Downpatrick 17:05 RESULTED
9 Oct 2026

Friday 9 October McGrady Financial Services Beginners Steeplechase

McGrady Financial Services Beginners Steeplechase · 2m3f100y

Official Result

McGrady Financial Services Beginners Steeplechase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Iamagetaway (IRE) Danny Mullins · W R Crawford
    3/1F
  2. 9/1
  3. 5/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:15–17:20 · 8 races

Chepstow

13:22–17:31 · 8 races

York

13:30–17:00 · 7 races

Downpatrick

14:13–17:37 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:05–20:15 · 9 races

Dundalk (AW)

16:50–20:30 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Astley silks
Astley
Age 6 · 11-12
35-543
108
109
116
6
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 7/2 4/1
Astley is consistent, finishing third last time out and a fourth two starts back, and he returns quickly after just six days with experience over today's trip and going. Our rating of 116 ranks him top of nine, though he is yet to win in his last five starts and carries 166 lb.
AI verdict

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Down Around silks
Down Around
Age 9 · 11-12
-7141F
110
108
107
9
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 11/4 7/1
Down Around won two starts back and four starts back, so he's a threat, and he's fit after just nine days off, having run over today's trip and on this going before. The risk is that he fell last time out, and he carries 166 lb off 110.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Iamagetaway silks
Iamagetaway
Age 7 · 11-12
5073-0
102
100
109
7
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 5/1 4/1
Iamagetaway has run over today's trip and on this going, and a third two starts back shows he can still hit the frame off a mark of 102; our rating of 109 ranks him second of nine. The risk is a 151-day absence, with 166 lb to carry and yet to win in his last five.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Kalsman silks
Kalsman
Age 8 · 11-12
03324P
100
84
101
8
11-12
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 10/1 16/1
Kalsman was pulled up last time out and is winless in his last six starts, so he is hard to fancy, though a fourth two starts back and a second three starts back show he can still go close. He has run over today's trip and going, is back after just nine days, and our figures rank him eighth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Parkgarve silks
Parkgarve
Age 6 · 11-12
865410
92
68
96
6
11-12
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 14/1 25/1
Parkgarve is hard to fancy after finishing unplaced last time out, and his only win in his last six starts came the run before that, with a fifth, a sixth and an eighth further back. He has run over today's trip and going, but 49 days off and 166 lb are a lot to ask.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Ring Of Kerry silks
Ring Of Kerry
Age 6 · 11-12
/9013-
—
103
108
6
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 5/1 7/2
Third last time out and a winner two starts back, Ring Of Kerry has run over today's trip and going and is a leading threat, with our rating of 108 ranking him third of nine. The one concern is a 322-day absence, with 166 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Oh Janey silks
Oh Janey
Age 6 · 11-5
16-658
103
99
102
6
11-5
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 8/1 7/2
Oh Janey is hard to fancy, having finished eighth last time out and a fifth two starts back, with her only win five starts back, and she returns after 61 days off. She has run on today's going before and carries 159 lb, while our figures rank her seventh of nine.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
River Tara silks
River Tara
Age 8 · 11-5
PPF-93
—
93
105
8
11-5
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 4/1 7/1
River Tara bounced back with a third last time out, just nine days ago, and has run over today's trip and going before, but she is yet to win in her last five starts and a fell and two pulled ups earlier in that spell raise doubts. Carrying 159 lb, she sits fifth of nine on our rating.
AI verdict

SR 93 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Rockstown Girl silks
Rockstown Girl
Age 8 · 11-5
-33674
100
96
104
8
11-5
★★★☆☆
—
11/1 15/2 10/1
Fourth last time out and a third four starts back keep Rockstown Girl in the picture, and she has run over today's trip and going, but she is yet to win in her last five starts. She carries 159 lb, below top weight, after 23 days off, and our rating of 104 ranks her sixth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Astley 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 Bet365
2 Down Around 15/2 open 4.50 7/1 open 3.75 15/2 open 3.75 15/2 open 3.75 15/2 open 3.75 15/2 open 3.75 15/2 Bet365
3 Iamagetaway 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 Bet365
4 Kalsman 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Bet365
5 Parkgarve 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365
6 Ring Of Kerry 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 4/1 Bet365
7 Oh Janey 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 11.00 4/1 open 10.00 4/1 open 10.00 7/2 open 10.00 4/1 open 10.00 4/1 Bet365
8 River Tara 15/2 open 7.50 7/1 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 Bet365
9 Rockstown Girl 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Astley

Live signal

Astley owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Paul Traynor Jack Kennedy
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Oh Janey

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Stuart Crawford
✓ Value Signal

Parkgarve

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Ian Patrick Donoghue
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Astley
60.7 4/1
2 7. Oh Janey
60.4 4/1
3 3. Iamagetaway
59.1 4/1
4 6. Ring Of Kerry
58.1 4/1
5 2. Down Around
54.8 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Astley
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 11-12
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 109 🐾 —

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 11-12
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾 —

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 11-12
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 103 🐾 —

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 6 · 11-5
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾 —

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 9 · 11-12
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾 —

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 8 · 11-5
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 8 · 11-5
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾 —

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 11-12
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Astley
Confidence: Speculative

Astley (SR:109, 4/1) leads the ability rankings and has steamed in 13% since opening, the clearest market confidence signal in the field. Jack Kennedy (22% strike rate, 1232 career rides) is a significant booking uplift over most rivals' jockeys and is not associated with also-rans at this level. The GoingFit:- is the one concern, but the market is clearly absorbing that negative and still shortening; Paul Traynor's 8% yard strike rate is modest but the money is driving this, not the trainer. Down Around (SR:108) is the nearest SR rival but has drifted 15% and carries blinkers, suggesting Elliott's team are not confident — that drift is a meaningful counter-signal that tips the balance firmly to Astley. Each-way alternative: Oh Janey. Main danger: Oh Janey — Oh Janey (SR:99, 7/1) has steamed in 27% — the largest market move in the race — holds course form (W1P1 at Downpatrick), carries a 7lb weight advantage over Astley at 11-5, and J J Slevin (13% strike rate) is a quality booking that amplifies the market confidence signal.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Astley's form figures 35-543 show no win in recent starts and a latest run of '3' suggests consistent placed efforts without converting — a horse that finishes places rather than wins.
  • Paul Traynor's 8% yard strike rate is genuinely weak; with only 80 runners in the sample, the stable lacks the firepower to suggest they can produce a peak performance on the day.
  • GoingFit marked as '-' (unknown/unproven) is a real flag at Downpatrick, which can ride very differently — Astley's form base may simply not include evidence of handling this specific surface variant.
  • Oh Janey has steamed in 27% — a stronger market move than Astley's 13% — and holds a course win and place at this track, giving a live rival with demonstrated Downpatrick suitability that the primary…
Shortlist Astley, Oh Janey, Down Around, Ring Of Kerry
Each-way: Oh Janey Danger: Oh Janey

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m3f100y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Downpatrick Track and setting