Wolverhampton (AW) 17:30 RESULTED
Class 4 18 Aug 2026

Tuesday 18 August Download The At The Races App EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Download The At The Races App EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race) · 1m1f104y

Official Result

Download The At The Races App EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Franschhoek (GB) Kaiya Fraser · James Fanshawe
    8/15F
  2. Second Saifo (IRE)
    9/4
  3. Third Astrid (FR)
    33/1
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17:30–20:00 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Franschhoek silks
Franschhoek
Age 3 · 9-7
3
153
3
9-7
8/13 5/6 2/5
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Saifo silks
Saifo
Age 3 · 9-7
7
151
3
9-7
2/1 32/17 6/5
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
State Express silks
State Express
Age 3 · 9-5
4
122
3
9-5
50/1 25/1 22/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Why Not Me silks
Why Not Me
Age 4 · 9-5
2-
151
4
9-5
8/1 10/3 5/1
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Astrid silks
Astrid
Age 3 · 9-0
7
132
3
9-0
25/1 11/1 16/1
SR 132 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 132 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Sueshine silks
Sueshine
Age 3 · 9-0
77-
125
3
9-0
100/1 125/1 40/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Franschhoek 8/13 open 2.00 8/13 open 1.83 2/5 open 1.91 2/5 open 1.91 4/7 open 2.00 4/5 open 1.91 4/5 Betfred
2 Saifo 2/1 open 3.50 7/4 open 2.88 6/5 open 3.00 6/5 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 13/8 open 3.00 2/1 Bet365
3 State Express 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
4 Why Not Me 8/1 open 4.33 10/1 open 5.50 17/2 open 4.50 17/2 open 4.50 9/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.50 10/1 Paddy Power
5 Astrid 25/1 open 13.00 28/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 28/1 Paddy Power
6 Sueshine 100/1 open 126.00 80/1 open 201.00 40/1 open 151.00 40/1 open 151.00 80/1 open 151.00 200/1 open 151.00 200/1 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Saifo

High conviction

Saifo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 David Simcock Silvestre De Sousa
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Franschhoek

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/13 · James Fanshawe
✓ Value Signal

State Express

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · S Woods
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +31.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Saifo
71.9 2/1
2 1. Franschhoek
70.4 8/13
3 4. Why Not Me
68.1 8/1
4 5. Astrid
54.5 25/1
5 3. State Express
49.8 50/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Saifo
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-7
8/13
★★★★☆ SR 153 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 3 · 9-7
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 151 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 4 · 9-5
8/1
★★★★☆ SR 151 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Saifo
Confidence: Speculative

Saifo (SR:151, 15/8) is dropping two class tiers with a 10% market steam — the money is clearly on this horse for a reason. Partnered by Silvestre De Sousa (13% career strike rate, 870 runners — a vastly more experienced booking than the field average), and Simcock is a trainer who places horses shrewdly. The class drop from wherever Saifo has been running means this field, topped by a SR-153 favourite that has drifted 8% and carries identical weight at 9-7, should be well within reach. Franschhoek (SR:153) is the only horse with a higher SR but the 8% drift on the favourite at a tight price is a meaningful negative signal in a small six-runner maiden. Each-way alternative: Franschhoek. Main danger: Franschhoek — Franschhoek holds the field's highest SR at 153 and carries the same weight as Saifo at 9-7, so if the 8% drift is simply noise rather than a genuine negative signal, Fanshawe's runner has the raw ability to reverse market expectations.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Saifo's last recorded form figure is 7, indicating a well-beaten run, and with 40 days since that effort there is no evidence of improvement in the interim.
  • Franschhoek (SR:153) holds a 2-point SR advantage over Saifo and, despite an 8% drift, retains a significantly shorter price — the market still makes it a clear favourite at 11/10 in a six-runner fie…
  • Why Not Me (SR:151, equal SR to Saifo) is ridden by Oisin Murphy (21% strike rate, 1321 runners) — a materially superior jockey booking that outguns De Sousa and could exploit any inexperience from S…
  • Simcock's overall strike rate of 10% is below-average for a yard placing a horse in a small AW maiden; the 10% market steam may reflect stable confidence rather than a form-backed case, and 15/8 is a…
Shortlist Saifo, Franschhoek, Why Not Me
Each-way: Franschhoek Danger: Franschhoek

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m1f104y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade