Christmas Party Nights At Dundalk Handicap · 1m4f
SR 90 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Poetic Sound | 6/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 Paddy Power |
| 2 Fixation | 7/4 open 2.25 | 7/4 open 2.63 | 7/4 open 2.50 | 7/4 open 2.50 | 7/4 open 2.50 | 7/4 open 2.50 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Touch The Moon | 10/3 open 7.00 | 11/4 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 4 Tribal Star | 9/2 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Quatre Bras | 9/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Fixation owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Touch The Moon (SR:93, 3/1, 9-7) combines the strongest cluster of signals in this small field. The market has steamed in 17% — the sharpest move in the race — confirming strong confidence from those closest to the horse. A confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good surface and a proven DistFit:+ over 1m4f provide genuine course-and-conditions credentials. The MarkMv:+2 is modest, indicating connections haven't been punished by the handicapper, and at 9-7 the horse carries 6lb less than Fixation and 7lb less than Poetic Sound — a meaningful weight advantage on what is a compact five-runner field. Trainer William Durkan strikes at 14% and Chris Hayes at 10%, both solid figures. Each-way alternative: Fixation. Main danger: Fixation — Fixation (SR:97, highest in the field) holds the most raw ability, has Course:W1P2 at Dundalk, and Ben Coen is a high-quality booking — despite the 10% drift and a MarkMv:+7 burden, if the pace suits at 7/4 the class edge could overpower the weight and mark concerns.