Ivor Thirst Sprint Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f8y
Form figures of 520-84 and a Saturday Rating of 81 at 9/4 suggest mid-tier potential without consistent winning evidence.
Long odds of 28/1 and unknown form leave El Ghuwah's Saturday Rating of 124 largely unsupported by market confidence.
Strong Saturday Rating of 152 at 9/4 odds and 9-7 weight signals a competitive, well-fancied contender despite not being favourite.
A Saturday Rating of 124 shows ability, but 40/1 odds and poor form figures of 58 undermine confidence significantly.
Midfield Saturday Rating of 148, weak form figures of 37, and 6/1 odds suggest a capable but unproven contender.
Courageous Sioux earns 4/5 stars with a strong Saturday Rating of 151 at fair 9/2 odds despite limited form.
Rated 144 on Saturday Rating but unfancied at 11/1 in the market with a single fourth-place form figure limits confidence.
Strong Saturday Rating of 148 and solid form figures justify 4 stars despite 15/2 odds suggesting market uncertainty.
Shego's solid Saturday Rating of 130 is undermined by 22/1 odds suggesting limited market confidence.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Court Alert | 9/4 | — | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 2 El Ghuwah | 28/1 | — | 28/1 | 28/1 | 28/1 | 28/1 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Green Champion | 2/1 open 3.25 | — | 7/4 open 2.88 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Sugar Bon Bon | 50/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Tide Runner | 8/1 open 7.00 | — | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 Coral |
| 6 Courageous Sioux | 9/2 | — | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Mariselle | 11/1 | — | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Miracleoftheandes | 15/2 | — | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Shego | 22/1 | — | 22/1 | 22/1 | 22/1 | 22/1 | 22/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Tide Runner owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (82) and market confidence (63). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalStrong Saturday Rating of 152 at 9/4 odds and 9-7 weight signals a competitive, well-fancied contender despite not being favourite.
Form figures of 520-84 and a Saturday Rating of 81 at 9/4 suggest mid-tier potential without consistent winning evidence.
Courageous Sioux earns 4/5 stars with a strong Saturday Rating of 151 at fair 9/2 odds despite limited form.
Strong Saturday Rating of 148 and solid form figures justify 4 stars despite 15/2 odds suggesting market uncertainty.
Midfield Saturday Rating of 148, weak form figures of 37, and 6/1 odds suggest a capable but unproven contender.
Rated 144 on Saturday Rating but unfancied at 11/1 in the market with a single fourth-place form figure limits confidence.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Green Champion posts the field's highest SR at 152, carries 9-7 on good-to-firm ground which suits a debutant with a big rating, and James Tate is a trainer who regularly introduces well-prepared juveniles/3yos with strong ante-post confidence — the 9/4 joint-favourite price signals genuine market backing rather than speculative punting on an unknown. The blank form string is not a concern in a novice stakes where multiple runners are unexposed, but the SR gap over the next-best Courageous Sioux (SR 151) and the weight advantage Courageous Sioux holds (9-2 vs 9-7) means this is a genuine contest. On a straight 5f on good-to-firm, a horse with SR 152 from Tate's yard represents the most credible combination of ability and market confidence in the field. The danger is real but Green Champion's SR edge and trainer profile tilt the balance. Each-way alternative: Courageous Sioux. Main danger: Courageous Sioux — Courageous Sioux (SR 151) is only 1 SR point behind Green Champion, carries 5lb less at 9-2, and Michael Appleby is adept at placing 2yos in novice sprints — that weight-for-ability edge on fast ground over 5f is a genuine threat.