Leicester 15:56 RESULTED
Class 5 4 Jul 2026

Saturday 4 July Curve Theatre Fillies' Handicap

Curve Theatre Fillies' Handicap · 6f

Official Result

Curve Theatre Fillies' Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Amelia's Joy (GB) David Probert · Michael Herrington
    5/1
  2. 15/2
  3. 4/1F
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Lodge silks
Lodge
Age 4 · 10-2
12-508
70
45
70OR
4
10-2
14/1 16/1 12/1
The form has gone in the wrong direction since a debut win, with this filly well beaten last time here having raced too freely and used up her energy too soon in a handicap; she returns for the first time in almost three months with a first-time tongue-tie fitted, and while she does act on this sort of ground, the leading form clearly poses a stern task.
AI verdict

Lodge's 25/1 odds, poor recent form (12-508), and low Saturday Rating of 45 make her a rank outsider.

2
Dolo's Star silks
Dolo's Star
Age 3 · 9-10
542
70
69
70OR
3
9-10
10/1 13/2 9/1
A big-priced second in a novice at Southwell latest, beaten three quarters of a length, may have run above her true level that day, and there's a question over whether she can repeat it now stepping up to six furlongs on turf having previously been proven at the minimum trip on synthetic surfaces; she returns quickly after that break and sits bottom of this field on our figures.
AI verdict

Rated just 69 with uninspiring 542 form and 13/2 odds, Dolo's Star carries 9-10 and lacks market confidence.

3
Carefree Dream silks
Carefree Dream
Age 3 · 9-10
0-0522
70
74
70OR
3
9-10
11/2 4/1 11/2
Keen but game in defeat when beaten just a length off a slightly lower mark at Goodwood last time, this filly ran to form there and has been runner-up in each of her last two starts; she's clearly in good order right now and, with the figures suggesting she's effective down to five furlongs on any going, she's a leading player again off this mark.
AI verdict

Rated just 74 with poor form (0-0522) and carrying 9-10, Carefree Dream offers little confidence at 4/1.

4
Guernsey Angel silks
Guernsey Angel
Age 3 · 9-9
-64566
69
51
69OR
3
9-9
9/1 10/1 7/1
Comfortably held back up at six furlongs in a handicap at Haydock last time, this filly didn't see out the trip fully there, continuing a run of modest finishes without ever threatening; she does act well on quick ground or all-weather, but more is clearly needed to get involved in this company.
AI verdict

Outsider at 20/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 51 and dismal form reading -64566 offers no winning case.

5
Sayidah Aleen silks
Sayidah Aleen
Age 3 · 9-9
423
69
73
69OR
3
9-9
11/2 9/2 5/1
Not seeing out a step up to a mile on soft ground when a close third at Lingfield most recently, this filly has otherwise gone well in maiden company, placing once more before that; back closer to her best trip with first-time cheekpieces added, she can't be ruled out on her first attempt at a handicap.
AI verdict

Consistent form figures of 423 and a competitive 9/2 market price support a mid-tier 73 Saturday Rating at 9-9.

6
Q T Pie silks
Q T Pie
Age 3 · 9-9
5149-2
69
77
69OR
3
9-9
13/2 9/2 11/2
A revival of form saw her beaten just half a length off a lighter mark at Goodwood last time, and that comeback run, her first of the season, should bring improvement with a race under her belt; effective at today's trip on this sort of ground as a two-year-old, she rates a leading contender again.
AI verdict

Rated 77 with solid recent form (5149-2) and fair 9/2 odds, but 9-9 weight limits her winning chance.

7
Amelia's Joy silks
Amelia's Joy
Age 4 · 9-9
171452
63
70
63OR
4
9-9
11/2 6/1 5/1
Splitting two wins either side of a handful of minor-place finishes, this filly continues to race to a fair level, and was beaten just half a length last time off a mark of sixty-two, only a pound lower than today; the yard is in good form, first-time cheekpieces are added, and she looks competitive again at a trip she handles well.
AI verdict

Inconsistent form (171452) and a Saturday Rating of 70 limit her prospects despite fair 6/1 odds at 9-9.

8
Sierra Sue silks
Sierra Sue
Age 3 · 9-6
49545
66
44
66OR
3
9-6
25/1 FCST 22/1
Beaten eight and a quarter lengths in a handicap at Redcar last time but running to her level there, this filly has a workable, easing mark in her favour today, and first-time cheekpieces could sharpen her up further; she's suited by this trip on quick or soft ground, giving her a fair chance if she can find more.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 44, 25/1 odds, and dismal form figures of 49545 make Sierra Sue an unconvincing 9-6 runner.

9
May Encounter silks
May Encounter
Age 4 · 9-4
465-55
58
53
58OR
4
9-4
10/1 10/1 9/1
A modest effort at Nottingham last time, beaten three lengths from a mark two pounds higher than today, leaves this filly something of an unknown quantity on recent evidence, having failed to add to a run of similar finishing positions beforehand; she should be suited by this trip on a sound surface, but the case for her remains unclear.
AI verdict

Weak Saturday Rating of 53, poor form reading 465-55, and 12/1 odds signal low market confidence for May Encounter.

10
Spacewoman silks
Spacewoman
Age 3 · 9-4
70-851
64
71
64OR
3
9-4
11/2 9/2 5/1
A neck victory down to six furlongs at Newmarket last time, off a mark four pounds lower than today, marked this filly's first success and came after finding herself suited by a drop in trip; she looks open to further progress still as an out-and-out sprinter, remains unexposed at the trip, and heads this field on our figures despite stamina beyond six furlongs still unproven.
AI verdict

Spacewoman's Saturday Rating of 71 and 5/1 odds suggest fair claims, but 9-4 weight and inconsistent form 70-851 limit confidence.

11
Grand Citadel silks
Grand Citadel
Age 5 · 9-2
453210
56
60
56OR
5
9-2
7/1 12/1 7/1
A well-held tenth back down to six furlongs last time, beaten ten lengths off the same mark she races off today, was a big step back for this mare after an earlier spell of form that had brought a win among some encouraging placed efforts; first-time blinkers are added in the hope of a return to form, and she does act across a wide range of trips and going.
AI verdict

Carrying top weight of 9-2 with a Saturday Rating of just 60, odds of 12/1, and form showing a recent win followed by a zero, Grand Citadel lacks market confidence.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Lodge 14/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
2 Dolo's Star 10/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 10/1 Bet365
3 Carefree Dream 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 William Hill
4 Guernsey Angel 9/1 open 21.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 11.00 9/1 Bet365
5 Sayidah Aleen 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 5/1 11/2 open 6.00 5/1 11/2 Bet365
6 Q T Pie 13/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 13/2 Bet365
7 Amelia's Joy 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
8 Sierra Sue 25/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 25/1 Bet365
9 May Encounter 10/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 Bet365
10 Spacewoman 11/2 open 6.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 Bet365
11 Grand Citadel 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Q T Pie

Speculative

Q T Pie owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/2 Tom Dascombe William Carson
63% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Carefree Dream

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · J S Moore
✓ Value Signal

Sierra Sue

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · James Horton
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Q T Pie
52.9 13/2
2 3. Carefree Dream
52.8 11/2
3 7. Amelia's Joy
52.5 11/2
4 5. Sayidah Aleen
51.8 11/2
5 10. Spacewoman
49.8 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Q T Pie
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-10
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

Rated just 74 with poor form (0-0522) and carrying 9-10, Carefree Dream offers little confidence at 4/1.

5
Age 3 · 9-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

Consistent form figures of 423 and a competitive 9/2 market price support a mid-tier 73 Saturday Rating at 9-9.

7
Age 4 · 9-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾

Inconsistent form (171452) and a Saturday Rating of 70 limit her prospects despite fair 6/1 odds at 9-9.

10
Age 3 · 9-4
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

Spacewoman's Saturday Rating of 71 and 5/1 odds suggest fair claims, but 9-4 weight and inconsistent form 70-851 limit confidence.

6
Age 3 · 9-9
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

Rated 77 with solid recent form (5149-2) and fair 9/2 odds, but 9-9 weight limits her winning chance.

11
Age 5 · 9-2
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

Carrying top weight of 9-2 with a Saturday Rating of just 60, odds of 12/1, and form showing a recent win followed by a zero, Grand Citadel lacks market confidence.

4
Age 3 · 9-9
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

Outsider at 20/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 51 and dismal form reading -64566 offers no winning case.

2
Age 3 · 9-10
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

Rated just 69 with uninspiring 542 form and 13/2 odds, Dolo's Star carries 9-10 and lacks market confidence.

9
Age 4 · 9-4
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

Weak Saturday Rating of 53, poor form reading 465-55, and 12/1 odds signal low market confidence for May Encounter.

1
Age 4 · 10-2
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

Lodge's 25/1 odds, poor recent form (12-508), and low Saturday Rating of 45 make her a rank outsider.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Q T Pie
Confidence: Medium

Q T Pie (SR 77, 9/2) is the top-rated horse in the field and her form string 5149-2 shows a win at this sort of level followed by a placed effort last time, confirming she retains form and handles the conditions. Carrying 9-9 she has a manageable weight and a 4lb SR edge over the next-best Carefree Dream (SR 74) and Sayidah Aleen (SR 73). Tom Dascombe is a sharp handler of fillies' handicaps and the 9/2 price represents fair value for the field-leader on the key rating. The Good to Firm ground suits a horse with a recent win on quick ground in her form line. Each-way alternative: Spacewoman. Main danger: Sayidah Aleen — Sayidah Aleen (SR 73, 9/2) shares the same odds as Q T Pie, is trained by the in-form Marco Botti, and her form of 423 shows a consistent improver who could be better than her current SR suggests on only her third career start.

Shortlist Q T Pie, Carefree Dream, Sayidah Aleen, Spacewoman
Each-way: Spacewoman Danger: Sayidah Aleen

🗺 The Course Class 5

6f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Leicester Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade