Downpatrick 16:30 RESULTED
9 Oct 2026

Friday 9 October Tennent's NI Handicap Hurdle

Tennent's NI Handicap Hurdle · 2m5f180y

Official Result

Tennent's NI Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Youknowme (IRE) Shane O'Callaghan · P J Rothwell
    5/1
  2. Second Ersudaly (GB)
    12/1
  3. 15/2
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:15–17:20 · 8 races

Chepstow

13:22–17:31 · 8 races

York

13:30–17:00 · 7 races

Downpatrick

14:13–17:37 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:05–20:15 · 9 races

Dundalk (AW)

16:50–20:30 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 15 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Mister Vic silks
Mister Vic
Age 8 · 12-0
18-000
98
60
99
8
12-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 16/1 11/1
Ranked second of 15 on our figures, Mister Vic has run over today's trip and on this going, and he won five starts back, while he carries 168 lb off an official mark of 98. The risk is a poor recent run, three unplaced efforts in a row, plus 63 days off.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

2
King Of Westeros silks
King Of Westeros
Age 5 · 11-13
F74P-0
97
70
97
5
11-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1 16/1 11/1
Quick back-up after four days is a concern, but King Of Westeros ranks third of 15 on our rating, and his fourth three starts back is the best of a patchy recent run. Carrying 167 lb off an official 97 is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

3
Ersudaly silks
Ersudaly
Age 6 · 11-3
0F-708
87
77
87
6
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 9/2 6/1
Ersudaly is winless in her last five, with an eighth last time out and a fall four starts back, and she returns after 78 days off. She has run over today's trip and on this going, but 157 lb off a mark of 87 is a hefty burden for a midfield type.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Sekakarma silks
Sekakarma
Age 9 · 11-3
942317
87
87
83
9
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 7/1 5/1
Sekakarma was a seventh last time out after a win two starts back, and he has run on today's going before, but he carries 157 lb off an official mark of 87 and our rating of 83 ranks him eighth of 15, so he looks a midfield type.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Soldier Saint silks
Soldier Saint
Age 6 · 11-3
-05486
87
87
103
6
11-3
★★☆☆☆
—
7/2 4/1 3/1
Soldier Saint is winless in his last five, but he has run over today's trip and going, and a fourth and a fifth within his last four outings show he can make the frame. Our top-rated runner at 157 lb, his 97-day absence is the one reservation.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
The Chancie Grey silks
The Chancie Grey
Age 4 · 11-1
568
87
63
77
4
11-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 17/2 16/1
The Chancie Grey is winless in her last three, finishing eighth last time out, a sixth two starts back and a fifth three starts back, and she returns after 74 days off. She has run on today's going and our rating of 77 puts her 12th of 15, so she is hard to fancy off 155 lb.
AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

7
Tara Boe silks
Tara Boe
Age 8 · 10-13
9P/800
83
47
79
8
10-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 33/1 40/1
Winless in her last five, Tara Boe was unplaced last time out and two starts back, with an eighth three starts back her best recent effort, so she is hard to fancy. She has run over today's going and is back quickly after seven days, but 153 lb off 83 is a big ask.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

8
Vroomvroomboo silks
Vroomvroomboo
Age 8 · 10-12
50-806
82
62
89
8
10-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 FCST 16/1
Vroomvroomboo is winless in her last five, with a sixth last time out just eight days ago, though she has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 89 ranks her fifth of 15, but 152 lb off an official 82 looks a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

9
Jimli's Cave silks
Jimli's Cave
Age 8 · 10-11
P0-559
81
74
88
8
10-11
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 12/1 14/1
Jimli's Cave is winless in his last five, with a ninth last time out following two fifths, and he returns after 110 days off. He has run over today's trip and going and our rating is a little kinder than his mark of 81, but 151 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Katie's Casper silks
Katie's Casper
Age 7 · 10-9
952509
79
70
82
7
10-9
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 9/1 16/1
Katie's Casper is winless in her last six, with a ninth last time out, though she was second four starts back and has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 82 sits above her official 79, but 149 lb and a 32-day break leave her a midfield type.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Glendaars Crystal silks
Glendaars Crystal
Age 5 · 10-8
70968
78
52
78OR
5
10-8
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 22/1 33/1
Lightly raced and unexposed, Glendaars Crystal has been well beaten in her recent runs, finishing eighth last time out, and a sixth two starts back, so she is yet to win. She returns after 21 days carrying 148 lb off an official mark of 78, and any improvement would need to come from a lift in form.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Kared'as de Cougny silks
Kared'as de Cougny
Age 6 · 10-7
653-F0
77
58
94
6
10-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1
Quick back-out after eight days and a third three starts back shows he can get involved, while our rating of 94 ranks him fourth of 15 and sits well above his official 77 off 147 lb. The risk is a yard cold at one from 31 lately, plus a fall and an unplaced run in his last two outings.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

13
Hob's Angel silks
Hob's Angel
Age 10 · 10-6
125364
76
76
79
10
10-6
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 5/1 6/1
Fourth last time out and consistent in the main, Hob's Angel has run over today's trip and going and has a win six starts back, but she's been beaten in her last five and returns after 51 days under a stiff 146 lb.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Doyen Og silks
Doyen Og
Age 7 · 10-2
P78747
72
64
72
7
10-2
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 9/1 10/1
Doyen Og is hard to fancy, winless in her last six with a seventh last time out and only a fourth two starts back to show for it, though she is fresh from a run eight days ago and has experience of today's going. Carrying 142 lb, she is ranked 13th of 15 on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Youknowme silks
Youknowme
Age 5 · 10-2
8-77F3
72
66
68
5
10-2
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 11/2 13/2
Winless in his last five, Youknowme did at least find a third last time out, 21 days ago, after a fell two starts back and a run of sevenths and an eighth before that. He has run on today's going, but a yard going 1/31 and a 68 rating, ranked 14th of 15, make him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Mister Vic 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 17.00 16/1 16/1 Bet365
2 King Of Westeros 12/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
3 Ersudaly 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 Bet365
4 Sekakarma 11/2 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 11/2 Bet365
5 Soldier Saint 7/2 open 6.00 3/1 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
6 The Chancie Grey 16/1 open 9.50 22/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 15.00 22/1 Paddy Power
7 Tara Boe 50/1 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
8 Vroomvroomboo 18/1 open 21.00 16/1 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 16/1 18/1 Bet365
9 Jimli's Cave 16/1 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Bet365
10 Katie's Casper 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 Coral
11 Glendaars Crystal 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 50/1 Coral
12 Kared'as de Cougny 20/1 open 23.00 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 Bet365
13 Hob's Angel 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 Coral
14 Doyen Og 10/1 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365
15 Youknowme 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Soldier Saint

Speculative

Soldier Saint owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Paul W Flynn Danny Gilligan
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sekakarma

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · W M Roper
✓ Value Signal

Glendaars Crystal

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Dermot A McLoughlin
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Soldier Saint
55.8 7/2
2 4. Sekakarma
53.1 11/2
3 13. Hob's Angel
51.9 13/2
4 3. Ersudaly
51.6 6/1
5 2. King Of Westeros
49.0 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Sekakarma
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 6 · 11-3
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 9 · 11-3
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 11-3
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 10 · 10-6
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

15
Age 5 · 10-2
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

14
Age 7 · 10-2
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 11-13
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

1
Age 8 · 12-0
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

6
Age 4 · 11-1
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

9
Age 8 · 10-11
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 7 · 10-9
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 8 · 10-12
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

12
Age 6 · 10-7
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾 —

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sekakarma
Confidence: Speculative

Sekakarma (SR:87, 6/1) shares the highest SR in the field alongside Soldier Saint but carries 11-3 — a manageable weight — and crucially shows a GoingFit:~ on good ground, the only top-rated horse with any confirmed affinity for today's conditions. The form string '942317' reads right-to-left as a 7 last time, preceded by a 1, indicating a recent win followed by a solid run; the market has shortened 13% (Mkt:in13%), the strongest steamer among the genuine contenders, suggesting informed confidence. Trainer W M Roper operates at a modest 3% strike rate but the money is clearly moving, and at 6/1 the price still offers value given the SR and going edge over rivals. Soldier Saint is the most obvious danger but carries the same weight with GoingFit:- and a 97-day absence, making Sekakarma the more race-ready option. Each-way alternative: Jimli's Cave. Main danger: Soldier Saint — Soldier Saint matches Sekakarma's SR:87 at the same weight (11-3) and at 9/2 is well-supported in the market, though the 97-day absence and GoingFit:- give Sekakarma the edge on readiness and conditions.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Trainer W M Roper has a 3% strike rate from 36 runners — statistically one of the weakest yards in the field; at Downpatrick this combination is a significant red flag even with market support.
  • Sekakarma is aged 9 with form reading '942317' — the most recent run (right-to-left: 7) represents a modest effort, and the preceding '1' win may be a distant or softer-class success obscured by the…
  • No HG (going history) indicator is listed for Sekakarma; the GoingFit:~ cited by the analyst implies only partial/uncertain affinity with good ground, not a confirmed positive — rivals with HG:t or H…
  • Ersudaly (SR:77, 9/2) is trained by Gordon Elliott (18% strike rate) with Jack Kennedy aboard (22%), and Jimli's Cave has steamed in 31% in the market — stronger market signals than Sekakarma's 13% m…
Shortlist Sekakarma, Soldier Saint, Jimli's Cave, Ersudaly
Each-way: Jimli's Cave Danger: Soldier Saint

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m5f180y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
15 Confirmed runners
Downpatrick Track and setting