QuinnBet Bellewstown Handicap Hurdle · 3m116y
Sent off at 33/1 with a Saturday Rating of just 83 and poor form figures of 3/87-8, Lisnagar Fortune offers minimal winning prospects.
Rated just 97 with poor recent form (1P072-) and unfancied at 12/1 carrying 11-8, Outside The Door lacks market confidence.
Rated 113 with solid recent form (2326-1) and fair 13/2 odds, but 11-7 weight limits the appeal for a non-favourite.
A 25/1 outsider carrying 11-6 with a dismal 0/P-4P form and a Saturday Rating of just 75 offers no winning case.
A Saturday Rating of 108 and inconsistent form (533-51) at 11-3 weight offers moderate each-way appeal at 6/1.
Mephisto's 25/1 odds and poor recent form ending in a pull-up undermine his Saturday Rating of 78.
Midfield Saturday Rating of 104, unfavoured 11/2 odds, and inconsistent 438-6 form limit Le Kap's appeal at 11-1 weight.
Carrying top weight of 11-0 with weak form of 2PP-65 and a modest Saturday Rating of 87 at 12/1 limits confidence.
Carrying top weight of 11-0 with a modest Saturday Rating of 93, inconsistent form of 2105-U, and unfancied odds of 11/1 limits confidence.
Form of 053-U4 and a Saturday Rating of 95 at 10-12 weight offer little confidence at 9/1.
A Saturday Rating of 76, poor form (43F-09), and 25/1 odds signal minimal market confidence in Midnight Moonshine's chances.
A Saturday Rating of 100 and patchy form reading 2433-9 at 10-11 weight justify a mid-tier 3/5 rating at 7/1.
Rated 98 with winless form (42050-) and carrying 10-10 at 8/1, Mavetherave shows moderate potential without strong market confidence.
Rated just 89 with poor form (55309-) and sent off at 14/1, Justatan lacks market confidence or recent form to justify support.
A Saturday Rating of 92 paired with inconsistent form figures of 32-872 and 11/1 odds signal limited winning prospects.
Accustomed's poor form (62P0-5), long 9/1 odds, and modest Saturday Rating of 96 make this 10-3 burden difficult to justify.
A Saturday Rating of 79, poor form (4448-5), and 20/1 odds signal a horse the market has largely dismissed.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lisnagar Fortune | 33/1 | — | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Outside The Door | 12/1 | — | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Burning Ability | 15/2 open 7.50 | — | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Ottoman Style | 25/1 | — | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Jisco Du Brem | 6/1 | — | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Mephisto | 25/1 | — | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Le Kap | 11/2 | — | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Dorans Law | 12/1 | — | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Radar Ahead | 12/1 open 12.00 | — | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Whatsavailable | 9/1 | — | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Midnight Moonshine | 25/1 | — | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 12 The Miracle Man | 15/2 open 8.00 | — | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 13 Mavetherave | 8/1 | — | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Justatan | 10/1 open 15.00 | — | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Tolka Row | 14/1 open 12.00 | — | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Accustomed | 17/2 open 10.00 | — | 8/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 17 Broken Ice | 20/1 | — | 20/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Le Kap owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalMidfield Saturday Rating of 104, unfavoured 11/2 odds, and inconsistent 438-6 form limit Le Kap's appeal at 11-1 weight.
A Saturday Rating of 108 and inconsistent form (533-51) at 11-3 weight offers moderate each-way appeal at 6/1.
Rated 113 with solid recent form (2326-1) and fair 13/2 odds, but 11-7 weight limits the appeal for a non-favourite.
A Saturday Rating of 100 and patchy form reading 2433-9 at 10-11 weight justify a mid-tier 3/5 rating at 7/1.
Rated 98 with winless form (42050-) and carrying 10-10 at 8/1, Mavetherave shows moderate potential without strong market confidence.
Accustomed's poor form (62P0-5), long 9/1 odds, and modest Saturday Rating of 96 make this 10-3 burden difficult to justify.
Form of 053-U4 and a Saturday Rating of 95 at 10-12 weight offer little confidence at 9/1.
Rated just 89 with poor form (55309-) and sent off at 14/1, Justatan lacks market confidence or recent form to justify support.
Rated just 97 with poor recent form (1P072-) and unfancied at 12/1 carrying 11-8, Outside The Door lacks market confidence.
Carrying top weight of 11-0 with weak form of 2PP-65 and a modest Saturday Rating of 87 at 12/1 limits confidence.
Carrying top weight of 11-0 with a modest Saturday Rating of 93, inconsistent form of 2105-U, and unfancied odds of 11/1 limits confidence.
A Saturday Rating of 92 paired with inconsistent form figures of 32-872 and 11/1 odds signal limited winning prospects.
A Saturday Rating of 79, poor form (4448-5), and 20/1 odds signal a horse the market has largely dismissed.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Burning Ability (SR 113, 13/2) is the clear SR leader in a field where the next best is Jisco Du Brem at SR 108, and crucially arrives on the back of a last-time-out win (form 2326-1), which is the strongest recent evidence in the race. Carrying 11-7 as joint-topweight is a consideration, but the SR edge of 5+ points over most rivals on good ground over 3m represents a genuine class margin. Trainer Eoin Christopher McCarthy has the horse in winning form, and the 13/2 price reflects market respect without being a false favourite. The 3m116y trip on good ground suits a horse in this form cycle. Each-way alternative: Jisco Du Brem. Main danger: Jisco Du Brem — Jisco Du Brem (SR 108, 6/1) is the joint-shortest priced runner, arrives on a last-time-out win (form 533-51) and carries a favourable 11-3 — 4lbs less than Burning Ability — giving a meaningful weight advantage if the two are closely matched in ability.