Naas 16:18 RESULTED
4 Jul 2026

Saturday 4 July Naas Racecourse Fillies Maiden

Naas Racecourse Fillies Maiden · 1m

Official Result

Naas Racecourse Fillies Maiden

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mai Dahlia (IRE) Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    4/5F
  2. 28/1
  3. 5/1
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

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13:22–17:30 · 8 races

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13:30–17:00 · 7 races

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13:50–17:22 · 7 races

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14:17–17:40 · 7 races

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17:15–20:18 · 7 races

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18:09–20:39 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Drowsy Maggie silks
Drowsy Maggie
Age 4 · 9-12
0
122
4
9-12
100/1 FCST 50/1
Struggled on her only start, well beaten in a maiden at Ballinrobe, with a great deal of improvement needed to figure at this level. Unproven over today's trip, and rated bottom of the field on 48, she has plenty to prove against this field.
AI verdict

A single run with no success, 125/1 odds, and a Saturday Rating of 122 signal minimal winning prospects.

2
Wheres The Gold silks
Wheres The Gold
Age 4 · 9-12
00/00
122
4
9-12
100/1 FCST 50/1
Struggled to see out the trip when down the field in an auction race at The Curragh last time, continuing a run of four starts without a win. Conditions have yet to click for her, and although today's distance has been covered before, plenty more improvement is needed on a rating of 54.
AI verdict

Extreme 200/1 odds and a winless 00/00 form record make Wheres The Gold a highly unlikely contender despite carrying 9-12.

3
Bofa Beach silks
Bofa Beach
Age 3 · 9-3
40-39
77
85
77OR
3
9-3
11/4 FCST 5/2
A below-form run last time, failing to last home over 10f down the field in a maiden at Gowran Park, should find today's shorter trip much more to her liking, a distance she's already proven over. A third and a fourth also feature in four starts, and with course and going both suiting, she's one of the leading dangers on 76.
AI verdict

Bofa Beach's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 85, inconsistent form of 40-39, and 5/2 odds suggest fair chance but not dominance.

4
Donna Time silks
Donna Time
Age 3 · 9-3
76
138
3
9-3
20/1 16/1 20/1
Bred with stamina in mind, she matched recent expectations when beaten 8 lengths in an auction race at Leopardstown last time, having come back from a break, with a seventh the run before. Further progress looks more likely in handicaps down the line, and she's up against it on a rating of 60 today.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 138 with 16/1 odds and poor form figures of 76 signal minimal market confidence.

5
Mai Dahlia silks
Mai Dahlia
Age 3 · 9-3
32
82
91
82OR
3
9-3
5/6 FCST 2/3
Market support followed her into a maiden at Fairyhouse last time, and she rewarded that faith with a second, beaten 6 lengths, backing up a third before that. Today's mile and good ground are both proven, and with room for more up in trip plus a first-time tongue-tie added, she's a leading contender on 76.
AI verdict

Solid Saturday Rating of 91 and consistent form figures of 32 back her strong 10/11 market position, but non-favourite status limits confidence.

6
Serendipia silks
Serendipia
Age 3 · 9-3
68
149
3
9-3
6/1 FCST 5/1
A well-beaten eighth here last time, some way below her true level, came after a sixth on her only other start, and there's scope for a little natural progress now that early experience is banked. A tongue-tie is added for the first time, and having had only a short break since, she's a workmanlike 60 on today's figures.
AI verdict

Form figures of 68 and 13/2 odds suggest mid-tier potential, with a Saturday Rating of 149 reflecting modest expectations.

7
Sibaza silks
Sibaza
Age 2 · 9-3
150
2
9-3
13/2 FCST 6/1
By Night Of Thunder and out of a useful mare who excelled at 7f, this newcomer is also a half-sister to the useful Simiyann, effective over twice the trip, giving her a broad spread of inherited ability. The stable have a solid record in this race, taking it twice in the last nine runnings, and although the view is that watching her debut may be wiser than backing it, she rates the one to beat on 77.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 150 and competitive 9-3 weight give Sibaza strong claims despite 6/1 market odds.

8
Xirivella silks
Xirivella
Age 3 · 9-3
138
3
9-3
20/1 16/1 20/1
A Gleneagles filly who cost 23,000 euros, there's a professional pedigree and price tag behind this newcomer suggesting physical promise. The concern is that today's race looks a stiff test for a first assignment, so she may need the experience before showing her true colours, rated 64.
AI verdict

Long odds of 16/1 and an unknown form record undermine Xirivella's market confidence despite carrying 9-3.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Drowsy Maggie 100/1 open 126.00 50/1 50/1 80/1 66/1 100/1 Bet365
2 Wheres The Gold 100/1 open 201.00 50/1 50/1 80/1 open 101.00 66/1 100/1 Bet365
3 Bofa Beach 11/4 open 3.50 5/2 5/2 5/2 5/2 11/4 Bet365
4 Donna Time 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 20/1 Bet365
5 Mai Dahlia 5/6 open 1.91 8/11 8/11 4/6 open 1.73 8/11 open 1.67 5/6 Bet365
6 Serendipia 6/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 6/1 Bet365
7 Sibaza 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 6/1 6/1 13/2 Bet365
8 Xirivella 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 20/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Serendipia

Live signal

Serendipia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (83) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/1 W McCreery W J Lee
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sibaza

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · D K Weld
✓ Value Signal

Wheres The Gold

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · Paul W Flynn
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
83 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +31.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
72 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
67 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Serendipia
67.5 6/1
2 7. Sibaza
66.9 13/2
3 5. Mai Dahlia
56.2 5/6
4 3. Bofa Beach
54.6 11/4
5 8. Xirivella
54.0 20/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sibaza
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-3
5/6
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

Solid Saturday Rating of 91 and consistent form figures of 32 back her strong 10/11 market position, but non-favourite status limits confidence.

3
Age 3 · 9-3
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

Bofa Beach's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 85, inconsistent form of 40-39, and 5/2 odds suggest fair chance but not dominance.

6
Age 3 · 9-3
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 149 🐾

Form figures of 68 and 13/2 odds suggest mid-tier potential, with a Saturday Rating of 149 reflecting modest expectations.

7
Age 2 · 9-3
13/2
★★★★☆ SR 150 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 150 and competitive 9-3 weight give Sibaza strong claims despite 6/1 market odds.

4
Age 3 · 9-3
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 138 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 138 with 16/1 odds and poor form figures of 76 signal minimal market confidence.

8
Age 3 · 9-3
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 138 🐾

Long odds of 16/1 and an unknown form record undermine Xirivella's market confidence despite carrying 9-3.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sibaza
Confidence: Medium

Sibaza (SR 150, 6/1) carries the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Serendipia and holds a clear ability edge on paper. As a D.K. Weld 2-year-old debutant, the blank form string signals a horse being produced fresh and ready — Weld's operation rarely runs juveniles in maiden company without genuine confidence, and the 4-star AI probability reflects that professional assessment. At 9-3 with no weight disadvantage versus rivals, this filly is well-positioned physically. The 6/1 price on a Weld-trained top-SR juvenile suggests the market respects but hasn't over-reacted to the unknown — exactly the sweet spot for a confident play. Each-way alternative: Serendipia. Main danger: Serendipia — Serendipia (SR 149, 13/2) is the highest-rated experienced runner in the field and trainer W. McCreery will have learned from the runs that produced the 6 and 8 form figures, making an improved showing on good ground over a mile entirely plausible.

Shortlist Sibaza, Serendipia, Mai Dahlia
Each-way: Serendipia Danger: Serendipia

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Naas Track and setting