Newmarket (July) 15:15 RESULTED
Class 2 4 Jul 2026

Saturday 4 July Betway Old Newton Cup Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Betway Old Newton Cup Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m4f

Official Result

Betway Old Newton Cup Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sportingsilvermine (IRE) Marco Ghiani · James Owen
    12/1
  2. 8/1
  3. 12/1
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Naas

13:22–17:30 · 8 races

Newmarket (July)

13:30–17:00 · 7 races

Sandown

13:50–17:22 · 7 races

Leicester

14:11–17:35 · 7 races

Beverley

14:17–17:40 · 7 races

Bellewstown

17:15–20:18 · 7 races

Nottingham

18:00–21:00 · 7 races

Carlisle

18:09–20:39 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Burdett Road silks
Burdett Road
Age 6 · 9-12
-29370
103
72
103OR
6
9-12
40/1 33/1 40/1
Boasting smart form from overseas, this gelding has yet to match it back in UK handicaps, well below that level when down the field at Ascot last time. He has raced over today's trip and going before and stays 12-14f, so the question is whether he can finally transfer that smart form here.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 72, distant 33/1 odds, and poor recent form of -29370 make Burdett Road a weak contender despite carrying 9-12.

2
Plage De Havre silks
Plage De Havre
Age 5 · 9-11
P31-63
102
101
102OR
5
9-11
15/2 13/2 15/2
A winner of this race twelve months ago, this gelding travelled strongly before finding one too many, third beaten 5 1/4 lengths in a 12f handicap at York last time. He has raced over today's trip and going before and stays 10-14f; the mark isn't easy, but the profile remains progressive.
AI verdict

Carries top weight of 9-11 with inconsistent form (P31-63) but a solid Saturday Rating of 101 justifies mid-tier 3/5 appeal at 7/1.

3
Paddy The Squire silks
Paddy The Squire
Age 6 · 9-10
115-63
101
93
101OR
6
9-10
15/2 7/1 15/2
Held up by traffic problems and left too much to do, this gelding still ran to form when beaten two lengths off a 1lb lower mark at Ascot last time, one of two wins in his last five. First-time tongue-tie and cheekpieces are added, and this longer trip should suit better.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-10 with mixed form (115-63) and a Saturday Rating of 93 at 15/2 suggests mid-tier competitiveness without strong market confidence.

4
Claymore silks
Claymore
Age 7 · 9-8
277851
99
90
99OR
7
9-8
12/1 11/1 12/1
Impressive when landing a handicap by three and a half lengths off a 5lb lower mark at Windsor last time, this gelding looks to have recaptured last year's smart form and is at home up in front. Top-rated here at 10-12f, he takes plenty of beating on that evidence.
AI verdict

Claymore's inconsistent form (277851), high weight of 9-8, and weak 11/1 market position undermine his modest Saturday Rating of 90.

5
Klassleader silks
Klassleader
Age 4 · 9-7
7212-1
98
109
98OR
4
9-7
11/8 3/2 18/13
This progressive colt landed a handicap by three lengths on his seasonal debut at York last time, keeping on strongly as if capable of even further, off a mark 8lb below today's. Effective at 12f on good to soft or quick ground, he looks open to more, even up in the weights.
AI verdict

Klassleader's strong recent form (7212-1) and competitive Saturday Rating of 109 justify confidence despite carrying 9-7.

6
Enemy silks
Enemy
Age 9 · 9-6
131099
97
73
97OR
9
9-6
33/1 40/1 33/1
Modestly below form when beaten seven and a half lengths in a tough race at Ascot last time, this gelding has two wins in his last six and goes well on the all-weather nowadays. He stays 12-16f on most surfaces, though a stable short of winners lately and a first-time tongue-tie add question marks.
AI verdict

Enemy's 40/1 odds, inconsistent form (131099), and low Saturday Rating of 73 suggest minimal winning chances despite carrying 9-6.

7
Night Breeze silks
Night Breeze
Age 6 · 9-4
403412
95
88
95OR
6
9-4
20/1 14/1 20/1
Second, beaten just over a length when last seen off a mark of 91, this gelding franked that form and is only 4lb higher today, leaving him fairly weighted still. He's effective at 10-12f on most surfaces, but a first-time tongue-tie and a stable short of winners add slight caution.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-4 with a Saturday Rating of 88 and unconsidered at 16/1, Night Breeze's inconsistent form of 403412 limits confidence.

8
Ammes silks
Ammes
Age 4 · 8-13
23-624
90
79
90OR
4
8-13
14/1
Not far below his form but lacking a bit of resolve when fourth, beaten eight lengths in a handicap at Epsom latest, this gelding remains without a win in five attempts. He stays 10-14f and a step up in trip plus a first-time visor could help, though he needs more resolution to figure.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 79 and uninspiring form of 23-624 make Ammes's 16/1 odds hard to recommend.

9
Al Aali silks
Al Aali
Age 4 · 8-13
-00875
90
82
90OR
4
8-13
14/1 12/1 14/1
Matching recent levels when beaten four and a quarter lengths in a handicap at Sandown last time, this gelding is yet to win in five tries and has never gone beyond 10f, a query at this longer trip. First-time cheekpieces and a trainer in form offer some encouragement, with his mark said to look stiff this season.
AI verdict

Carrying 8-13 with weak form (-00875) and a 12/1 outsider rating of 82 signals limited winning chances.

10
Fierce Fortitude silks
Fierce Fortitude
Age 4 · 8-13
21-213
90
89
90OR
4
8-13
12/1
Roughly matching his form when third, beaten three and a half lengths off a mark of 90 last time, this gelding races off the same mark today. Two wins in his last five is solid enough, but he's best suited at 10f on fast ground and this longer 12f trip brings a stamina question.
AI verdict

Rated just 89 on Saturday Rating and drifting at 14/1 despite decent form of 21-213, the market clearly lacks confidence in Fierce Fortitude.

11
Elsass silks
Elsass
Age 4 · 8-11
120-11
88
98
88OR
4
8-11
7/1 6/1 7/1
Stepping forward again when winning a handicap by five lengths off a mark 8lb lower at Hamilton last time, this gelding has three wins from his last five starts and should go well again off the new higher mark. He's suited by 10-11f on a sound surface, with the rising weights the only obvious concern.
AI verdict

Consistent form (120-11) and a competitive Saturday Rating of 98 justify mid-tier appeal, but 7/1 odds and 8-11 weight limit confidence.

12
Sportingsilvermine silks
Sportingsilvermine
Age 5 · 8-9
000713
86
74
86OR
5
8-9
22/1 20/1 22/1
Denied a clear run late and unlucky not to finish closer than third, beaten 2 1/4 lengths off an unchanged mark last time, this gelding is in excellent form. He's effective at 10-12f on any going, and with our figures well clear of his official mark, he rates a leading threat here.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 74 and poor recent form (000713) at 22/1 make Sportingsilvermine a long-shot with little market confidence.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Burdett Road 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
2 Plage De Havre 15/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 Coral
3 Paddy The Squire 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 Bet365
4 Claymore 12/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Coral
5 Klassleader 11/8 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.50 11/8 Bet365
6 Enemy 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 Bet365
7 Night Breeze 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 Bet365
8 Ammes 14/1 16/1 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Coral
9 Al Aali 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365
10 Fierce Fortitude 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
11 Elsass 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 William Hill
12 Sportingsilvermine 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Klassleader

Live signal

Klassleader owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 William Haggas Tom Marquand
77% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Plage De Havre

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · Andrew Balding
✓ Value Signal

Enemy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Ian Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Klassleader
62.6 11/8
2 2. Plage De Havre
57.3 15/2
3 3. Paddy The Squire
55.2 15/2
4 11. Elsass
53.5 7/1
5 10. Fierce Fortitude
51.1 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Klassleader
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 4 · 9-7
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 109 🐾

Klassleader's strong recent form (7212-1) and competitive Saturday Rating of 109 justify confidence despite carrying 9-7.

11
Age 4 · 8-11
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾

Consistent form (120-11) and a competitive Saturday Rating of 98 justify mid-tier appeal, but 7/1 odds and 8-11 weight limit confidence.

2
Age 5 · 9-11
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾

Carries top weight of 9-11 with inconsistent form (P31-63) but a solid Saturday Rating of 101 justifies mid-tier 3/5 appeal at 7/1.

3
Age 6 · 9-10
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

Carrying top weight of 9-10 with mixed form (115-63) and a Saturday Rating of 93 at 15/2 suggests mid-tier competitiveness without strong market confidence.

4
Age 7 · 9-8
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾

Claymore's inconsistent form (277851), high weight of 9-8, and weak 11/1 market position undermine his modest Saturday Rating of 90.

10
Age 4 · 8-13
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

Rated just 89 on Saturday Rating and drifting at 14/1 despite decent form of 21-213, the market clearly lacks confidence in Fierce Fortitude.

8
Age 4 · 8-13
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 79 and uninspiring form of 23-624 make Ammes's 16/1 odds hard to recommend.

9
Age 4 · 8-13
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

Carrying 8-13 with weak form (-00875) and a 12/1 outsider rating of 82 signals limited winning chances.

7
Age 6 · 9-4
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾

Carrying top weight of 9-4 with a Saturday Rating of 88 and unconsidered at 16/1, Night Breeze's inconsistent form of 403412 limits confidence.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Klassleader
Confidence: High

Klassleader (SR 109, 6/4) is the class standout in this field — his SR of 109 is 8 points clear of the next-best Plage De Havre (SR 101) and he arrives in career-best form with a '7212-1' string that shows a recent win followed by a strong seasonal campaign. Carrying just 9-7 — only 4lb above the minimum in the field — he gets a decisive weight advantage over Plage De Havre (9-11) and Paddy The Squire (9-10) despite his superior SR. William Haggas is a master at placing lightly-weighted improvers on good-to-firm Newmarket ground, and the 1m4f trip at the July course suits a horse with a progressive profile. The market is heavily committed at 6/4 — not price-following, this is a genuinely superior SR on a favourable weight for the class of race. Each-way alternative: Elsass. Main danger: Elsass — Elsass (SR 98, 7/1) carries a light 8-11 and arrives on a '120-11' form line showing back-to-back wins — Charlie Johnston's four-year-olds on good-to-firm Newmarket ground with momentum behind them are always dangerous, and the 10lb weight pull over Klassleader partially offsets the SR gap.

Shortlist Klassleader, Elsass, Plage De Havre
Each-way: Elsass Danger: Elsass

🗺 The Course Class 2

1m4f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Newmarket (July) Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade