Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle · 2m5f180y
SR 134 suggests ability but evn reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 121 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 119 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 123 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Little Ginger | 10/11 open 2.25 | 5/6 open 1.80 | 5/6 | 5/6 | 5/6 | 5/6 | 10/11 Bet365 |
| 2 Fuusland | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 4.33 | 9/4 open 4.33 | 9/4 open 4.33 | 9/4 open 4.33 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Grey Ace | 28/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Spill A Drop | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Young Doran | 3/1 open 2.75 | 7/2 open 3.25 | 10/3 open 3.00 | 10/3 open 3.00 | 7/2 open 3.00 | 10/3 open 3.00 | 7/2 Paddy Power |
| 6 Poet's Creek | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Young Doran owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 134 suggests ability but evn reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Fuusland (SR 148, 11/4) represents the second-highest SR in the field but crucially is trained by Gordon Elliott (18% career strike rate, 4054 runners) and ridden by Jack Kennedy (22% career strike rate) — the most powerful connections by a considerable margin. The 15% market shortening is a clear signal that informed money has arrived. While GoingFit:- is a concern, the form of U45 shows a horse that has at least competed in hurdle races, and the weight advantage over Little Ginger (11-4 vs 11-12, an 8lb pull) is decisive. Elliott and Kennedy do not turn up at a €9,600 maiden hurdle at Downpatrick without a plan, and the market is endorsing that strongly. Each-way alternative: Young Doran. Main danger: Young Doran — Young Doran has the highest SR in the field at 152 with proven GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and while the 17% market drift is a concern, a 7lb amateur claim on 11-4 and cheekpieces fitted for the first time could sharpen a horse whose form of 239 shows scope for improvement.