Naas 15:08 RESULTED
4 Jul 2026

Saturday 4 July Lawlor's Of Naas Supporting Naas GAA Senior Football Race Day Apprentice Handicap

Lawlor's Of Naas Supporting Naas GAA Senior Football Race Day Apprentice Handicap · 5f

Official Result

Lawlor's Of Naas Supporting Naas GAA Senior Football Race Day Apprentice Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sovereign Cry (IRE) Terry Casey · Daniel James Murphy
    9/2
  2. 7/1
  3. 22/1
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Naas

13:22–17:30 · 8 races

Newmarket (July)

13:30–17:00 · 7 races

Sandown

13:50–17:22 · 7 races

Leicester

14:11–17:35 · 7 races

Beverley

14:17–17:40 · 7 races

Bellewstown

17:15–20:18 · 7 races

Nottingham

18:00–21:00 · 7 races

Carlisle

18:09–20:39 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Arctic Steps silks
Arctic Steps
Age 4 · 10-2
622519
72
69
72OR
4
10-2
13/2 11/2 6/1
Stepped up in grade and below form when beaten eight lengths off a 74 rating last time, this filly races 2lb lower today and wears cheekpieces for the first time. Admittedly inconsistent, she rates 81 with us, third of this large field, and has previously won from the front over this trip on good or all-weather ground.
AI verdict

Rated just 69 with inconsistent form (622519) and carrying 10-2 at 6/1, Arctic Steps lacks the profile to win.

2
Harry's Hill silks
Harry's Hill
Age 8 · 9-12
-67060
68
54
68OR
8
9-12
7/1 10/1 6/1
Form has faded across a run of six of late, though this gelding performed up to that level when beaten five lengths in a handicap at the Curragh last time. He wears a tongue-tie for the first time today, rates 73 with us, mid-field of thirteen, and is best served by yielding or good ground over this trip.
AI verdict

Poor recent form of -67060 and a low Saturday Rating of 54 combine to justify 11/1 odds and 1/5 stars.

3
Lethimfly silks
Lethimfly
Age 4 · 9-12
30-200
68
58
68OR
4
9-12
11/1 FCST 10/1
Race fitness issues have hampered this gelding, though he carries a fair mark on his best form and lines up from stall thirteen wearing blinkers for the first time. He went too freely too soon at a stamina-sapping track last time, well beaten in a handicap at Navan, but rates 74 with us in this field of thirteen and is suited by five furlongs on good ground.
AI verdict

Lethimfly's poor form (30-200), high weight of 9-12, and 11/1 odds reflect a 58 Saturday Rating with little market confidence.

4
Sovereign Cry silks
Sovereign Cry
Age 3 · 9-12
1-0469
73
60
73OR
3
9-12
11/1 FCST 10/1
Below form when eased off having missed the money in a handicap at Fairyhouse last time, this gelding nonetheless carries a good mark on his all-weather form and had won not long before that. He rates 83 with us, second of this large field, and is effective at five and six furlongs on going from good to yielding.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-12 with a Saturday Rating of 60, weak recent form 1-0469, and 11/1 odds signal minimal market confidence.

5
White Smoke silks
White Smoke
Age 3 · 9-12
54-904
73
46
73OR
3
9-12
25/1 20/1 25/1
Down the field in a handicap at this course last time, this filly looks up against a stiff mark and rates bottom of this field at 64 with us. Fitted today with both a tongue-tie and blinkers for the first time and drawn wide, she's been inconsistent and has plenty to prove, though she is effective over six furlongs on soft or good ground.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 46, poor form (254-90), and 22/1 odds signal White Smoke holds little realistic winning chance.

6
Bold Optimist silks
Bold Optimist
Age 6 · 9-11
08-364
67
65
67OR
6
9-11
9/2 FCST 4/1
Performed to expectation when beaten three and a half lengths off a 3lb higher mark at Dundalk last time, this gelding returns from a lengthy break wearing cheekpieces for the first time from a wide draw. He rates 73 with us, mid-field of thirteen, and can defy the layoff to go well again on a sound surface over this trip.
AI verdict

Rated just 65 with poor recent form (08-364) and carrying 9-11 at 4/1, Bold Optimist offers little appeal as a non-favourite.

7
Nouvel Espoir silks
Nouvel Espoir
Age 6 · 9-11
023641
67
72
67OR
6
9-11
4/1 FCST 10/3
Landed a handicap by two lengths off a 6lb lower mark at Down Royal last time, this gelding is up in the weights again today but rates top of this large field at 84 with us. Effective at both five and six furlongs on soft or good ground, he holds obvious claims of building further on that latest success.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-11 with inconsistent form (023641) and a modest Saturday Rating of 72 limits Nouvel Espoir's claims at 7/2.

8
Ardadslosttheplot silks
Ardadslosttheplot
Age 2 · 9-7
6350-
68
46
68OR
2
9-7
28/1 22/1 25/1
Off the track for the best part of a year, this filly was never a factor when beaten five and a half lengths in a nursery at Cork on her latest start. She rates 66 with us, well down this field of thirteen, drawn wide, and needs more to figure back after such a long layoff despite being in good form before that run.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of just 46, poor form of 6350-, and 22/1 odds signal minimal winning prospects for Ardadslosttheplot.

9
Cactus silks
Cactus
Age 3 · 9-7
50-400
68
56
68OR
3
9-7
14/1 11/1 12/1
Down the field in a maiden at Cork last time, this filly has been somewhat below par of late but drops back into a handicap today for a trainer who excels at this course. She rates 78 with us, fourth of this large field, and is effective at both five and six furlongs on soft or good ground, though more consistency is needed.
AI verdict

Form figures of 50-400 combined with a low Saturday Rating of 56 and 12/1 odds signal little winning chance.

10
Jordan Breeze silks
Jordan Breeze
Age 4 · 9-6
-22106
62
64
62OR
4
9-6
6/1 FCST 11/2
Faded to finish sixth, beaten six and a quarter lengths off a rating of 62 last time, a below-par effort from this gelding who has won and been runner-up twice in recent starts. Racing off the same mark today, he rates 72 with us, mid-field of thirteen, and needs to turn that form around on ground from soft to all-weather over this trip.
AI verdict

Rated 64 with fair 6/1 odds and recent form showing a win two runs back, Jordan Breeze carries 9-6 competitively.

11
Billboa silks
Billboa
Age 6 · 9-4
05-708
60
38
60OR
6
9-4
22/1 FCST 20/1
Stepped up in grade and well beaten in a handicap at Dundalk last time, this gelding is an unknown quantity following his time off and rates near the foot of this large field at 66 with us. He wears a tongue-tie for the first time and is best served by all-weather ground at five or six furlongs.
AI verdict

Billboa's dismal form of 05-708, long odds of 22/1, and low Saturday Rating of 38 make this 9-4 weighted runner a hopeless outsider.

12
Tawaazon silks
Tawaazon
Age 8 · 9-4
0-4029
60
53
60OR
8
9-4
8/1 9/1 13/2
Quick to reappear just three days after a below-par effort in a handicap at Fairyhouse, beaten five and a quarter lengths, this gelding rates 72 with us, mid-field of thirteen, and carries a fair mark provided he rediscovers that form. He's fitted with both a tongue-tie and blinkers for the first time and is effective at five or six furlongs on soft or good ground.
AI verdict

Tawaazon's poor form (0-4029), low Saturday Rating of 53, and 12/1 odds reflect limited winning prospects here.

13
Phil's Dream silks
Phil's Dream
Age 6 · 8-7
0-0218
49
50
49OR
6
8-7
14/1 FCST 12/1
Performed up to par when beaten four and a quarter lengths in a handicap at this course last time, this gelding had been going well before that including a win, and returns fitted with a tongue-tie and visor for the first time. He rates 67 with us, near the foot of this large field, for a yard short of recent success, and needs to find extra to get his head in front off that mark.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 50, 14/1 odds, and inconsistent form showing two non-completions limit Phil's Dream's chances significantly.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Arctic Steps 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 Bet365
2 Harry's Hill 7/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 7/1 Bet365
3 Lethimfly 11/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 11/1 Bet365
4 Sovereign Cry 11/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 11/1 Bet365
5 White Smoke 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
6 Bold Optimist 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 9/2 Bet365
7 Nouvel Espoir 4/1 open 4.50 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 4/1 Bet365
8 Ardadslosttheplot 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
9 Cactus 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
10 Jordan Breeze 6/1 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 6/1 Bet365
11 Billboa 22/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 22/1 Bet365
12 Tawaazon 8/1 open 13.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 8/1 Bet365
13 Phil's Dream 14/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Nouvel Espoir

Speculative

Nouvel Espoir owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (40) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 James M Barcoe E E Ryan(7)
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Jordan Breeze

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Patrick J Flynn
✓ Value Signal

White Smoke

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · M C Grassick
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Nouvel Espoir
52.5 4/1
2 10. Jordan Breeze
47.7 6/1
3 3. Lethimfly
47.1 11/1
4 6. Bold Optimist
47.0 9/2
5 1. Arctic Steps
46.8 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Nouvel Espoir
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 6 · 9-11
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

Carrying top weight of 9-11 with inconsistent form (023641) and a modest Saturday Rating of 72 limits Nouvel Espoir's claims at 7/2.

6
Age 6 · 9-11
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

Rated just 65 with poor recent form (08-364) and carrying 9-11 at 4/1, Bold Optimist offers little appeal as a non-favourite.

10
Age 4 · 9-6
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾

Rated 64 with fair 6/1 odds and recent form showing a win two runs back, Jordan Breeze carries 9-6 competitively.

1
Age 4 · 10-2
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

Rated just 69 with inconsistent form (622519) and carrying 10-2 at 6/1, Arctic Steps lacks the profile to win.

2
Age 8 · 9-12
7/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

Poor recent form of -67060 and a low Saturday Rating of 54 combine to justify 11/1 odds and 1/5 stars.

12
Age 8 · 9-4
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

Tawaazon's poor form (0-4029), low Saturday Rating of 53, and 12/1 odds reflect limited winning prospects here.

3
Age 4 · 9-12
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

Lethimfly's poor form (30-200), high weight of 9-12, and 11/1 odds reflect a 58 Saturday Rating with little market confidence.

4
Age 3 · 9-12
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

Carrying top weight of 9-12 with a Saturday Rating of 60, weak recent form 1-0469, and 11/1 odds signal minimal market confidence.

9
Age 3 · 9-7
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

Form figures of 50-400 combined with a low Saturday Rating of 56 and 12/1 odds signal little winning chance.

13
Age 6 · 8-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 50, 14/1 odds, and inconsistent form showing two non-completions limit Phil's Dream's chances significantly.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Nouvel Espoir
Confidence: Medium

Nouvel Espoir (SR 72, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and arrives on a career-best form line of 023641 — a last-time-out win that demonstrates peak current form. Carrying 9-11, he has a 5lb weight advantage over top-weight Arctic Steps (SR 69, 10-2) while posting a superior SR, meaning the lbs edge compounds the ability edge. The market has him as favourite at 7/2, reflecting genuine confidence rather than blind market bias, and the 5f trip on Good ground suits a horse with sprint-form who has been progressing through the season. Each-way alternative: Jordan Breeze. Main danger: Arctic Steps — Arctic Steps (SR 69, 6/1) is the second-highest rated horse in the race and, despite carrying top-weight of 10-2, has shown consistent recent competitiveness with a form string of 622519 that includes placings — if the weight doesn't anchor him on Good ground over 5f, he is the most credible challenger to Nouvel Espoir.

Shortlist Nouvel Espoir, Arctic Steps, Jordan Breeze
Each-way: Jordan Breeze Danger: Arctic Steps

🗺 The Course Race conditions

5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Naas Track and setting