Lingfield (AW) 16:08 RESULTED
Class 6 18 Aug 2026

Tuesday 18 August Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes · 1m1y

Official Result

Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Perfect Ruler (GB) Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti
    11/4
  2. 25/1
  3. 10/11F
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Chepstow

14:15–17:00 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
My Old Mate silks
My Old Mate
Age 3 · 10-0
-98211
59
76
72
3
10-0
4/6 FCST 9/17
Back-to-back wins make My Old Mate the one to beat here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and returning just eight days on from his latest success suggests connections are keen to press home his advantage, with his rating of 72 underscoring his superiority at the top of this field.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Venturing silks
Venturing
Age 3 · 9-9
79-448
60
31
61
3
9-9
50/1 18/1 33/1
Winless in his last five starts, Venturing has at least shown some mid-race consistency with a pair of fourths in recent outings, and he has run over today's trip and going before; 135 lb from stall two is the challenge, and he remains a tough nut to crack at a rating of 60.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

3
Perfect Ruler silks
Perfect Ruler
Age 3 · 9-9
54-55
60
62
65
3
9-9
7/2 7/2 10/3
Winless in her last four starts, Perfect Ruler nevertheless rates above her official mark and shapes as a genuine threat here, having run over today's trip and carrying a workable 135 lb from stall seven; the chief concern is 92 days off the track.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Grey Sands silks
Grey Sands
Age 3 · 9-6
-21375
57
64
62
3
9-6
10/1 15/2 8/1
Grey Sands showed his best when third three starts back and a winner four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, giving him solid claims at a rating of 62; the main concern is a 57-day absence and back-to-back disappointing efforts since.
AI verdict

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Ten Cuidado silks
Ten Cuidado
Age 3 · 9-5
0470-0
56
30
56
3
9-5
66/1 FCST 33/1
Winless in his last five starts, with his recent form reading unplaced-unplaced-seventh-fourth-unplaced, Ten Cuidado ranks last on our figures here and looks hard to fancy, though he does have experience over today's trip and going, and returns after 41 days off.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

6
Henfield silks
Henfield
Age 3 · 9-0
0-9821
51
63
58
3
9-0
11/2 9/2 4/1
SR 63 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Ernie McCrew silks
Ernie McCrew
Age 3 · 8-12
467455
49
33
61
3
8-12
16/1 12/1 10/1
Ernie McCrew has shown steady midfield form, and with experience over today's trip and going, plus a lively 12-point gap between his official mark and our rating of 61, there is a strong case he is handicapped to strike — though his winless run in recent starts remains the key concern.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 My Old Mate 4/6 open 1.73 4/6 open 1.53 8/15 open 1.61 8/15 open 1.61 4/6 open 1.62 8/11 open 1.67 8/11 Betfred
2 Venturing 50/1 open 19.00 66/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 66/1 Paddy Power
3 Perfect Ruler 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 7/2 Bet365
4 Grey Sands 10/1 10/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 8.50 11/1 Coral
5 Ten Cuidado 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 50/1 open 34.00 66/1 Bet365
6 Henfield 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 8.00 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 11/2 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
7 Ernie McCrew 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 18/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Henfield

Speculative

Henfield owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 Karen Jewell David Probert
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

My Old Mate

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/6 · Gary & Josh Moore
✓ Value Signal

Ten Cuidado

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Mark Usher
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +2.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Henfield
50.1 11/2
2 1. My Old Mate
50.0 4/6
3 4. Grey Sands
48.1 10/1
4 3. Perfect Ruler
46.7 7/2
5 7. Ernie McCrew
35.1 16/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
My Old Mate
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 10-0
4/6
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-9
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-0
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-6
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 8-12
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 33 🐾

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
My Old Mate
Confidence: Medium

My Old Mate (SR 76) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this Class 6 field — the next best are Grey Sands (SR 64) and Henfield (SR 63), a 12-point gap that is substantial at this level. The form string -98211 shows back-to-back wins culminating in a last-run victory just 8 days ago, confirming the horse is operating at peak form right now. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability over this 1m trip, and carrying 10-0 as top-weight is manageable given that SR advantage is so large. The 5% market drift from opening is a mild concern, but with only 7 runners and rivals so clearly inferior on ability, the drift more likely reflects the short price rather than negative stable intelligence. Each-way alternative: Perfect Ruler. Main danger: Perfect Ruler — Perfect Ruler (SR 62, 4/1) has steamed in 15% in the market, has Marco Ghiani booked — a jockey with a strong 14% career strike rate — and returns from a 92-day break for Botti's yard (15% strike rate), which often means a horse ready to improve sharply on a freshened-up return.

Case against 4
  • Jude Fernandes has a 12% strike rate from just 50 rides — limited experience at this level, and a 7lb claim on a top-weight favourite at a tight track like Lingfield AW adds execution risk.
  • Returning just 8 days after a win; while peak form is possible, quick turnarounds on AW can catch horses flat if they left everything on the track last time.
  • Perfect Ruler has drifted IN 15% (market positive) from 92 days off — trainer Marco Botti (15% SR) is clearly confident, suggesting a well-prepared comeback that could outpace the market's implied th…
  • Henfield (Course W1P2) and Grey Sands (Course W0P1) both have proven Lingfield form My Old Mate lacks — no course record listed, and Lingfield's unique Polytrack configuration can catch unexposed hor…
Shortlist My Old Mate, Perfect Ruler, Grey Sands, Henfield
Each-way: Perfect Ruler Danger: Perfect Ruler

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m1y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Lingfield (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade