Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race) · 0m7f36y
SR 124 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 123 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 126 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 128 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Arlecchino's Moon | 80/1 open 67.00 | 70/1 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 66/1 | 100/1 William Hill |
| 2 Backmeifyoucan | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 22/1 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Dark Detective | 50/1 open 23.00 | 66/1 open 31.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 50/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Javelot | 1/1 open 3.00 | 1/1 open 2.38 | 4/5 open 2.37 | 4/5 open 2.37 | 1/1 open 2.38 | 4/5 open 2.38 | 1/1 Bet365 |
| 5 L B Double U | 6/1 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 7.00 | 7/2 open 7.00 | 6/1 | 17/2 open 7.00 | 17/2 Betfred |
| 6 Maliqui | 10/3 open 3.25 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 4/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Peaberry | 3/1 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 4/1 William Hill |
| 8 Spes Durat Avorum | 150/1 open 67.00 | 150/1 open 111.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 66/1 open 81.00 | 50/1 open 81.00 | 125/1 open 81.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Without Fail | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Brazilian Blitz | 150/1 open 101.00 | 150/1 open 126.00 | 80/1 open 126.00 | 80/1 open 126.00 | 50/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 open 126.00 | 150/1 Bet365 |
| 11 April's Luck | 100/1 open 81.00 | 80/1 open 126.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 80/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Chaise Longue | 33/1 open 10.00 | 40/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 open 13.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Javelot owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Javelot (SR:154, 11/10) is the standout on rating — a 3-point SR gap over the next best (Peaberry SR:151) that is meaningful in a Class 4 novice field. The 15% market shortening signals strong stable confidence, Marco Botti runs at a 15% career strike rate with Silvestre De Sousa booked — a top-end pilot for this level. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) from what was presumably a stronger novice test is a significant advantage, and the 11/10 price with that degree of market support represents genuine confidence rather than just public favouritism. The only caveat is a single run showing a fourth, but in a novice of this quality that form figure is entirely consistent with the SR and the class drop makes a forward move very likely. Each-way alternative: Peaberry. Main danger: Peaberry — Peaberry (SR:151, 11/4) is the second-highest rated horse in the field, also drops two class tiers, and at 11/4 represents better-than-market value if Javelot underperforms on the AW surface — Sean Levey is a quality booking and the SR is only 3 points off the favourite.