Carlisle 20:39 RESULTED
Class 5 4 Jul 2026

Saturday 4 July Caledonia Park Designer Dash Handicap (For Pro-Am Female Jockeys)

Caledonia Park Designer Dash Handicap (For Pro-Am Female Jockeys) · 5f182y

Official Result

Caledonia Park Designer Dash Handicap (For Pro-Am Female Jockeys)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Invincible Ruby (IRE) Josephine Gordon · Iain Jardine
    4/1
  2. 5/2F
  3. 10/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Another Investment silks
Another Investment
Age 7 · 10-9
00-002
69
70
69OR
7
10-9
4/1 FCST 7/2
Showed a clear step forward when second at Doncaster last time, beaten a length and a quarter off a marginally lower mark after five winless starts. Our top-rated runner on 85, well suited by today's trip and going, and the one to beat despite sitting below the level of his last success.
AI verdict

Form figures of 00-002 and a Saturday Rating of just 70 under a hefty 10-9 weight offer little confidence despite 7/2 odds.

2
Thistle Nil silks
Thistle Nil
Age 4 · 10-8
791
68
70
68OR
4
10-8
15/2 5/1 7/1
A head-verdict maiden success at Ayr last time marked a big leap forward from an educational debut, coming over today's trip on soft ground. That level of form has yet to be confirmed, though, and our figures leave him at the foot of this field on 62.
AI verdict

Thistle Nil's mid-range Saturday Rating of 70, moderate 5/1 odds, and inconsistent form figures of 791 justify a solid but unremarkable 3/5.

3
No Return silks
No Return
Age 4 · 10-8
678445
68
66
68OR
4
10-8
6/1 6/1 11/2
Continued a run of steady efforts when beaten two lengths off a 2lb higher mark at Hamilton last time, though still winless in his last six starts. Racing off a fair weight and proven over today's trip, he's second on our figures at 79 and the main threat, but needs more to get his head in front.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 66, inconsistent form (678445), and 10-8 weight make 6/1 odds unattractive for this non-market leader.

4
Lumenbourg silks
Lumenbourg
Age 5 · 10-7
8-0314
67
72
67OR
5
10-7
3/1 5/1 5/2
A fair reflection of current form when fourth, beaten two and a quarter lengths off the same mark last time, with a win among his last five starts. Suited by today's trip and going and sporting a first-time visor, he sits only mid-pack on our figures at 70 despite the recent upturn.
AI verdict

Lumenbourg's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 72, 6/1 odds, and inconsistent form of 8-0314 suggest a capable but unreliable contender carrying 10-7.

5
Invincible Ruby silks
Invincible Ruby
Age 4 · 10-5
000413
65
70
65OR
4
10-5
6/1 FCST 5/1
Third beaten two lengths off an identical mark last time, a fair effort in keeping with her level, with a win in her last six starts. Effective over today's trip on quick ground, she sits third in our figures on 78 and rates a leading threat, though she'll need more than a repeat effort to prevail.
AI verdict

Invincible Ruby's inconsistent form (000413), modest Saturday Rating of 70, and mid-field odds of 11/2 suggest limited winning prospects here.

6
Sherlock silks
Sherlock
Age 4 · 10-2
942462
62
67
62OR
4
10-2
15/2 11/2 15/2
Racked up a pair of runner-up efforts among his last six starts, the latest coming at Hamilton when second, beaten two and a quarter lengths off an unchanged mark. First-time blinkers and a quick nine-day turnaround add interest, and he rates a leading danger on our figures at 70, even without a win to his name and with the yard out of sorts of late.
AI verdict

Sherlock's mid-range Saturday Rating of 67, inconsistent form (942462), and 11/2 odds suggest a competitive but unreliable each-way contender.

7
Fan Mail silks
Fan Mail
Age 4 · 10-1
756255
61
64
61OR
4
10-1
13/2 FCST 6/1
Consistently below his best of late, without a win in his last six starts, and used up too soon when beaten five and a half lengths in a handicap at Ripon last time. First-time cheekpieces may help sharpen him up over his favoured trip, but he needs a definite improvement and sits only seventh on our figures at 66.
AI verdict

Inconsistent form (756255) and a modest Saturday Rating of 64 at 7/1 suggest mid-tier potential without market confidence.

8
Too Much silks
Too Much
Age 6 · 9-12
933-06
58
44
58OR
6
9-12
25/1 20/1 25/1
Failed to fire on soft ground when beaten five lengths in a handicap at this course last time, continuing a spell out of sorts without a win in her last five starts. She does have course form and acts well on quicker ground, which today's surface may suit better, leaving her a workable sixth on our figures at 69.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 44, poor form (933-06), and 20/1 odds confirm Too Much as a 2/5 outsider carrying 9-12.

9
Maui Breeze silks
Maui Breeze
Age 4 · 9-11
907705
57
50
57OR
4
9-11
16/1 12/1 14/1
Struggling to find any consistency, without a win in her last six starts, she matched her recent level when beaten five lengths in a handicap at Pontefract last time. First-time cheekpieces offer some hope of sharpening her up over a trip and surface that suit, but she remains below the level she showed earlier this year and is only eighth on our figures at 64.
AI verdict

Long odds of 14/1, a poor Saturday Rating of 50, and dismal form figures of 907705 confirm Maui Breeze as an outsider with little winning chance.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Another Investment 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 7/2 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 4/1 Bet365
2 Thistle Nil 15/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 Bet365
3 No Return 6/1 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 6/1 Bet365
4 Lumenbourg 3/1 open 7.00 5/2 open 6.00 5/2 open 6.00 11/4 open 6.00 5/2 open 6.00 3/1 Bet365
5 Invincible Ruby 6/1 open 6.50 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 6/1 Bet365
6 Sherlock 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 Bet365
7 Fan Mail 13/2 open 8.00 6/1 6/1 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 13/2 Bet365
8 Too Much 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 Bet365
9 Maui Breeze 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lumenbourg

Speculative

Lumenbourg owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (40) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Julie Camacho Miss Amy Collier
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Another Investment

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Nigel Tinkler
✓ Value Signal

Too Much

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · David Thompson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Lumenbourg
52.6 3/1
2 1. Another Investment
51.7 4/1
3 2. Thistle Nil
51.0 15/2
4 6. Sherlock
50.8 15/2
5 5. Invincible Ruby
48.2 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Thistle Nil
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 5 · 10-7
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾

Lumenbourg's mid-tier Saturday Rating of 72, 6/1 odds, and inconsistent form of 8-0314 suggest a capable but unreliable contender carrying 10-7.

1
Age 7 · 10-9
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

Form figures of 00-002 and a Saturday Rating of just 70 under a hefty 10-9 weight offer little confidence despite 7/2 odds.

3
Age 4 · 10-8
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 66, inconsistent form (678445), and 10-8 weight make 6/1 odds unattractive for this non-market leader.

5
Age 4 · 10-5
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

Invincible Ruby's inconsistent form (000413), modest Saturday Rating of 70, and mid-field odds of 11/2 suggest limited winning prospects here.

7
Age 4 · 10-1
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾

Inconsistent form (756255) and a modest Saturday Rating of 64 at 7/1 suggest mid-tier potential without market confidence.

2
Age 4 · 10-8
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾

Thistle Nil's mid-range Saturday Rating of 70, moderate 5/1 odds, and inconsistent form figures of 791 justify a solid but unremarkable 3/5.

6
Age 4 · 10-2
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾

Sherlock's mid-range Saturday Rating of 67, inconsistent form (942462), and 11/2 odds suggest a competitive but unreliable each-way contender.

9
Age 4 · 9-11
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

Long odds of 14/1, a poor Saturday Rating of 50, and dismal form figures of 907705 confirm Maui Breeze as an outsider with little winning chance.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Thistle Nil
Confidence: Medium

Thistle Nil (SR 70, 5/1, 10-8) arrives on the back of a win last time out — form reading '791' means the rightmost digit is a win, demonstrating a sharp upward trajectory. SR 70 is joint-highest in the field alongside Another Investment, but Thistle Nil's recent winning form is far more compelling than Another Investment's '00-002' sequence which shows only one placed effort and two last-time-out zeros. Jim Goldie's yard handles these northern sprint handicaps well and 10-8 is a manageable weight. The 5-star probability edge from the AI model combined with the SR peak and live form gives the clearest multi-signal alignment in a moderate field. Each-way alternative: Lumenbourg. Main danger: Invincible Ruby — Invincible Ruby (SR 70, 11/2, 10-5) has a recent '000413' form line showing a placed effort and a win two starts back, carries a favourable 4lb less than Another Investment, and Iain Jardine's horses often improve sharply on good-to-firm ground at this trip.

Shortlist Thistle Nil, Lumenbourg, Invincible Ruby
Each-way: Lumenbourg Danger: Invincible Ruby

🗺 The Course Class 5

5f182y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade