Samra Star arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and brings experience of today's trip and conditions, but her official mark of 62 and 139 lb burden may blunt that momentum, and an eighth two starts further back serves as a reminder she is not entirely consistent.
Form last 6438211
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR67RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Gladiadora arrives here in sound nick after 29 days off, and her second two starts back shows she can hit the frame; yet to win in recent starts, though her experience over today's trip and going, combined with a rating of 68 that just edges her to the top of these, makes her the one to beat.
Form last 6248424
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR68RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Goldie Trickett has run over today's trip and going before, and her rating of 67 marks her out as a strong threat at the head of these rankings, with a third in recent starts suggesting consistent ability; the main risk is she remains winless in her last five.
Form last 6-35844
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR67RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Khepri has been fourth in each of her last three starts and, rated 10 lb below her official mark on our figures, she looks up against it here, making her hard to fancy despite a reasonable break of 21 days since she last appeared.
Form last 6444
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR55RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Blue Celestial has been knocking persistently on the door, finishing second twice in her last three starts, and her experience over today's trip and going gives her every chance from stall one carrying 134 lb; the sole concern is that she remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 6243622
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR67RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Albertini Star has been running into a place in her last two starts — third and second — and has run over today's trip and going before, with 26 days between runs suggesting she arrives fresh; winless in her last five, though, and ranked seventh of ten on our figures, she faces a stiff ask from stall eight carrying 133 lb.
Form last 6860-23
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR64RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mimi's Magic has shown steady progression deep in her recent form, finishing second and third in her last five starts, and she has run over today's trip and going before; the concern is that she has drifted back to sixth and eighth since, leaving her yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 6-32568
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR67RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Sailor's Return faces a stiff ask, though she has run over today's trip before and returns on a quick turnaround of just 15 days.
Form last 6446604
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR64RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Landed a win two starts back but had to settle for second last time out, and her record in recent starts is mixed; has run over today's trip and going, and at 130 lb from stall five she has plenty to prove if that consistent form is to resurface.
Form last 64-0712
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
67SR65RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last four starts, with a pair of seventh-place finishes her best recent efforts, Delevingne Dream cuts a difficult profile on these figures and ranks last of the ten runners; stall two and experience over today's trip offer slim comfort.
Form last 60-077
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
31SR48RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Samra Star owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Linda PerrattOisin Murphy
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Blue Celestial
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · James Tate✓ Value Signal
Mimi's Magic
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Ed Dunlop◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Samra Star (SR:74, 3/1) shares the joint-top SR in the field with Blue Celestial but carries 9-13 versus Blue Celestial's 9-8 — a 5lb disadvantage that is partially offset by far superior course-and-distance credentials: DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm she has a proven record at this trip and on this going type, whereas Blue Celestial is DistFit:- at 1m0f142y. The form string 438211 shows a horse in steep progressive form — three consecutive wins or near-wins reading right-to-left — and the market has shortened 12% (Mkt:in12%), the sharpest steamer in the field, suggesting professional money is following her. Oisin Murphy (21% career SR) is a top-tier booking for a Class 5 handicap and reinforces that connections are confident despite the step up in class (ClassMv:↑1) and a mark 9lb higher than her last win — the going and distance fit absorb much of that concern.
Each-way alternative: Blue Celestial.
Main danger: Blue Celestial — Blue Celestial (SR:74, 7/2) matches Samra Star on ability, carries 5lb less, has placed twice at Wolverhampton (Course:W0P2), and has shortened 8% in the market — if she handles the slightly longer trip better than her DistFit:- suggests, she has the weight advantage and course familiarity to reverse the pick.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
MarkMv:+9 means she runs off a mark 9lb higher than her last winning mark — a steep rise that, combined with ClassMv:↑1, makes her potentially well-treated on paper but actually exposed to a stiffer…
At 9-13 she is the joint-heaviest impost in the field, conceding weight to every single rival including the 3yo fillies, and carries 5lb more than joint-top-SR rival Blue Celestial — a meaningful phy…
Linda Perratt trains at 12% SR (111 runners), a below-average strike rate for a stable sending a horse on a long southern trip to Wolverhampton, raising doubts about whether the yard is genuinely pea…
Only 11 days since last run and form reads 438211 — the two most recent wins may have come on easier marks; today's +9 mark rise means the well is potentially dry and connections may be cashing in ra…
ShortlistSamra Star, Blue Celestial, Sunshine And Roses, Gladiadora