Lingfield (AW) 17:20 RESULTED
Class 6 18 Aug 2026

Tuesday 18 August Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes (Div II)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes (Div II) · 7f1y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Classified Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rovinia (GB) Marco Ghiani · Roger Teal
    5/6F
  2. 11/1
  3. Third Ruiz (GB)
    80/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Chloe's Courage silks
Chloe's Courage
Age 4 · 9-9
-69345
49
50
50
4
9-9
9/2 6/1 4/1
Chloe's Courage arrives here just 11 days after her latest run, showing a third three starts back yet winless in recent starts, and while she has run over today's trip and going, carrying 135 lb from stall 10 leaves her with plenty to find against this field.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Dupont Circle silks
Dupont Circle
Age 4 · 9-9
0-707
48
30
41
4
9-9
18/1 12/1 16/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Dupont Circle faces a stiff ask here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and returns after 57 days off, but a career-high 135 lb from stall 11 does little to ease the case for him.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

3
Horus silks
Horus
Age 4 · 9-9
649768
44
23
52
4
9-9
28/1 20/1 18/1
Winless in his last six starts, Horus has at least run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 52 offers a small edge over his official mark of 44; however, consistent finishes in the rear half of the field make it hard to fancy him turning things around from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

4
Megaphone silks
Megaphone
Age 4 · 9-9
340956
50
59
56
4
9-9
3/1 10/3 5/2
Megaphone has run over today's trip and going, and his speed rating of 59 gives him an edge over his official mark of 50, though he arrives just one day after his last outing and is yet to score in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
No News silks
No News
Age 6 · 9-9
29-728
46
29
49
6
9-9
18/1 12/1 16/1
Winless in his last five starts, No News does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and his second two starts back shows a competitive streak worth noting; however, that official rating of 46 and a tendency to fade — eighth last time out — make progress hard to predict.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

6
Regal Guest silks
Regal Guest
Age 4 · 9-9
-06766
47
31
40
4
9-9
12/1 12/1 9/1
Regal Guest has been winless in his last five starts, finishing no better than sixth in recent outings, and our rating ranks him tenth of eleven here, making him hard to fancy at face value; he does at least return on a quick turnaround with distance and going experience to his name.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

7
Rovinia silks
Rovinia
Age 4 · 9-9
895222
50
61
52
4
9-9
7/4 3/2 31/19
Rovinia has been a model of consistency, finishing second in three successive starts, and returning here after just 13 days suggests she is in fine fettle; yet to score in recent starts, the risk is whether she can finally convert her place form into something more.
AI verdict

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Vitalline silks
Vitalline
Age 8 · 9-9
685199
50
46
55
8
9-9
10/1 8/1 10/1
Vitalline won three starts back and returns on a quick 14-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and conditions in his favour, and our rating of 55 gives him a live chance from stall three; the concern is consecutive ninths in his last two outings.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Crown The Future silks
Crown The Future
Age 3 · 9-4
-43704
50
58
60
3
9-4
9/2 15/2 4/1
Crown The Future has run over today's trip and going before and, ranked top of the field on our rating, makes a compelling case as the chief threat here; the risk is that he has been winless in his last five starts, with only a third to show in that sequence.
AI verdict

SR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Power Cut silks
Power Cut
Age 3 · 9-4
65-568
43
48
48
3
9-4
13/2 5/1 11/2
Winless in his last five starts, Power Cut at least has experience of today's trip and going to draw on, and his rating edges above the official mark — but a 42-day absence and a consistent pattern of mid-to-rear finishes leave him with plenty to prove from stall two carrying 130 lb.
AI verdict

SR 48 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Ruiz silks
Ruiz
Age 3 · 9-4
-00656
40
17
38
3
9-4
40/1 33/1 22/1
Ruiz has been winless in his last five starts, with a string of mid-division and unplaced efforts offering little encouragement, and our figures rank him last of eleven here. The experience over today's trip and going is some consolation, but he faces a stiff task from 130 lb.
AI verdict

SR 17 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Chloe's Courage 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 Betfred
2 Dupont Circle 18/1 open 29.00 18/1 open 51.00 18/1 open 41.00 18/1 open 41.00 16/1 open 41.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 Betfred
3 Horus 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 22/1 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 Betfred
4 Megaphone 3/1 open 5.50 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 3/1 Bet365
5 No News 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 Betfred
6 Regal Guest 12/1 12/1 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 12/1 14/1 14/1 Betfred
7 Rovinia 7/4 7/4 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.62 13/8 open 2.62 7/4 open 2.62 9/4 open 2.75 9/4 Betfred
8 Vitalline 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 Bet365
9 Crown The Future 9/2 open 8.50 4/1 open 9.50 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 Betfred
10 Power Cut 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 12.00 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 6.00 13/2 Bet365
11 Ruiz 40/1 open 34.00 35/1 open 51.00 22/1 open 41.00 22/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Rovinia

Speculative

Rovinia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Roger Teal Marco Ghiani
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Crown The Future

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Tony Carroll
✓ Value Signal

Horus

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Michael Attwater
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Rovinia
48.2 7/4
2 9. Crown The Future
46.5 9/2
3 4. Megaphone
46.3 3/1
4 1. Chloe's Courage
45.8 9/2
5 10. Power Cut
41.0 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Megaphone
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 4 · 9-9
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-9
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 9-9
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-4
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 9-4
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 8 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

SR 46 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-9
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 31 🐾

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

2
Age 4 · 9-9
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 30 🐾

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

5
Age 6 · 9-9
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 29 🐾

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Megaphone
Confidence: Speculative

Megaphone (SR:59, 3/1) holds the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Rovinia (SR:61) but ran just yesterday — that freshness concern is offset by a 25% market-in move, suggesting connections and the market are comfortable with the quick turnaround. At 3/1 the market is pricing this as a clear co-favourite and the SR edge over the rest of the field (excluding Rovinia) is meaningful at Class 6 level. The trainer Scott Dixon and jockey Christian Howarth combination is workmanlike but the late money at Lingfield AW is a hard signal to dismiss. Crown The Future (SR:58, 15/2) is the main threat given Tony Carroll's 13% strike rate and a 5lb weight advantage at 9-4, but Megaphone's stronger market move is the deciding factor. Each-way alternative: Crown The Future. Main danger: Rovinia — Rovinia holds the field's top SR at 61, has placed at Lingfield (Course:W0P1), carries a MarkMv:-3 advantage, and jockey Marco Ghiani strikes at 14% — the drift of 23% may simply reflect the market preferring Megaphone's momentum rather than any genuine weakness.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Megaphone ran just 1 day ago — racing on back-to-back days on AW is a significant physical ask and horses rarely reproduce their best form with such a rapid turnaround.
  • Rovinia has a higher SR (61 vs 59), is fresher (13 days), has course form (W0P1), and is priced shorter at 9/4 — the market actually favours Rovinia, not Megaphone.
  • Megaphone's recent form string (340956) shows a sixth last time out and no win in the last six runs, with no obvious upward trajectory to suggest a win is imminent today.
  • Jockey Christian Howarth has only a 9% strike rate from 186 rides — below the threshold of confidence, and trainer Scott Dixon's 8% rate from 530 runs is equally uninspiring for a horse needing to bo…
Shortlist Megaphone, Rovinia, Crown The Future
Each-way: Crown The Future Danger: Rovinia

🗺 The Course Class 6

7f1y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Lingfield (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade