Coolmore Stud Blackbeard Tipperary Stakes (Listed) · 5f
Strong Saturday Rating of 151 and competitive 5/1 odds justify confidence despite a modest form figure of 82.
Rated 108 with solid 2129 form, Carry The Flag's 4/7 odds confirm strong market confidence despite carrying top weight of 9-5.
A Saturday Rating of 73 and 16/1 odds in a Listed race expose Hanney Boy as a significant market outsider with limited winning form.
Long odds of 20/1 and unknown recent form undermine Rejoinder's solid Saturday Rating of 130, despite a competitive 9-5 weight.
Outsider odds of 80/1 and a single form figure of 6 undermine confidence despite a 127 Saturday Rating.
A Saturday Rating of 52 and poor recent form (236) at 33/1 make Belle Island an unconvincing outsider in this Listed contest.
Solid Saturday Rating of 94, consistent form (3210), and fair 11/2 odds at 9-0 weight make Big Negotiator a strong each-way contender.
A Saturday Rating of 72 and poor recent form (3751) at 18-1 make Brazilian Diva an unconvincing outsider in this Listed contest.
A Saturday Rating of 130 shows ability, but 25/1 odds and poor recent form of 27 undermine confidence.
Matriarchal's Saturday Rating of 78 and 14/1 odds suggest limited winning prospects despite solid recent form of 4315.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Abletai | 13/2 open 6.00 | — | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 | 7/1 William Hill |
| 2 Carry The Flag | 8/15 open 1.57 | — | 8/15 open 1.50 | 8/15 open 1.50 | 4/7 open 1.62 | 8/15 | 4/7 William Hill |
| 3 Hanney Boy | 18/1 open 17.00 | — | 18/1 | 18/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 William Hill |
| 4 Rejoinder | 20/1 | — | 18/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 | 22/1 | 18/1 | 22/1 William Hill |
| 5 Arrowstock | 66/1 open 81.00 | — | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 66/1 | 50/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Belle Island | 33/1 | — | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Big Negotiator | 5/1 open 6.50 | — | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 5/1 | 9/2 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Brazilian Diva | 20/1 open 19.00 | — | 20/1 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Celestial Crown | 28/1 open 26.00 | — | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Matriarchal | 18/1 open 15.00 | — | 18/1 | 18/1 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 | 22/1 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Abletai owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalRated 108 with solid 2129 form, Carry The Flag's 4/7 odds confirm strong market confidence despite carrying top weight of 9-5.
Solid Saturday Rating of 94, consistent form (3210), and fair 11/2 odds at 9-0 weight make Big Negotiator a strong each-way contender.
Strong Saturday Rating of 151 and competitive 5/1 odds justify confidence despite a modest form figure of 82.
A Saturday Rating of 73 and 16/1 odds in a Listed race expose Hanney Boy as a significant market outsider with limited winning form.
Matriarchal's Saturday Rating of 78 and 14/1 odds suggest limited winning prospects despite solid recent form of 4315.
Long odds of 20/1 and unknown recent form undermine Rejoinder's solid Saturday Rating of 130, despite a competitive 9-5 weight.
A Saturday Rating of 72 and poor recent form (3751) at 18-1 make Brazilian Diva an unconvincing outsider in this Listed contest.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Abletai (SR 151, 5/1, 9-5) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in the field and represents a significant SR advantage over every rival — the next best, Rejoinder and Celestial Crown, both sit at SR 130, a 21-point gap that is substantial at Listed level over 5f. The market favourite Carry The Flag (SR 108, 4/7) is rated a full 43 points below Abletai, making that price extremely difficult to justify on ability alone, and the 4-star AI probability on both horses suggests the model sees a genuine contest rather than a one-horse race. Abletai's form of 8-2 shows a recent runner-up finish which confirms competitive engagement at a high level, and trainer M C Grassick has form with sharp juvenile sprinters on good ground. At 5/1 with the field's highest SR and level weights, Abletai represents the standout on a ratings-adjusted basis. Each-way alternative: Rejoinder. Main danger: Celestial Crown — Celestial Crown (SR 130, 25/1, 9-0) carries 5lb less than Abletai and, if that weight advantage translates on good ground over 5f, the JP Murtagh-trained juvenile could close the SR gap sufficiently to threaten.