Chepstow 15:50 RESULTED
Class 6 18 Aug 2026

Tuesday 18 August Trade Centre Wales Handicap Stakes (Chepstow Mile Series Qualifier)

Trade Centre Wales Handicap Stakes (Chepstow Mile Series Qualifier) · 1m14y

Official Result

Trade Centre Wales Handicap Stakes (Chepstow Mile Series Qualifier)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rating (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Grace Harris
    7/2
  2. 17/2
  3. Third Scarfo (IRE)
    7/1
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Chepstow

14:15–17:00 · 6 races

Lingfield (AW)

14:30–18:22 · 8 races

Roscommon

17:10–20:15 · 7 races

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:30–20:00 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Law Of Design silks
Law Of Design
Age 4 · 9-9
-85955
65
64
65
4
9-9
11/4 5/1 2/1
Winless in his last five starts, Law Of Design has at least run over today's trip before and returns on a handy 24-day break, but a string of mid-pack finishes and 135 lb to carry make it hard to see him threatening from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Look Back Smiling silks
Look Back Smiling
Age 6 · 9-9
9-0437
65
68
74
6
9-9
7/2 9/4 7/2
SR 68 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Counting Cards silks
Counting Cards
Age 4 · 9-8
7-4908
64
35
69
4
9-8
33/1 14/1 20/1
Winless in his last five starts, Counting Cards at least has experience of today's trip and conditions to call upon, and 35 days between runs suggests he returns fresh; the worry is that recent efforts have been consistently well beaten.
AI verdict

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

4
Rating silks
Rating
Age 5 · 9-6
315535
62
62
65
5
9-6
4/1 4/1 3/1
Rattled off a win in her last six starts — a winner five starts back — and she arrives here fit on 25 days' rest, with experience of today's trip and ground and 132 lb from stall two; the worry is just one success in recent starts may leave her vulnerable.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Risen Again silks
Risen Again
Age 5 · 9-4
-00662
60
56
66
5
9-4
13/2 10/3 6/1
Risen Again showed well when second last time out and returns here in good shape after just 16 days, with experience over today's trip and going a clear asset; the main concern is that he remains winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Bobby Dassler silks
Bobby Dassler
Age 7 · 8-12
481377
54
31
50
7
8-12
33/1 14/1 20/1
Bobby Dassler has finished seventh in each of his last two starts and ranks seventh of eight on our figures, making him hard to fancy despite a third and a win in recent starts; he has run over today's trip and going, and 21 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 31 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Ajrad silks
Ajrad
Age 8 · 8-11
656535
53
57
56
8
8-11
13/2 FCST 6/1
SR 57 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Scarfo silks
Scarfo
Age 5 · 8-7
913226
49
53
47
5
8-7
6/1 7/1 9/2
Ranked last on our figures in a field of eight, Scarfo is hard to fancy on a mark of 49, but he has run over today's trip and going before, and a return to form is not impossible given he showed a second two starts back and a second three starts back.
AI verdict

SR 53 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Law Of Design 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 open 7.00 2/1 open 6.50 2/1 open 6.50 5/2 open 6.50 3/1 open 7.00 3/1 Betfred
2 Look Back Smiling 7/2 open 4.33 4/1 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 Paddy Power
3 Counting Cards 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 40/1 William Hill
4 Rating 4/1 7/2 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 4/1 4/1 4/1 Bet365
5 Risen Again 13/2 open 4.33 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 Bet365
6 Bobby Dassler 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 40/1 William Hill
7 Ajrad 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 13/2 Bet365
8 Scarfo 6/1 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 6/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Look Back Smiling

Speculative

Look Back Smiling owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Neil Mulholland Tom Marquand
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rating

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Grace Harris
✓ Value Signal

Bobby Dassler

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Barry John Murphy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Look Back Smiling
51.6 7/2
2 4. Rating
49.0 4/1
3 1. Law Of Design
47.7 11/4
4 8. Scarfo
46.8 6/1
5 7. Ajrad
45.5 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Law Of Design
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 9-9
11/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 9-9
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-6
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 8-7
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 9-4
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 8 · 8-11
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Law Of Design
Confidence: Speculative

Law Of Design (SR:64, 3/1) leads the field on ability and carries the most compelling market signal in the race — a 39% inward move since opening, the sharpest steaming of any runner. Dropping two class tiers for Ian Williams, who hits 13% overall, and ridden by Billy Loughnane (19%, 1746 career rides) — a high-quality jockey booking for a Class 6 contest that strongly suggests connections expect to win. The 9-9 weight is manageable against a modest field, and while DistFit and GoingFit are marked as unknown (insufficient prior sample), the class drop-off is substantial enough to offset that uncertainty. Recent form of -85955 is unremarkable but the two-tier drop transforms the competitive context entirely. Each-way alternative: Rating. Main danger: Ajrad — Ajrad (SR:57, 13/2) has the strongest course profile in the field (W2P5 at Chepstow), confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ for today's conditions, and is running off a mark 7lb lower than its last win — the most favourable handicap position of any runner.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Recent form of -85955 shows a 5th last time out just 24 days ago in what was already a modest grade — the class drop has not yet translated into a win, suggesting a physical or form issue rather than…
  • Look Back Smiling (SR:68, 11/4) actually holds a higher Speed Rating than Law Of Design (SR:64) despite drifting only 5% — it is the sole horse in the field with superior rated ability and is not bei…
  • DistFit and GoingFit are both unknown for Law Of Design, yet Chepstow in August can present variable ground; several rivals (Rating, Ajrad, Scarfo) have proven course or going form this horse conspic…
  • Ajrad holds a -7 mark move (handicapper lowering assessment), two course wins and five places at this track with a 9-day turnaround — a fresher, course-specialist alternative that is materially more…
Shortlist Law Of Design, Rating, Ajrad
Each-way: Rating Danger: Ajrad

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m14y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade