Foinix arrives in fine fettle off a seven-day turnaround, his recent form reading an encouraging sequence of first, second and third in his last three starts, and he has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 140 lb is the one query, but his current momentum makes him our pick.
Form last 6877321
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
56SR54RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Charles Morin showed real promise when second and third in recent starts, and has run over today's trip and going, giving him solid claims at 135 lb; the risk is his two latest unplaced efforts suggest he needs to bounce back sharply.
Form last 6425300
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR53RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Runner-up last time, Douglas Dc has run over today's trip and going and comes back fit on a 14-day turnaround carrying 135 lb, with our rating of 52 ranking him fourth of the ten; the risk is that he remains winless in his last five starts.
Form last 6-97552
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR52RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fighting Poet showed up well with a second last time out, but that ninth two starts back clouds the picture, and he remains winless in his last six; the 135 lb burden is no help, though he does have experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6406892
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
40SR49RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Pride Eye returns on going she has experience of and after a 21-day break looks fit enough to go, but consecutive fourths in her last two starts and a win only five starts back suggest she needs more to get competitive from a mark of 50.
Form last 6-10744
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
46SR48RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Snooker McCrew won four starts back but has since posted three consecutive fifth-or-worse finishes, and 135 lb is no featherweight. He has experience of today's going and returns after a 28-day break, though his recent consistency gives little encouragement.
Form last 6917/55
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
43SR50RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked top of the field on our ratings, Someone's Wish posted back-to-back thirds four and five starts back and has experience of today's trip and going, making him a clear threat despite being winless in recent starts; the main concern is a 71-day absence.
Form last 6336-90
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
44SR57RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, with three consecutive eighths and ninths making her very hard to fancy, Summer Evening at least returns on a quick turnaround having run over today's distance and going before, but our figures rank her eighth of ten.
Form last 6604988
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
24SR45RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked ninth of ten on our figures, Churchill's Spirit faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's trip and going before, and a third two starts back offers a crumb of encouragement, but 126 lb makes life no easier.
Form last 696-435
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
40SR40RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last three starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Star Suepreme faces a stiff ask here, though she has experience of today's going and returns on a reasonable 22-day break.
Form last 6405
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
28SR39RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Douglas Dc owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (29) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Tony CarrollMarco Ghiani
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Foinix
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Jim & Suzi Best✓ Value Signal
Star Suepreme
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Lemos De Souza◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Douglas Dc (SR:53, 4/1) is the second-highest rated horse in the field and carries a competitive 9-9, giving him a clear 5lb weight relief against favourite Foinix (SR:56, 10-0). The standout signal here is the Mkt:in27% — the sharpest move in the field by some margin — indicating significant market confidence backed by Tony Carroll (13% strike rate, 1431 runners) and Marco Ghiani (14%, 873 runners), both reliable operators. His form line of -97552 is admittedly moderate, but the blinkers are retained and the class (Class 6 AW) suits his profile. The going is flagged GoingFit:- for all three leading contenders including Foinix, so that concern is neutralised across the board.
Each-way alternative: Foinix.
Main danger: Foinix — Foinix carries the top SR (56) in the field, has course form (W1P1), and is joint-favourite at 3/1 with blinkers retained — the weight disadvantage of 10-0 is the main concern, but the ability edge is real.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form line -97552 shows Douglas Dc has not won or placed in his last 5 starts, with two 9th-place finishes — a deeply uninspiring trajectory for an 8-year-old.
At 8 years old, age works against him; Foinix (6yo) and Pride Eye (4yo) both have youth on their side, and older horses rarely find improvement at this stage.
GoingFit:- flag on Douglas Dc means the surface/conditions are unproven for him today — the analyst's claim this is 'neutralised' overlooks that Foinix has Course:W1P1, a concrete Lingfield AW record…
Someone's Wish has moved in 24% in the market (Mkt:in24%) with a significant MarkMv of -48, suggesting another well-supported rival that could split the market confidence narrative around Douglas Dc.
ShortlistDouglas Dc, Foinix, Pride Eye, Churchill's Spirit