Dundalk (AW) 20:00 RESULTED
9 Oct 2026

Friday 9 October Halloween Mid-Term Racing At Dundalk Handicap

Halloween Mid-Term Racing At Dundalk Handicap · 1m4f

Official Result

Halloween Mid-Term Racing At Dundalk Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Serenity Blue (GB) Reese Holohan · Adrian McGuinness
    100/30
  2. 11/2
  3. 12/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:15–17:20 · 8 races

Chepstow

13:22–17:31 · 8 races

York

13:30–17:00 · 7 races

Downpatrick

14:13–17:37 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:05–20:15 · 9 races

Dundalk (AW)

16:50–20:30 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Dark Viper silks
Dark Viper
Age 5 · 10-1
852166
81
69
79
5
10-1
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 7/1 12/1
Dark Viper counts as a leading danger, having won three starts back and run second four starts back, and he has run on today's going before at a workable 141 lb. The main risk is a pair of sixths since, plus a 41-day break and a stable that is struggling for winners.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Serenity Blue silks
Serenity Blue
Age 4 · 10-0
-30044
80
75
84
4
10-0
★★☆☆☆
—
4/1
Serenity Blue is our top-rated runner, having finished fourth in each of his last two outings and a third five starts back, so he is consistently close without a win. He has run over today's trip and runs off 140 lb, though the 64-day break is a minor concern.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Camino Lad silks
Camino Lad
Age 3 · 9-9
32412
81
89
82
3
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
15/8 Evs 32/17
Camino Lad arrives in cracking order, second last time out and a winner two starts back, having finished in the first three in four of his last five, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The one risk is 135 lb on his back, with our rating of 82 only just above his official 81.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Wandering Rocks silks
Wandering Rocks
Age 7 · 9-7
475385
73
63
77
7
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 8/1 14/1
Wandering Rocks has run over today's trip and on this going, and he's fresh enough after 21 days off, with a fifth last time out and a third three starts back. Our rating of 77 sits above his official 73, but he's yet to win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Cooley's Mist silks
Cooley's Mist
Age 4 · 9-3
310233
69
78
71
4
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 9/2 3/1
Cooley's Mist has been placed in three of his last four, including a third last time out just 11 days ago, and has run over today's trip, but one win in his last six starts and a sixth-of-seven ranking on our figures make him hard to fancy, especially carrying 129 lb.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Coolnagrattan silks
Coolnagrattan
Age 4 · 9-2
3087
68
44
75
4
9-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 16/1 14/1
Coolnagrattan has tailed off with a seventh last time out and an eighth two starts back, though he's been off just 21 days and has run over today's trip and going before. Winless in his last four, he carries 128 lb off 68, and our rating of 75 only ranks him fifth of seven.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

7
Showyoutheropes silks
Showyoutheropes
Age 4 · 8-9
654090
61
63
71
4
8-9
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 8/1 7/2
Showyoutheropes is winless in his last six, with an unplaced effort last time out and a ninth two starts back, so he is hard to fancy after 35 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating ranks him seventh of seven.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Dark Viper 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 Bet365
2 Serenity Blue 4/1 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365
3 Camino Lad 15/8 open 2.10 15/8 open 2.00 2/1 open 2.00 2/1 open 2.00 2/1 open 2.00 2/1 open 2.00 2/1 Coral
4 Wandering Rocks 14/1 14/1 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 16/1 Coral
5 Cooley's Mist 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 Bet365
6 Coolnagrattan 16/1 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 Bet365
7 Showyoutheropes 5/1 open 9.50 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.00 7/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.00 5/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Camino Lad

Speculative

Camino Lad owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 G. M. Lyons Jack Kearney(3)
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Cooley's Mist

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · H Rogers
✓ Value Signal

Coolnagrattan

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

16/1 · W R Crawford
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Camino Lad
53.8 15/8
2 5. Cooley's Mist
52.8 3/1
3 2. Serenity Blue
52.5 4/1
4 7. Showyoutheropes
46.4 5/1
5 1. Dark Viper
44.7 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Cooley's Mist
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 3 · 9-9
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-3
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 10-0
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 8-9
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 10-1
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 9-7
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-2
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾 —

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cooley's Mist
Confidence: Speculative

Cooley's Mist (SR:78, 3/1) combines the second-highest SR in the field with the strongest distance profile — DistFit:+ is the only confirmed stayer in a 1m4f handicap, a crucial edge. The market has shortened 19% since opening, the most aggressive move in the field, suggesting informed confidence. Chris Hayes (10% career SR, 1,681 rides — the most experienced jockey booking here) adds polish. The MarkMv:+8 is a mild concern but GoingFit:~ on good ground and a recent run just 11 days ago signal peak fitness, and the light weight of 9-3 is favourable against heavier rivals. Each-way alternative: Camino Lad. Main danger: Camino Lad — Camino Lad (SR:89, 6/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field with a solid recent form line of 32412 and trainer G.M. Lyons at 16% strike rate, and though the 17% market drift and DistFit:? tag introduce doubt, a horse of this ability can overcome an unproven trip if the form carries forward.

Case against 4 clamped
  • MarkMv:+8 means Cooley's Mist runs off a mark 8lb higher than last win — in a competitive 1m4f AW handicap, that extra weight burden could be the difference at the line.
  • GoingFit:~ (untested/uncertain on Dundalk Polytrack) is a meaningful flag on an all-weather surface where track affinity matters; no Course win or place recorded either.
  • Camino Lad (SR:89, 6/4 fav) is from the powerful G.M. Lyons yard (16% SR), ran just 14 days ago and has a superior SR by 11 points — Cooley's Mist faces a live and well-handicapped 3yo rival.
  • Trainer H. Rogers has only a 10% SR from a small yard (342 rides) and the 19% market move, while notable, came from a starting price of 3/1 — not dramatic enough to override a class/form concern.
Shortlist Cooley's Mist, Camino Lad, Serenity Blue
Each-way: Camino Lad Danger: Camino Lad

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m4f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Dundalk (AW) Track and setting