Naas 13:57 RESULTED
4 Jul 2026

Saturday 4 July Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race · 5f

Official Result

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Keke (GB) W J Lee · Edward Lynam
    6/5F
  2. Second Xerling (IRE)
    9/1
  3. 15/8
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13:22–17:30 · 8 races

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18:09–20:39 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Howd'yadoit silks
Howd'yadoit
Age 3 · 9-11
48-417
101
99
101OR
3
9-11
10/3 FCST 11/4
Fairyhouse last time was a stay-related flop over six furlongs, but this gelding won going away before that and drops back to the minimum trip today over conditions that suit. Rated 99 with us, fourth in this quintet, he can bounce back for a trainer in form.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 99 and fair 7/2 odds are offset by inconsistent 48-417 form and a hefty 9-11 weight.

2
Keke silks
Keke
Age 6 · 9-10
5-8135
102
106
102OR
6
9-10
6/4 FCST 3/2
A consistent sort who ran creditably in defeat in a Listed race at Cork last time, this gelding wears a tongue-tie for the first time and rates the pick of this quintet at 101. A strongly run five furlongs on a sound surface should suit down to the ground.
AI verdict

Keke's Saturday Rating of 106 and consistent recent form (5-8135) at 6/4 justify four stars despite carrying 9-10.

3
Likedbymike silks
Likedbymike
Age 4 · 9-5
622429
96
108
96OR
4
9-5
9/4
Below her best when never a threat from off the pace at the Curragh last time, this filly still rates second-highest in this quintet at 100 with us, and her share of places shows she's competitive at this level. A modest strike-rate is the concern, but she's respected on figures.
AI verdict

Recent form of 622429 and a Saturday Rating of 108 at 9/4 suggest mid-tier claims, not market dominance.

4
Cardiff By The Sea silks
Cardiff By The Sea
Age 3 · 9-0
47-107
91
94
91OR
3
9-0
15/2
A genuine speedster who performed up to expectation when beaten four lengths in a Listed race at Ayr last time, this filly rates 99 with us, third of this quintet, and looks sure to relish a sharply run five furlongs. Faster ground would be the ideal conditions for her.
AI verdict

Rated 94 with patchy form (47-107) and 15/2 odds suggest mid-tier market confidence, justifying a modest 3-star rating.

5
Xerling silks
Xerling
Age 3 · 9-0
040-21
78
78
78OR
3
9-0
14/1 FCST 12/1
This filly won readily by a length and a half in a Cork maiden last time but faces a stiff step up in company here, rating only 85 with us, bottom of this quintet. Versatile on ground and effective at both five and six furlongs, she's up against much higher-rated rivals today.
AI verdict

Xerling's 78 Saturday Rating and 12/1 odds reflect a market lacking confidence despite recent form showing a win and second.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Howd'yadoit 10/3 open 4.50 11/4 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 10/3 Bet365
2 Keke 6/4 6/4 6/4 6/4 6/4 6/4 Bet365
3 Likedbymike 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 9/4 Bet365
4 Cardiff By The Sea 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 15/2 Bet365
5 Xerling 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Keke

Live signal

Keke owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (59) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 Edward Lynam W J Lee
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Howd'yadoit

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · G M Lyons
✓ Value Signal

Xerling

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Miss Natalia Lupini
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Keke
60.1 6/4
2 1. Howd'yadoit
58.9 10/3
3 3. Likedbymike
58.4 9/4
4 4. Cardiff By The Sea
55.7 15/2
5 5. Xerling
46.2 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Keke
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 9-10
6/4
★★★★☆ SR 106 🐾

Keke's Saturday Rating of 106 and consistent recent form (5-8135) at 6/4 justify four stars despite carrying 9-10.

3
Age 4 · 9-5
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾

Recent form of 622429 and a Saturday Rating of 108 at 9/4 suggest mid-tier claims, not market dominance.

1
Age 3 · 9-11
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 99 and fair 7/2 odds are offset by inconsistent 48-417 form and a hefty 9-11 weight.

4
Age 3 · 9-0
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

Rated 94 with patchy form (47-107) and 15/2 odds suggest mid-tier market confidence, justifying a modest 3-star rating.

5
Age 3 · 9-0
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

Xerling's 78 Saturday Rating and 12/1 odds reflect a market lacking confidence despite recent form showing a win and second.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Keke
Confidence: Medium

Keke (SR 106, 6/4) is the market leader for good reason: a 5f specialist at age 6 with seasoned course-craft, carrying 9-10 which is a manageable weight, and a form string of 5-8135 showing a recent third and fifth suggesting she is building back into form. The SR of 106 leads the field alongside Likedbymike on 108, but Keke carries 5lb more than Likedbymike's 9-5, meaning the net weight-adjusted edge narrows — yet the 4-star AI probability and market confidence at 6/4 reflect genuine optimism. Edward Lynam is a renowned sprint handler, and a 6-year-old at this trip on Good ground at Naas is exactly the profile his yard exploits. The shortening market price versus Likedbymike's 9/4 suggests punters see Keke's experience as the decisive edge. Each-way alternative: Howd'yadoit. Main danger: Likedbymike — Likedbymike (SR 108, 9/4) carries the highest SR in the field and has a 5lb weight advantage over Keke at 9-5, meaning if the M J Byrne runner fires on Good ground over 5f, that combination of top rating plus favourable weight could overpower the favourite.

Shortlist Keke, Likedbymike, Howd'yadoit
Each-way: Howd'yadoit Danger: Likedbymike

🗺 The Course Race conditions

5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Naas Track and setting