Carlisle 19:39 RESULTED
Class 5 4 Jul 2026

Saturday 4 July Helen Stewart Appreciation Handicap (For Pro-Am Female Jockeys)

Helen Stewart Appreciation Handicap (For Pro-Am Female Jockeys) · 1m3f39y

Official Result

Helen Stewart Appreciation Handicap (For Pro-Am Female Jockeys)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Valley Of Flowers (IRE) Joanna Mason · Samantha & Jacqueline Coward
    100/30
  2. 25/1
  3. 5/2
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Naas

13:22–17:30 · 8 races

Newmarket (July)

13:30–17:00 · 7 races

Sandown

13:50–17:22 · 7 races

Leicester

14:11–17:35 · 7 races

Beverley

14:17–17:40 · 7 races

Bellewstown

17:15–20:18 · 7 races

Nottingham

18:00–21:00 · 7 races

Carlisle

18:09–20:39 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 5 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Junkyard Dog silks
Junkyard Dog
Age 4 · 10-9
5458-9
67
53
67OR
4
10-9
18/1 FCST 16/1
Well held in a handicap last time after switching back from hurdling, this gelding remains without a win having managed no better than 9th, 8th, 5th, 4th and 5th in recent starts. A first-time visor and a yard in good form offer a glimmer of hope, but rated only 57 off a mark of 67, there's plenty for him to find.
AI verdict

Junkyard Dog's dismal form (5458-9), lowly Saturday Rating of 53, and weak 18/1 odds make this 10-9 burden impossible to justify.

2
Alpine Sierra silks
Alpine Sierra
Age 8 · 10-8
231119
66
82
66OR
8
10-8
11/8 11/10 18/13
This gelding ran up a hat-trick before that sequence ended, and a return to that level would make him hard to hold out, especially as he won here previously off a lower mark than his current 148 lb, and he's drawn in stall four this time. Rated 71, the obvious threat to that is a repeat of the notably faster ground that undid him last time, conditions that look on the cards again today.
AI verdict

Recent form showing two wins from six runs and a Saturday Rating of 82 justify mid-tier appeal at 11/10 carrying 10-8.

3
Valley Of Flowers silks
Valley Of Flowers
Age 8 · 10-8
3-6724
66
73
66OR
8
10-8
10/3 4/1 3/1
A picture of consistency without a win in her last five starts, this mare confirmed she retains her form when only beaten 3 1/4 lengths off a 1lb higher mark at Catterick last time, and she's proven over today's trip and ground. Top-rated at 78, she looks the one to be positive about, with any doubt centred on her attitude under pressure.
AI verdict

Moderate Saturday Rating of 73 and inconsistent form (3-6724) at 10-8 weight limit justify a cautious mid-tier 3-star rating.

4
Covert Legend silks
Covert Legend
Age 6 · 10-4
6442-4
62
71
62OR
6
10-4
2/1 FCST 32/17
A model of consistency who was only beaten two lengths at the Curragh last time, this gelding steps up today with a first-time tongue-tie that could sharpen him further. He's yet to convert that form into a win in his last five starts, but effective from 9 to 12 furlongs on a sound surface and rated 72, he's clearly one of this race's leading dangers.
AI verdict

Consistent form figures and a competitive 9/4 market position are undermined by a modest Saturday Rating of 71 carrying 10-4.

5
V Twelve silks
V Twelve
Age 7 · 10-4
1373-9
62
57
62OR
7
10-4
10/1 15/2 10/1
This gelding has posted a win and two thirds among his last five starts, form that keeps him firmly in the mix at a rating of 60 from stall three under 144 lb. The obvious concern is finding that level again, having been well beaten after a switch to fences most recently, following a moderate effort on the level before that.
AI verdict

A Saturday Rating of 57, weak recent form (1373-9), and 10/1 odds confirm V Twelve is a 10-4 burden with little winning likelihood.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Junkyard Dog 18/1 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 18/1 Bet365
2 Alpine Sierra 11/8 open 2.10 11/8 open 2.20 11/8 open 2.20 11/8 open 2.20 11/8 open 2.20 11/8 Bet365
3 Valley Of Flowers 10/3 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.00 10/3 Bet365
4 Covert Legend 2/1 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 open 3.00 2/1 15/8 2/1 Bet365
5 V Twelve 10/1 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Alpine Sierra

Speculative

Alpine Sierra owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Jim Goldie Lauren Young
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Covert Legend

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Maurice Andrew Ahern
✓ Value Signal

Junkyard Dog

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Iain Jardine
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Alpine Sierra
55.4 11/8
2 4. Covert Legend
50.8 2/1
3 3. Valley Of Flowers
50.5 10/3
4 5. V Twelve
45.8 10/1
5 1. Junkyard Dog
39.1 18/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Alpine Sierra
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 8 · 10-8
11/8
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

Recent form showing two wins from six runs and a Saturday Rating of 82 justify mid-tier appeal at 11/10 carrying 10-8.

4
Age 6 · 10-4
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

Consistent form figures and a competitive 9/4 market position are undermined by a modest Saturday Rating of 71 carrying 10-4.

3
Age 8 · 10-8
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

Moderate Saturday Rating of 73 and inconsistent form (3-6724) at 10-8 weight limit justify a cautious mid-tier 3-star rating.

5
Age 7 · 10-4
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

A Saturday Rating of 57, weak recent form (1373-9), and 10/1 odds confirm V Twelve is a 10-4 burden with little winning likelihood.

1
Age 4 · 10-9
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

Junkyard Dog's dismal form (5458-9), lowly Saturday Rating of 53, and weak 18/1 odds make this 10-9 burden impossible to justify.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Alpine Sierra
Confidence: Medium

Alpine Sierra (SR 82, 11/10) is the standout on ratings by a clear margin — 9 points clear of the next-best Valley Of Flowers (SR 73) — and the form string 231119 shows a win last time out, confirming peak form heading into this contest. Carrying 10-8 is not a prohibitive burden given the SR advantage, and the market has installed this horse as a strong favourite, consistent with a last-time-out winner dropping into a small, competitive Pro-Am field. Jim Goldie is a shrewd northern trainer who targets races like this with prepared horses, adding trainer-angle confidence. The SR lead, last-time-out win, and market alignment across three signals make this the clear selection. Each-way alternative: Covert Legend. Main danger: Valley Of Flowers — Valley Of Flowers (SR 73, 4/1) has placed form in recent runs — the 3-6724 string shows a fourth last time and a second earlier in the sequence — and 10-8 matches Alpine Sierra's weight while the SR gap of 9 points is closeable if Alpine Sierra is below peak.

Shortlist Alpine Sierra, Valley Of Flowers, Covert Legend
Each-way: Covert Legend Danger: Valley Of Flowers

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m3f39y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Carlisle Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade