Up The Agenda won four starts back and was third five starts back, but three successive out-of-the-money efforts since, the latest 34 days ago, leave him needing to rediscover that form; experience over today's trip and going helps, though 135 lb from stall 1 is the balancing act.
Form last 63-1786
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR74RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Percy's Star showed he can win at this level when landing a success two starts back, and he has experience over today's trip to call on. Carrying 135 lb from stall four, the 45-day break is worth monitoring, though his overall profile makes him the one to follow here.
Form last 652416
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR76RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Acclaimed Freedom shaped with promise when second three starts back, and with experience over today's trip and going, he arrives from stall two carrying 134 lb as a leading danger here; the risk is that he has been winless in his last five starts.
Form last 6-86246
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR79RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Sargent Dennis faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's trip and going before and arrives here on the back of a win two starts back, with a second three starts back adding further encouragement to that sequence.
Form last 652217
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR72RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Arishka's Dream showed smart form when winning and finishing second twice in a productive spell, and his rating of 79 has him joint-top of this field on an 8-runner card, with experience of both today's trip and going a solid foundation; the chief concern is two successive eighths since that purple patch.
Form last 6312288
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR79RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Escape Plan has finished seventh or eighth in three of his last four starts, making him hard to fancy on recent evidence, though he did win four starts back and has experience of both today's trip and going conditions.
Form last 6-71887
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR73RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fizzy Cristal showed she can win in recent starts, scoring a first four runs back, though she has finished fifth in each of her last two outings and faces a stiff task from stall eight carrying 128 lb.
Form last 6-61455
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR75RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Soca Star has shown genuine ability in recent starts, finishing second and third in her last five, and she has experience over today's trip and conditions; drawn in stall three carrying 128 lb, the main concern is that she has been winless in recent starts and has not run for 50 days.
Form last 673-255
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR76RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Acclaimed Freedom owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4George ScottOisin Murphy
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Sargent Dennis
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/2 · Jack Channon✓ Value Signal
Escape Plan
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
22/1 · Tom Ward◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Fizzy Cristal (SR:77, 7/1, Wgt:9-2) is the standout on a balance of signals. The 11% market support since opening is the clearest 'money knows something' signal in this field, and at 9-2 she carries the joint-lightest weight alongside Soca Star — a meaningful lb advantage over the top-weights in a competitive Class 5 sprint. Her GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's Good surface, and a form line of -61455 shows progressive consistency without a blowout run to explain away. Sargent Dennis is the main danger, but his 6% drift and a last-time-out 7th temper enthusiasm; Fizzy Cristal's combination of weight, going affinity, and market steam makes her the most compelling selection.
Each-way alternative: Arishka's Dream.
Main danger: Sargent Dennis — Sargent Dennis (SR:82, highest in the field) has proven course form (W0P1), confirmed DistFit:+, and a light enough weight at 9-7 that his SR advantage is not fully negated — if the market drift of 6% is noise rather than informed opposition, his raw ability makes him a serious threat.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Fizzy Cristal's form reads -61455 — three consecutive 5th-place finishes suggest a horse that competes but doesn't win; no victory in the sequence to indicate a finishing kick is coming.
Jockey Warren Fentiman (3) posts only a 9% strike rate from 543 rides — below the field average and notably weaker than Oisin Murphy (21%) on Acclaimed Freedom or De Sousa (13%) on Percy's Star.
Trainer Richard & Peter Fahey runs at just 9% from 444 runners; the combination of a moderate jockey booking and a low-volume trainer strike rate weakens the 'money knows something' narrative around…
At 7/1 she sits a full 4 points bigger than market leader Acclaimed Freedom (11/4) and is matched by Percy's Star (13/2) who carries equal SR:77 but has a last-time-out win (Form:52416) that Fizzy Cr…