York 15:50 RESULTED
Class 3 9 Oct 2026

Friday 9 October Parsonage Hotel And Cloisters Spa Nursery Handicap Stakes

Parsonage Hotel And Cloisters Spa Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m5f0y

Official Result

Parsonage Hotel And Cloisters Spa Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Influencer Man (IRE) M. P. Sheehy · Adrian Keatley
    12/1
  2. 7/4F
  3. Third Harley (IRE)
    8/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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16:05–20:15 · 9 races

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16:50–20:30 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Barnaby Rudge silks
Barnaby Rudge Non-Runner
Age 2 · 9-7
114
87
—
87OR
2
9-7
—
—
SP
—
1
Noble Raider silks
Noble Raider
Age 2 · 9-9
231
89
92
84
2
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 11/4 10/3
Noble Raider won last time out and has been placed in each of his last three starts, a third two runs back and a second three starts back, while he has run over today's trip before. The 146-day break is the one reservation, but our figures rank him second of nine, and that supports the case for him.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Black Velvet Boy silks
Black Velvet Boy
Age 2 · 9-6
731122
86
94
85
2
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
4/1
Black Velvet Boy arrives in cracking nick, second last time out and again two starts back, with a win three starts back and another four starts back, and he's fresh from a 15-day break, having already run over today's trip and going. The one concern is his 132 lb burden from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Instant Force silks
Instant Force
Age 2 · 9-3
221
83
93
82
2
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
2/1 3/2 2/1
Instant Force arrives in fine heart, a winner last time out after a second two starts back and another second three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Against that, our rating of 82 ranks him eighth of nine, and 129 lb from stall six looks a lot to carry.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Influencer Man silks
Influencer Man
Age 2 · 9-0
42148
80
86
83
2
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 20/1 15/2
Last seen finishing eighth after a fourth two starts back, Influencer Man has a winner three starts back and has run over today's trip and going, but he needs to bounce back from that latest setback. Our rating of 83 ranks him fifth of nine, and he steps out from stall two off 126 lb after 21 days.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Rotelle silks
Rotelle
Age 2 · 8-13
18228
79
59
83
2
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 14/1 12/1
Rotelle bounced between two seconds and a win five starts back, which gives him a solid base, but an eighth last time out raises doubts after 27 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 83 puts him sixth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Harley silks
Harley
Age 2 · 8-11
232142
77
83
82
2
8-11
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 13/2 11/2
Harley has been consistent, finishing second last time out and winning three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but he's ranked seventh of nine on our figures and a speed rating of 75 gives little to get excited about. He's fit enough after 15 days, though he looks short of the class to take this.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Bear Lee silks
Bear Lee
Age 2 · 8-10
414540
76
80
83
2
8-10
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 11/1 9/1
Bear Lee, a filly who has run over today's trip and on this going, won five starts back and has finished fourth in three of her last six, while our rating of 83 ranks her fourth of nine. The main risk is a stable struggling at 1/22 in the last 14 days, and she was unplaced last time.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Furturra silks
Furturra
Age 2 · 8-10
240535
76
87
84
2
8-10
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 11/1 5/1
Furturra has shown mixed form, finishing a third two starts back and a second six starts back, and he's fresh enough after 21 days off, having run over today's trip and going before. Our 84 rating, eight pounds clear of his official 76, makes him a leading threat, though he is yet to win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Lake Muritz silks
Lake Muritz
Age 2 · 8-9
21655
75
58
77
2
8-9
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 25/1 40/1
Lake Muritz has finished fifth in her last two starts and a sixth three starts back, so the recent trend is hard to like, though she did win four starts back and is only 15 days off her last run. She has run over today's trip and going before, but our rating of 76 ranks her last of nine.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Barnaby Rudge — — — — — — —
1 Noble Raider 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 Paddy Power
3 Black Velvet Boy 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 Bet365
4 Instant Force 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 Bet365
5 Influencer Man 15/2 open 21.00 15/2 open 21.00 15/2 open 21.00 15/2 open 21.00 15/2 open 21.00 15/2 open 21.00 15/2 Bet365
6 Rotelle 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
7 Harley 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 11/2 open 8.00 6/1 Bet365
8 Bear Lee 9/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
9 Furturra 5/1 open 21.00 5/1 open 15.00 5/1 open 12.00 5/1 open 12.00 5/1 open 12.00 5/1 open 12.00 5/1 Bet365
10 Lake Muritz 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Instant Force

Speculative

Instant Force owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 K. R. Burke Clifford Lee
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Furturra

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Tim Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Lake Muritz

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Tim Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Instant Force
56.2 2/1
2 9. Furturra
56.1 5/1
3 3. Black Velvet Boy
55.3 4/1
4 1. Noble Raider
53.7 10/3
5 5. Influencer Man
53.5 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Furturra
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 2 · 9-3
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-6
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾 —

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 2 · 8-10
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 8-11
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-0
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾 —

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 8-10
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 8-13
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾 —

SR 59 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Furturra
Confidence: Speculative

Furturra (SR:87, 7/2) is the standout market mover in this field — a 68% inward move is the strongest market signal by some distance and marks this as serious stable confidence from Tim Easterby, who runs Furturra as his yard's #1 (Stable:1) with the preferred ride. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) from its last run, it faces a more manageable task, carries a light 8-10, and boasts proven course form (W0P2 at York). GoingFit:+ confirms comfort on today's good ground, and a form string of 240535 contains enough flashes — including a recent 3rd and 5th showing the horse competes — to suggest the market knows something the bare figures don't. The weight is among the lightest in the field at 8-10, giving it a practical lb advantage over Noble Raider (9-9) and Black Velvet Boy (9-6). Each-way alternative: Noble Raider. Main danger: Noble Raider — Noble Raider (SR:92, 10/3) carries the strongest recent form in the field with a 2-3-1 sequence and has top trainer/jockey combination in Philippart de Foy and Crouch — despite a 6% drift, the SR and consistent form make it the most credible danger to Furturra at a realistic price.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 240535 shows no win in 6 starts — the 5th last time out is the most recent finishing position and offers little momentum heading into this competitive 2yo heat.
  • Jockey Tom Kiely-Marshall strikes at only 9% (538 rides) — notably weaker than Crouch (18%), Lee (17%), and Hart (14%) on the key market rivals, a tangible riding disadvantage.
  • Instant Force (SR:93, 15/8 fav) brings a 3-run form string of 221 with recency and a top trainer K.R. Burke at 20% strike rate — Furturra's SR:87 is materially outgunned by three rivals on raw rating…
  • Tim Easterby's overall strike rate is just 11% from 4,681 runners — stable confidence suggested by market move must be weighed against a trainer who fires blanks at a high rate even with fancied runn…
Shortlist Furturra, Noble Raider, Black Velvet Boy, Instant Force
Each-way: Noble Raider Danger: Noble Raider

🗺 The Course Class 3

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
York Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade