Beverley 15:24 RESULTED
Class 6 4 Jul 2026

Saturday 4 July George Kilburn Memorial Nursery

George Kilburn Memorial Nursery · 7f96y

Official Result

George Kilburn Memorial Nursery

Confirmed
  1. Winner Emerald Bay (IRE) P J McDonald · George Scott
    11/10F
  2. Second Amantha (IRE)
    2/1
  3. 20/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Amantha silks
Amantha
Age 2 · 9-9
08661
59
65
59OR
2
9-9
9/4 FCST 2/1
Stepping up having recently landed a seller by a short head at Musselburgh, she's clearly come forward with that drop in grade and looks the type to take well to handicaps on debut in that sphere; suited by 7f on a sound surface, she rates the one to beat for us at 69 in a modest race, though the yard's recent cold spell is worth noting.
AI verdict

Rated 65 with inconsistent form (08661) and carrying 9-9, Amantha's 9/4 odds suggest market respect without conviction.

2
Emerald Bay silks
Emerald Bay
Age 2 · 9-7
076
57
61
57OR
2
9-7
10/11 8/11 5/6
Comfortably held down at 5f in a novice at Windsor last time, this light-framed sort has yet to show a great deal in his starts so far; cheekpieces go on for the first time and, with the stable in good form, he could do better switching to handicaps for us at 54, though a month-plus absence since is a further concern.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 61 combined with poor form figures of 076 make 8/11 odds and 9-7 weight impossible to justify.

3
Farndale silks
Farndale
Age 2 · 9-7
658
57
53
57OR
2
9-7
8/1 6/1 15/2
A slow start undid her chance at Chester latest, where she was ultimately well beaten in a seller, and results have been modest in her starts so far; bred to stay well and already proven over today's trip, she nonetheless remains difficult to fully trust for us at 65 as she steps into handicap company for the first time.
AI verdict

Farndale's poor form (658), modest Saturday Rating of 53, and 15/2 odds signal limited market confidence despite carrying 9-7.

4
Tiger In The Tree silks
Tiger In The Tree
Age 2 · 9-1
969
51
38
51OR
2
9-1
28/1 18/1 28/1
Beaten well back in a novice at Redcar most recently, she has struggled to make an impression in her starts to date; by a sprinting sire out of a mare suited by a mile, today's trip fits the pedigree, but on the evidence so far she's up against it for us at 45 as she tries handicaps for the first time.
AI verdict

Weak form of 969, a 38 Saturday Rating, and 18/1 odds signal minimal market confidence in this outsider.

5
Happy Humpo silks
Happy Humpo
Age 2 · 8-10
058
46
40
46OR
2
8-10
11/2 8/1 9/2
A well-beaten run in a maiden at Lingfield last time fell short of her seller-class form, continuing a modest start; sharper at 6f on good ground and fitted with cheekpieces for the first time, this light-framed sort looks the type to do better now she meets handicap company for us at 62, though it's been a month since that below-par effort.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 40, weak 058 form, and 14/1 market dismissal combine to make Happy Humpo a low-confidence selection.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Amantha 9/4 2/1 2/1 open 3.25 9/4 open 3.00 2/1 9/4 Bet365
2 Emerald Bay 10/11 open 1.73 10/11 open 1.73 10/11 open 1.73 10/11 open 1.73 5/6 open 1.73 10/11 Bet365
3 Farndale 8/1 open 8.50 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 Bet365
4 Tiger In The Tree 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 William Hill
5 Happy Humpo 11/2 open 15.00 5/1 open 15.00 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 15.00 9/2 open 15.00 11/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Amantha

Speculative

Amantha owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Brian Ellison Pierre-Louis Jamin
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Emerald Bay

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/11 · George Scott
✓ Value Signal

Tiger In The Tree

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Tim Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Amantha
52.0 9/4
2 2. Emerald Bay
51.9 10/11
3 3. Farndale
44.5 8/1
4 5. Happy Humpo
43.3 11/2
5 4. Tiger In The Tree
35.2 28/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Amantha
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 2 · 9-7
10/11
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 61 combined with poor form figures of 076 make 8/11 odds and 9-7 weight impossible to justify.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾

Rated 65 with inconsistent form (08661) and carrying 9-9, Amantha's 9/4 odds suggest market respect without conviction.

5
Age 2 · 8-10
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 40, weak 058 form, and 14/1 market dismissal combine to make Happy Humpo a low-confidence selection.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

Farndale's poor form (658), modest Saturday Rating of 53, and 15/2 odds signal limited market confidence despite carrying 9-7.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Amantha
Confidence: Medium

Amantha (SR 65, 9/4) holds the highest SR in the field and her form string 08661 shows a clear upward trajectory — consecutive wins in her two most recent starts, the rightmost '1' being the latest. Carrying 9-9 is just 2lb more than Emerald Bay (9-7), a negligible weight difference that her superior SR of 65 vs 61 more than offsets. Brian Ellison's filly arrives in form on Good to Firm ground over a trip that extends her stamina, which suits a horse showing improvement. The market has her at 9/4 behind Emerald Bay, but Emerald Bay's form string '076' shows a single placed run sandwiched between poor efforts — far less convincing than back-to-back wins. Each-way alternative: Farndale. Main danger: Emerald Bay — Emerald Bay (SR 61, 8/11) is the strong market favourite and carries 2lb less than Amantha — if the George Scott runner's single '6' placing represents a step forward and the '7' is form-excusable, she could outrun her modest SR on favouritism-fuelled confidence, but her overall form profile is insufficiently convincing to trust at the short price.

Shortlist Amantha, Emerald Bay, Farndale
Each-way: Farndale Danger: Emerald Bay

🗺 The Course Class 6

7f96y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Beverley Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade