Winless in her last six starts but shaped with promise last time, finishing second twelve days ago to arrive here in decent nick; she has run over today's trip and going before, though her ranking of sixth from eleven in the field suggests she faces a stiff task from stall six carrying 142 lb.
Form last 6330862
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR71RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and returning after 69 days off, Kakori has going experience to call on but faces a stiff ask from stall ten carrying 142 lb; third last time out offers a crumb of encouragement, though consistency remains elusive.
Form last 65-0963
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR70RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Loingseoir arrives here third last time out and brings strong claims on our rating, which puts him narrowly top of the rankings; he has run over today's trip and going, and from stall three carries 142 lb, though the main concern is that he remains winless in his last six starts.
Form last 6744643
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR77RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Phidias Ovation arrives 67 days since his last outing and faces a stiff task, though he has run over today's going before and that experience offers a sliver of encouragement.
Form last 608-070
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR58RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Bucaneer's Spirit shaped well for a podium finish three starts back and brings solid distance-and-going experience to the table, with our rating of 74 putting him ahead of his official mark; the risk is that he has been winless in recent starts and a return to form is needed.
Form last 6334294
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR74RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kashel Spring arrives here in fair trim — a winner four starts back and though only fifth and sixth in more recent outings, with experience of both today's trip and going working in her favour from stall 8. The main concern is trainer form, currently just 1 from 24 over the last fortnight.
Form last 6414-56
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR75RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Hexagonal landed a win three starts back but has been out of the frame in his two most recent outings, and a trainer strike-rate of just 4% over the past fortnight is a concern, though the quick 11-day turnaround and experience over today's trip and going offer some positives.
Form last 6960107
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR68RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fifth two starts back hints at some ability, but Concert Party has been largely out of the frame in recent starts and her trainer is in a lean spell at 1/24 over the last fortnight; the experience over today's trip and going gives some grounding, though her overall form makes faith tricky.
Form last 610-950
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR72RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Forlio won two starts back and returns here fit on just ten days' rest, with experience of both today's trip and going in his favour. He carries 126 lb from stall one, and though his trainer is in a quiet spell, his overall profile makes him our pick.
Form last 6-58410
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR72RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Moyassr has been unplaced in each of his last two starts and, with his trainer yet to score in 27 attempts over the past fortnight, confidence is hard to find; he has run over today's trip and going before, but that does little to offset a ranking of ninth from eleven on our figures.
Form last 6515600
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
62SR66RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, She's Ideal faces a stiff ask here, though back-to-back wins in her last two starts give her genuine current form to cling to; she has experience over today's trip and going, and 126 lb from stall five is her lot.
Form last 6387711
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR65RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
She's Ideal owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/8Adrian McGuinnessPatrick McGettigan(2)
73%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Forlio
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/1 · Paul W Flynn✓ Value Signal
Kashel Spring
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Denis Gerard Hogan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
She's Ideal (SR:81, 7/4) holds a commanding SR advantage over every rival — the next best is Forlio at SR:72 — and her recent form of 387711 shows two consecutive wins arriving into this race with strong momentum. She carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-0, giving her a meaningful lbs edge over the heavier-weighted rivals in the 66-69 SR band. The market has shortened 7% to 7/4, confirming professional support, and while GoingFit:- is noted, her last two wins demonstrate she's in peak form and capable of overcoming that concern. The GoingFit flag is the primary risk, but class superiority at this level makes her the clear selection.
Each-way alternative: Kakori.
Main danger: Kakori — Kakori (SR:62, 13/2) has steamed in 20% in the market — the strongest market move in the field — Joseph O'Brien's yard at 15% strike rate gives connections credibility, and at 4 years old with distance unknown (DistFit:?) there may be unexposed upside over this 1m2f94y trip that the market is now pricing in.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
GoingFit flag is '-' (unknown/unproven) despite her headgear being 'p' (blinkers); her two recent wins may have come on going conditions not replicated today at Roscommon.
Her form of 387711 shows she was beaten well in four of her last six runs — the two wins may flatter a horse that is inconsistent rather than one on a genuine upward trajectory.
Bucaneer's Spirit (SR:69, 9-9) has a MarkMv of +7 suggesting a rising handicap mark and is only 3lbs lighter, while Forlio (SR:72) shares the same weight and was racing just 10 days ago — She's Ideal…
At 7/4 in a 11-runner handicap, She's Ideal is a short price; the market has only firmed 7% and rivals like Concert Party (in 7%, MarkMv:-8) and Kakori (in 20%) have attracted stronger relative suppo…