Wolverhampton (AW) 18:30 RESULTED
Class 4 18 Aug 2026

Tuesday 18 August Visit wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk To Book Now Handicap Stakes

Visit wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk To Book Now Handicap Stakes · 0m7f36y

Official Result

Visit wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk To Book Now Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Spaceman (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard & Peter Fahey
    2/1F
  2. 3/1
  3. Third Padua (IRE)
    14/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Percy's Lad silks
Percy's Lad
Age 8 · 10-5
006261
86
88
95
8
10-5
3/1 FCST 9/4
Percy's Lad arrives in good heart, winning last time out and second three starts back, and he has experience of both today's trip and going conditions; a slight query at 145 lb, but his profile makes him the one to beat here.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Naepoint silks
Naepoint
Age 5 · 10-0
1/060-
85
54
87
5
10-0
33/1 22/1 20/1
Naepoint showed he knows how to win with a victory four starts back, and he has experience over today's trip and conditions, while his 87 rating underlines his claims; the concern is a lengthy 332-day absence that leaves fitness the key unknown.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

3
Haaderr silks
Haaderr
Age 3 · 9-8
221-43
84
89
81
3
9-8
7/2
Third last time out keeps Haaderr in the mix, and a winner three starts back shows the ability is there; a trainer firing at 41% is a notable plus, though he carries 134 lb from stall 10 and our rating ranks him sixth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Havanagreattime silks
Havanagreattime
Age 5 · 9-7
2709-0
78
51
87
5
9-7
50/1 22/1 25/1
Havanagreattime arrives on the back of experience over today's trip and going, and his second five starts back shows he can threaten at this level; at 133 lb from stall three, though, the weight burden is the key question mark for a gelding yet to score in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

5
Inside Story silks
Inside Story
Age 3 · 9-6
7-5482
82
84
88
3
9-6
10/3 5/2 11/4
Inside Story finished second last time out and her rating of 88 marks her as a genuine danger, with experience over today's trip and going working in her favour; the concern is that she remains yet to win in her last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Padua silks
Padua
Age 4 · 9-6
14-049
77
71
80
4
9-6
10/1 17/2 7/1
Padua won five starts back and shaped with promise when fourth two starts back, but a ninth last time out is hard to overlook; he has distance and going experience, and 132 lb from stall one gives the handicapper's view in numbers.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Packetofbiscuits silks
Packetofbiscuits
Age 4 · 9-4
112507
75
48
76
4
9-4
28/1 16/1 18/1
Packetofbiscuits has shown ability at his best, winning twice in his last six starts, but a seventh and an unplaced run since and a 110-day absence make him hard to fancy, and he is ranked ninth of ten on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

8
He's A Gentleman silks
He's A Gentleman
Age 7 · 9-3
9-7227
74
83
79
7
9-3
5/1 6/1 7/2
Winless in his last five starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, He's A Gentleman faces a stiff task, with his trainer in poor recent form at 1/22 over the last 14 days; experience over today's trip and going at least offers some familiarity.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Spaceman silks
Spaceman
Age 3 · 9-0
2-313
76
95
82
3
9-0
2/1 11/4 31/19
Spaceman showed he can win at this level when successful two starts back, and a third last time out keeps him in decent nick, but he has not always dominated from this draw and 126 lb is no featherweight ask for a 76-rated colt returning after 22 days.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

10
Shaw Park silks
Shaw Park
Age 7 · 8-11
2-8308
68
49
74
7
8-11
50/1 FCST 28/1
Shaw Park has been winless in his last five starts, with an eighth last time out and a third three starts back his most notable efforts, and 160 days off the track does little to inspire confidence; ranked last on our figures, he faces a stiff ask here.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Percy's Lad 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 3.25 5/2 open 3.25 9/4 10/3 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 10/3 William Hill
2 Naepoint 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 22/1 open 29.00 20/1 open 29.00 28/1 25/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
3 Haaderr 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 Bet365
4 Havanagreattime 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
5 Inside Story 10/3 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 Betfred
6 Padua 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 9.50 17/2 11/1 William Hill
7 Packetofbiscuits 28/1 open 17.00 30/1 open 21.00 18/1 18/1 25/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 30/1 Paddy Power
8 He's A Gentleman 5/1 open 9.50 9/2 open 11.00 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 5/1 Bet365
9 Spaceman 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 4.50 13/8 open 3.75 13/8 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.75 15/8 open 3.75 2/1 Bet365
10 Shaw Park 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Haaderr

Speculative

Haaderr owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Edward Bethell Daniel Tudhope
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Spaceman

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Richard & Peter Fahey
✓ Value Signal

Havanagreattime

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Ruth Carr
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Haaderr
57.2 7/2
2 9. Spaceman
57.0 2/1
3 5. Inside Story
55.9 10/3
4 1. Percy's Lad
52.0 3/1
5 8. He's A Gentleman
50.3 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Spaceman
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 9-0
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 95 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 8 · 10-5
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-6
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-8
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 7 · 9-3
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-6
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Spaceman
Confidence: Medium

Spaceman (SR 95, 7/4) holds the clear SR advantage in this field — 6 points clear of the next best Haaderr (SR 89) — and combines that ability edge with a GoingFit:+ on today's going, Course:W1P1 at Wolverhampton, and a 20% market steam since opening. Carrying just 9-0, the lightest weight among the leading contenders, Spaceman has a meaningful pounds edge over Percy's Lad (10-5) and Haaderr (9-8). The form string 2-313 shows consistent involvement at this class level, and as the Fahey yard's #1 runner (Naepoint is a 332-day absentee at SR 54 and clearly not the stable's main hope), connections are clearly focused here. Oisin Orr (14% strike rate, 710 career rides) provides competent handling and the market confidence is the final confirmation. Each-way alternative: Haaderr. Main danger: He's A Gentleman — He's A Gentleman (SR 83, 5/1) has steamed 33% in the market, holds Course:W1P4 at Wolverhampton — a strong specialist profile — and is ridden by Oisin Murphy (21% career strike rate), making it a genuine threat if the visor switch sparks further improvement.

Case against 4 clamped
  • He's A Gentleman (SR 83) has Course:W1P4 — far superior Wolverhampton course form than Spaceman's W1P1 — and is ridden by Oisin Murphy (21% SR) while steaming in 33% in the market, suggesting shrewd…
  • Spaceman's form string 2-313 includes only 4 runs; the dash suggests a break, and with just one course placing, his ability to handle Wolverhampton's unique polytrak surface consistently is unproven…
  • Haaderr (SR 89, Days:17) is fit, trained by Bethell (16% yard strike rate) with Tudhope (16%) aboard and has a HG:t flag — likely a headgear tweak today that could sharpen performance, narrowing Spac…
  • Fahey yard is running at only 9% (444 runners) this season — well below the field's leading trainers — and Orr's 14% strike rate on 710 rides is modest; the stable/jockey combination offers no meanin…
Shortlist Spaceman, Haaderr, He's A Gentleman, Percy's Lad
Each-way: Haaderr Danger: He's A Gentleman

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m7f36y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade