Seven Nation Army arrives on the back of a win last time out and a second two starts back, clocking up a sharp sequence that marks him out as a genuine threat; the risk is that our rating suggests he may be flattered by his official mark.
Form last 688621
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR82RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Green Dreamer arrives on the back of a win last time out and has already sampled today's trip and conditions, giving him a solid fitness and experience platform; the main risk is that his speed rating of 54 leaves him with plenty to prove against stronger company.
Form last 651
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR70RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Noble Agenda arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip, though 60 days off the track raises a fitness question; carrying 134 lb from stall 6, he has the profile of an each-way contender rather than a certainty, rated fifth of nine.
Form last 61
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR69RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed last time out and a winner five starts back, Lars Soldier brings solid recent form and going experience to this, and his rating of 92 marks him out as the one to beat in a field of nine; the 130 lb burden is the sole query.
Form last 6415342
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR92RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Oristown Boy won last time out but his profile is undermined by a substantial gap between his official mark and our rating, leaving him ranked towards the foot of this field; he has run over today's trip and going, and comes here on a quick turnaround of sixteen days.
Form last 6041
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR64RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Emotional Hedging shaped well when second last time out and returns on a quick turnaround of just 13 days, suggesting connections are keen, but his rating of 69 ranks him sixth of nine and he is yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 62
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
64SR69RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in recent starts and rated well below the top of the field, Grit And Glory faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns reasonably fresh after a 33-day break from stall two carrying 127 lb.
Form last 60
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR53RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Sword Of State arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving her a solid profile at 127 lb from stall 3; the risk is that seventh two starts back hints her form can be inconsistent.
Form last 671
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR73RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in recent starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Gabby Hayes faces a stiff task here; he has run over today's trip before and a 16-day turnaround suggests he is fit, but little else in the profile encourages confidence from stall one carrying 125 lb.
Form last 69
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR47RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Seven Nation Army owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1Joseph Patrick O'BrienDeclan McDonogh
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Green Dreamer
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/5 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien✓ Value Signal
Grit And Glory
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Jack Foley◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Green Dreamer (SR 79, 4/5) is the clear standout in this field. The market has backed this horse in aggressively — a 36% shortening from opening price — and the O'Brien yard's #1 runner is confirmed by the superior jockey booking: Dylan Browne McMonagle (15% strike rate from 1,027 rides) versus Declan McDonogh (8% from 630) on stablemate Seven Nation Army. Green Dreamer's form reads 5-1, with the most recent run a win, and it carries 9-10 — a meaningful 2lb weight advantage over Seven Nation Army (9-12) despite holding the higher probability of being the yard's primary target. The SR of 79 leads the field by a clear margin among genuinely competitive runners, and the connections signal — elite jockey, proven trainer, money coming in — all point the same direction.
Each-way alternative: Sword Of State.
Main danger: Sword Of State — Sword Of State (SR 76, 13/2) won last time out and shows no market drift, suggesting connections are quietly confident — at a price it represents the most credible threat to Green Dreamer.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Seven Nation Army holds a higher SR (83 vs 79) and, despite being the 'second string', that superior raw rating means it is the more exposed, better-performing horse on form figures — the jockey spli…
Sword Of State (SR:76, Form:71, 13/2) has also won last time out and drifted in the market far less aggressively; at 13/2 it represents a live threat that Green Dreamer's short 4/5 price completely f…
Green Dreamer has only two career runs (Form:51) — a win sandwiched between a fifth — giving very thin evidence of ability, while today's field includes horses with more extensive form books to rate…
At 4/5 there is virtually no margin for error; the 36% market move has compressed the price to a point where the expected value is poor if any of the 13/2 dangers — Seven Nation Army or Sword Of Stat…
ShortlistGreen Dreamer, Sword Of State, Noble Agenda