Roscommon 18:15 RESULTED
18 Aug 2026

Tuesday 18 August Irish EBF Auction Series Race

Irish EBF Auction Series Race · 0m7f111y

Official Result

Irish EBF Auction Series Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Emotional Hedging (IRE) Gary Carroll · Gavin Cromwell
    15/2
  2. 9/4F
  3. 7/2
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Chepstow

14:15–17:00 · 6 races

Lingfield (AW)

14:30–18:22 · 8 races

Roscommon

17:10–20:15 · 7 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:30–20:00 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Seven Nation Army silks
Seven Nation Army
Age 2 · 9-12
88621
92
83
82
2
9-12
2/1 3/1 7/4
Seven Nation Army arrives on the back of a win last time out and a second two starts back, clocking up a sharp sequence that marks him out as a genuine threat; the risk is that our rating suggests he may be flattered by his official mark.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Green Dreamer silks
Green Dreamer
Age 2 · 9-10
51
79
70
2
9-10
4/5 21/13 2/3
Green Dreamer arrives on the back of a win last time out and has already sampled today's trip and conditions, giving him a solid fitness and experience platform; the main risk is that his speed rating of 54 leaves him with plenty to prove against stronger company.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Noble Agenda silks
Noble Agenda
Age 2 · 9-8
1
58
69
2
9-8
11/2 FCST 5/1
Noble Agenda arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip, though 60 days off the track raises a fitness question; carrying 134 lb from stall 6, he has the profile of an each-way contender rather than a certainty, rated fifth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Lars Soldier silks
Lars Soldier
Age 2 · 9-4
415342
84
73
92
2
9-4
15/2 7/1 15/2
Placed last time out and a winner five starts back, Lars Soldier brings solid recent form and going experience to this, and his rating of 92 marks him out as the one to beat in a field of nine; the 130 lb burden is the sole query.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Oristown Boy silks
Oristown Boy
Age 2 · 9-4
041
84
70
64
2
9-4
6/1 7/1 6/1
Oristown Boy won last time out but his profile is undermined by a substantial gap between his official mark and our rating, leaving him ranked towards the foot of this field; he has run over today's trip and going, and comes here on a quick turnaround of sixteen days.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Emotional Hedging silks
Emotional Hedging
Age 2 · 9-1
2
64
69
2
9-1
11/2 5/1 11/2
Emotional Hedging shaped well when second last time out and returns on a quick turnaround of just 13 days, suggesting connections are keen, but his rating of 69 ranks him sixth of nine and he is yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Grit And Glory silks
Grit And Glory
Age 2 · 9-1
0
29
53
2
9-1
40/1 33/1 40/1
Winless in recent starts and rated well below the top of the field, Grit And Glory faces a stiff ask here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns reasonably fresh after a 33-day break from stall two carrying 127 lb.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

8
Sword Of State silks
Sword Of State
Age 2 · 9-1
71
76
73
2
9-1
7/2 5/1 10/3
Sword Of State arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving her a solid profile at 127 lb from stall 3; the risk is that seventh two starts back hints her form can be inconsistent.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Gabby Hayes silks
Gabby Hayes
Age 2 · 8-13
9
24
47
2
8-13
40/1
Winless in recent starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Gabby Hayes faces a stiff task here; he has run over today's trip before and a 16-day turnaround suggests he is fit, but little else in the profile encourages confidence from stall one carrying 125 lb.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Seven Nation Army 2/1 open 4.50 7/4 open 4.00 2/1 open 4.33 2/1 open 4.33 15/8 open 4.00 13/2 open 4.33 13/2 Betfred
2 Green Dreamer 4/5 open 2.75 4/5 open 3.50 4/5 open 3.00 4/5 open 3.00 4/6 open 2.62 8/11 open 2.88 4/5 Bet365
3 Noble Agenda 11/2 open 8.00 5/1 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 Betfred
4 Lars Soldier 15/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.50 8/1 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 Betfred
5 Oristown Boy 6/1 open 10.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 Betfred
6 Emotional Hedging 11/2 open 7.50 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 Betfred
7 Grit And Glory 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 Betfred
8 Sword Of State 7/2 open 7.50 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 7.00 10/3 open 7.00 10/3 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 Betfred
9 Gabby Hayes 40/1 66/1 open 81.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Seven Nation Army

Speculative

Seven Nation Army owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Joseph Patrick O'Brien Declan McDonogh
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Green Dreamer

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/5 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Grit And Glory

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Jack Foley
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Seven Nation Army
55.6 2/1
2 2. Green Dreamer
52.7 4/5
3 8. Sword Of State
50.1 7/2
4 5. Oristown Boy
48.8 6/1
5 6. Emotional Hedging
47.2 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Green Dreamer
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 2 · 9-10
4/5
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-12
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 9-1
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-8
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 9-1
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-4
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 2 · 9-4
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Green Dreamer
Confidence: Speculative

Green Dreamer (SR 79, 4/5) is the clear standout in this field. The market has backed this horse in aggressively — a 36% shortening from opening price — and the O'Brien yard's #1 runner is confirmed by the superior jockey booking: Dylan Browne McMonagle (15% strike rate from 1,027 rides) versus Declan McDonogh (8% from 630) on stablemate Seven Nation Army. Green Dreamer's form reads 5-1, with the most recent run a win, and it carries 9-10 — a meaningful 2lb weight advantage over Seven Nation Army (9-12) despite holding the higher probability of being the yard's primary target. The SR of 79 leads the field by a clear margin among genuinely competitive runners, and the connections signal — elite jockey, proven trainer, money coming in — all point the same direction. Each-way alternative: Sword Of State. Main danger: Sword Of State — Sword Of State (SR 76, 13/2) won last time out and shows no market drift, suggesting connections are quietly confident — at a price it represents the most credible threat to Green Dreamer.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Seven Nation Army holds a higher SR (83 vs 79) and, despite being the 'second string', that superior raw rating means it is the more exposed, better-performing horse on form figures — the jockey spli…
  • Sword Of State (SR:76, Form:71, 13/2) has also won last time out and drifted in the market far less aggressively; at 13/2 it represents a live threat that Green Dreamer's short 4/5 price completely f…
  • Green Dreamer has only two career runs (Form:51) — a win sandwiched between a fifth — giving very thin evidence of ability, while today's field includes horses with more extensive form books to rate…
  • At 4/5 there is virtually no margin for error; the 36% market move has compressed the price to a point where the expected value is poor if any of the 13/2 dangers — Seven Nation Army or Sword Of Stat…
Shortlist Green Dreamer, Sword Of State, Noble Agenda
Each-way: Sword Of State Danger: Sword Of State

🗺 The Course Race conditions

0m7f111y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting