63, 3/1) has steamed in 47% in the market — the most significant market move in the field — and carries the lightest weight of the serious contenders at 9-4, giving it a 5lb pull on Happier, which is significant in a Class 6 sprint even if the going and distance flags are both negative.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Happier's jockey Toby Moore is a 7lb claimer with a modest 7% strike rate (69 rides), a significant rider downgrade risk in a competitive handicap at this level.
  • Dashing Donkey (SR:63, 3/1) is heavily backed — in 47% — and is only 5 SR points behind Happier despite carrying 5lb less, making it a serious market-backed threat.
  • Running just 6 days after a win risks a flat rebound; the horse has had almost no recovery time and course form shows W0P1, suggesting Lingfield AW hasn't suited before.
  • A 5% market drift on the top pick while a rival drifts in 47% suggests significant money moving away from Happier specifically toward an alternative selection in this race.
Shortlist Happier, Dashing Donkey, Diamond Dreamer
Each-way: Dashing Donkey Danger: Dashing Donkey

🗺 The Course Class 6

6f1y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Lingfield (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade