Carlisle 20:09 RESULTED
Class 5 4 Jul 2026

Saturday 4 July Caledonia Park Stylish Stayers Handicap (For Pro-Am Female Jockeys)

Caledonia Park Stylish Stayers Handicap (For Pro-Am Female Jockeys) · 2m1f47y

Official Result

Caledonia Park Stylish Stayers Handicap (For Pro-Am Female Jockeys)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Tarbat Ness (GB) Gina Mangan · John Berry
    5/1
  2. Second Laravie (IRE)
    11/8F
  3. Third Animato (GB)
    33/1
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

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13:22–17:30 · 8 races

Newmarket (July)

13:30–17:00 · 7 races

Sandown

13:50–17:22 · 7 races

Leicester

14:11–17:35 · 7 races

Beverley

14:17–17:40 · 7 races

Bellewstown

17:15–20:18 · 7 races

Nottingham

18:00–21:00 · 7 races

Carlisle

18:09–20:39 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Laravie silks
Laravie
Age 7 · 10-9
951112
72
61
72OR
7
10-9
11/10 Evs 11/10
Progressive with a hat-trick of wins before a good second last time under a 3lb rise, this mare is the one to beat on our figures. She's proven over today's trip and ground, tries a first-time visor, though her modest speed figure is the one query.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 10-9 with a modest Saturday Rating of 61, Laravie's mixed form of 951112 limits confidence despite even-money odds.

2
Tarbat Ness silks
Tarbat Ness
Age 7 · 10-5
446453
68
68
68OR
7
10-5
5/1
Generally in good form, with a third beaten 5 1/4 lengths in a Kempton handicap last time, this gelding is clearly suited by this longer trip. He ranks second of six on our figures and tries first-time blinkers, though his modest speed figure is the one query.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 68 and inconsistent form reading 446453 make Tarbat Ness a mid-market 11/2 shot carrying 10-5.

3
Cascade Hall silks
Cascade Hall
Age 7 · 10-2
7-1213
65
75
65OR
7
10-2
5/2 5/2 9/4
A dual winner this term, including a 6 1/2-length success off a lower mark two starts back, this gelding backed that up with a creditable third last time. He's proven on this ground and ranks third of six on our figures, but today's trip may stretch him beyond his best 12-16f range.
AI verdict

Solid recent form (7-1213) and fair odds of 11/4 are offset by a middling Saturday Rating of 75 and 10-2 weight burden.

4
Rupert The Prince silks
Rupert The Prince
Age 4 · 9-10
21-340
59
63
59OR
4
9-10
15/2 15/2 13/2
A well-beaten effort for no obvious reason in a Pontefract handicap last time was a big letdown after a promising campaign that included a win and a narrow second. He's proven at today's trip and ground, but he's a modest contender on our figures even with a first-time visor to try.
AI verdict

Moderate Saturday Rating of 63, unconvincing recent form (21-340), and 10/1 odds suggest a mid-tier contender carrying 9-10.

5
Animato silks
Animato
Age 7 · 9-8
740-65
57
46
57OR
7
9-8
28/1 18/1 28/1
Held comfortably in a Hamilton handicap last time on a trip that didn't suit, this gelding wants further and has at least dropped a long way in the weights. He's proven at today's trip and ground, but he's the bottom-rated runner here and remains without a win in recent starts.
AI verdict

Weak Saturday Rating of 46, poor form (740-65), and 18/1 odds confirm Animato as a outsider with little winning chance.

6
Arctic Fox silks
Arctic Fox
Age 10 · 9-8
30-239
57
55
57OR
10
9-8
12/1
Typically a picture of consistency racing off a fair mark, this mare looks overdue an upturn after a well-beaten run for no obvious reason here last time. She's proven at today's trip, handles cut in the ground, and ranks fourth of six on our figures, making her one to note on a return to form.
AI verdict

Weak 55 Saturday Rating, 9-8 burden, 12/1 outsider, and inconsistent 30-239 form combine to justify just 2/5 stars.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Laravie 11/10 open 2.00 6/5 open 2.10 6/5 open 2.10 6/5 open 2.10 6/5 open 2.10 6/5 Coral
2 Tarbat Ness 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 Bet365
3 Cascade Hall 5/2 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 5/2 Bet365
4 Rupert The Prince 15/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 15/2 Bet365
5 Animato 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
6 Arctic Fox 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Laravie

Speculative

Laravie owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 James Owen Joanna Mason
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Cascade Hall

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Jim Goldie
✓ Value Signal

Animato

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Donald McCain
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Laravie
52.8 11/10
2 3. Cascade Hall
52.2 5/2
3 2. Tarbat Ness
49.6 5/1
4 4. Rupert The Prince
47.1 15/2
5 6. Arctic Fox
42.4 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Cascade Hall
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 7 · 10-9
11/10
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

Carrying top weight of 10-9 with a modest Saturday Rating of 61, Laravie's mixed form of 951112 limits confidence despite even-money odds.

3
Age 7 · 10-2
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾

Solid recent form (7-1213) and fair odds of 11/4 are offset by a middling Saturday Rating of 75 and 10-2 weight burden.

2
Age 7 · 10-5
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 68 and inconsistent form reading 446453 make Tarbat Ness a mid-market 11/2 shot carrying 10-5.

4
Age 4 · 9-10
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 63 🐾

Moderate Saturday Rating of 63, unconvincing recent form (21-340), and 10/1 odds suggest a mid-tier contender carrying 9-10.

6
Age 10 · 9-8
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

Weak 55 Saturday Rating, 9-8 burden, 12/1 outsider, and inconsistent 30-239 form combine to justify just 2/5 stars.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cascade Hall
Confidence: Medium

Cascade Hall (SR 75, 11/4) is the class leader in this modest field and the market has identified it as the clear second favourite behind the favourite Laravie. The form string 7-1213 shows a season break followed by a win and consistent placed efforts, with the last run a third — still competitive and in form. Carrying 10-2, it holds a 7lb weight advantage over top-weight Laravie (10-9, SR 61) despite being the superior-rated horse, which is a significant lbs edge on Good to Firm ground over 2m1f47y where stamina is tested. Jim Goldie is an astute handler of stayers at Scottish tracks and Carlisle suits this profile. Each-way alternative: Tarbat Ness. Main danger: Laravie — Laravie (SR 61, evens) is the market leader and carries form figures 951112 — three consecutive wins — suggesting it is in the form of its life, and trainer James Owen may have this primed despite the significant weight burden of 10-9.

Shortlist Cascade Hall, Laravie, Tarbat Ness
Each-way: Tarbat Ness Danger: Laravie

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m1f47y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade