Saxon Automobiles Handicap Stakes · 6f16y
SR 50 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 68 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 50 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Savannah Smiles | 16/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 open 9.50 | 18/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 Le Beau Garcon | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Connie's Rose | 11/2 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 11.00 | 5/1 open 9.50 | 5/1 open 9.50 | 5/1 open 9.50 | 9/2 open 9.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Zoulu Warrior | 20/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Calafrio | 13/2 open 4.00 | 13/2 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 13/2 open 4.00 | 7/1 open 4.00 | 7/1 Betfred |
| 6 Benavente | 25/1 open 7.00 | 30/1 open 7.00 | 28/1 open 7.00 | 28/1 open 7.00 | 28/1 open 7.00 | 22/1 open 7.00 | 30/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 Vape | 22/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Arnaz | 5/4 open 4.00 | 11/8 open 3.75 | 11/8 open 3.75 | 11/8 open 3.75 | 11/8 open 3.75 | 11/8 open 3.75 | 11/8 Paddy Power |
| 9 Marisitta | 17/2 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 8/1 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 10 Some Nightmare | 11/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Arnaz owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 50 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 50 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Arnaz (SR 70, 13/8) is the class leader in this field by a clear margin and has tightened 29% in the market — the most significant steam of any runner. Carrying just 8-13, the lightest weight among the leading contenders, gives a real pounds advantage over Connie's Rose (9-8) and Savannah Smiles (9-9). Billy Loughnane (19% strike rate from 1,746 rides) is an elite jockey booking and his last-time-out win at this class confirms peak form. The DistFit:- flag is a mild concern over 6f16y given the horse's record, but the SR advantage plus market confidence and top jockey engagement outweigh it in a Class 6 field where the opposition is largely workmanlike. Each-way alternative: Connie's Rose. Main danger: Connie's Rose — Connie's Rose (SR 68, 11/2) has steamed in 38% in the market, is the Grace Harris yard's #1 with Rossa Ryan booked (16% strike rate), holds DistFit:+ and Course:W1P11 form at Chepstow, and a -2lb mark move makes this a well-placed handicap attempt.