Dickie McGuinness Novice Hurdle · 2m1f40y
A Saturday Rating of 137 and strong 511- form justify 4/5 stars despite short 4/7 odds suggesting limited value.
Karlynn's solid 113 Saturday Rating and encouraging 645-21 form are offset by 11-6 weight and non-favourite 4/1 market position.
Odds of 125/1, a Saturday Rating of 122, and poor form reading 700 reflect little market confidence in Evangelic.
Carrying top weight of 11-0 with a Saturday Rating of 120 and solid 45202 form, Mino Des Mottes offers strong each-way value at 7/2.
Outsider odds of 66/1 and poor form figures of 6U- leave Pebble Island with little to recommend despite carrying 11-0.
Puppet Master's 134 Saturday Rating shows potential, but 16/1 odds and a single run form figure of 8 limit confidence.
Outsider odds of 125/1 and a single-run form figure of 0 undermine a Saturday Rating of 123.
Outsider odds of 14/1 and a single run form figure of 3 limit confidence despite a solid Saturday Rating of 141.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Beauvallon | 8/11 open 1.57 | — | 4/7 | 4/7 | 8/15 | 4/7 | 8/11 Bet365 |
| 2 Karlynn | 4/1 | — | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Evangelic | 100/1 open 126.00 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 80/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Mino Des Mottes | 3/1 open 4.50 | — | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Pebble Island | 80/1 open 67.00 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Puppet Master | 8/1 open 17.00 | — | 8/1 open 17.00 | 8/1 open 17.00 | 15/2 open 17.00 | 15/2 open 15.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Yup Bro | 100/1 open 126.00 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Tex Amare | 25/1 open 15.00 | — | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Beauvallon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (76) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalA Saturday Rating of 137 and strong 511- form justify 4/5 stars despite short 4/7 odds suggesting limited value.
Carrying top weight of 11-0 with a Saturday Rating of 120 and solid 45202 form, Mino Des Mottes offers strong each-way value at 7/2.
Karlynn's solid 113 Saturday Rating and encouraging 645-21 form are offset by 11-6 weight and non-favourite 4/1 market position.
Puppet Master's 134 Saturday Rating shows potential, but 16/1 odds and a single run form figure of 8 limit confidence.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Beauvallon (SR 137, 4/7) carries 11-10 but the SR advantage over the field is decisive — only Tex Amare (SR 141) rates higher, and Tex Amare's sole form figure is a single '3' with zero additional evidence of ability over hurdles. Beauvallon's form reads '511-' from a Mullins yard that dominates Irish novice hurdles, with two wins in a three-race sequence suggesting a horse near the top of its game; the market has installed it at a short price reflecting genuine confidence rather than default favouritism. The 4lb weight concession to Tex Amare is offset by Beauvallon's far superior depth of form and the strength of the Mullins operation on good ground. Mino Des Mottes (SR 120, 7/2) also runs for Mullins but the lower SR and a form line showing multiple placed efforts without winning cuts against him here. Each-way alternative: Tex Amare. Main danger: Tex Amare — Tex Amare holds the highest SR in the field at 141, carries the lightest weight at 10-7 giving it a 17lb pull with Beauvallon on the weights, and although a single '3' run is thin evidence, the Anthony Mullins yard placing a well-rated horse here suggests there may be unseen ability waiting to surface.