Downpatrick 15:23 RESULTED
9 Oct 2026

Friday 9 October CM Precision Components Handicap Hurdle

CM Precision Components Handicap Hurdle · 2m1f65y

Official Result

CM Precision Components Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Pahlavi (IRE) Harry Sexton · John Joseph Hanlon
    7/1
  2. 10/11F
  3. 4/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:15–17:20 · 8 races

Chepstow

13:22–17:31 · 8 races

York

13:30–17:00 · 7 races

Downpatrick

14:13–17:37 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:05–20:15 · 9 races

Dundalk (AW)

16:50–20:30 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Pralognan silks
Pralognan
Age 7 · 12-0
135-45
98
86
94
7
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
5/2
Pralognan has run over today's trip and going, and a win five starts back plus a third four starts back show he can get involved, while 21 days since his last run suggests he's fresh. The risk is a fifth last time out and a fourth two starts back, with 168 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Viceregent silks
Viceregent
Age 9 · 11-11
50P/07
95
62
103
9
11-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 40/1 66/1
Winless in his last five and only seventh last time out, Viceregent still has the pull on our figures, with 21 days since that run keeping him fresh and experience of both today's trip and going. Top weight of 165 lb is the one reservation, but our 103 rating makes him the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

3
Pahlavi silks
Pahlavi
Age 9 · 11-7
5P5634
91
80
92
9
11-7
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 9/2 7/1
Pahlavi arrives fresh from a fourth last time out, just 14 days ago, and a third two starts back shows he can get involved; he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 92 ranks him fourth of nine. The main risk is a hefty 161 lb and no win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Invincible Oscar silks
Invincible Oscar
Age 5 · 11-1
P80-61
85
81
73
5
11-1
★★★☆☆
—
2/1 9/4 32/17
Fresh from a win last time out 21 days ago, Invincible Oscar has run over today's trip and going, but a sixth two starts back and a poor run before that temper the enthusiasm. Carrying 155 lb off 85, she looks a midfield sort, with our rating of 73 ranking her sixth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Centaq silks
Centaq
Age 6 · 10-13
-64682
83
82
79
6
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 5/2 7/2
Centaq bounces back from a couple of modest efforts with a second last time out, and at 21 days since that run he's fresh enough, having also run over today's trip and on this going. Yet to win in his last five, he carries 153 lb off 83, and our rating of 79 leaves him fifth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Coolnacritta silks
Coolnacritta
Age 11 · 10-10
00000/
80
65
94
11
10-10
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 16/1 20/1
Coolnacritta has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 94 ranks him third of nine, well clear of his official mark of 80 off 150 lb. The big risk is obvious: he's unplaced in his last five starts and returns after 860 days off.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Tommy Go Maith silks
Tommy Go Maith
Age 5 · 10-7
P-PPU8
77
42
77OR
5
10-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 12/1 50/1
Lightly raced and open to improvement, Tommy Go Maith was eighth last time out after an unseated and three pulled-up efforts before that, so he is yet to win in recent form. He returns 39 days later, carrying 147 lb off an official mark of 77.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

8
Dark Berkshire silks
Dark Berkshire
Age 6 · 10-4
-P0369
74
70
71
6
10-4
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1
Winless in his last five and beaten into ninth last time, Dark Berkshire is hard to fancy, with a trainer cold at 1/31 lately and 144 lb to carry; a third three starts back and experience of today's trip and going are the only real positives.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Surviving Murmansk silks
Surviving Murmansk
Age 8 · 10-2
026039
72
63
71
8
10-2
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 8/1 12/1
Winless in his last six, Surviving Murmansk was only ninth last time out and has one third, two starts back, and a second five back to show for recent efforts, so he is hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going and is fresh enough after 14 days, but 142 lb and an eighth-of-nine ranking on our figures say plenty.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Pralognan 5/2 open 5.50 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 Bet365
2 Viceregent 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 Bet365
3 Pahlavi 15/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 15/2 Bet365
4 Invincible Oscar 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 15/8 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 Bet365
5 Centaq 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365
6 Coolnacritta 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 Bet365
7 Tommy Go Maith 50/1 open 13.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
8 Dark Berkshire 6/1 open 13.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 6/1 Bet365
9 Surviving Murmansk 14/1 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Invincible Oscar

Speculative

Invincible Oscar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Noel C. Kelly Mr O McGill(5)
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Pralognan

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · A. J. Martin
✓ Value Signal

Viceregent

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Liam Lennon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Invincible Oscar
54.7 2/1
2 1. Pralognan
53.6 5/2
3 5. Centaq
53.1 7/2
4 3. Pahlavi
47.8 15/2
5 8. Dark Berkshire
47.7 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Invincible Oscar
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 5 · 11-1
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 12-0
5/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾 —

SR 86 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 6 · 10-13
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 6 · 10-4
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 9 · 11-7
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 8 · 10-2
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Invincible Oscar
Confidence: Speculative

Invincible Oscar (SR:81, 9/4) is the most compelling package in this modest field. As the youngest runner at age 5, he carries the lightest weight among the leading SR horses at 11-1 — a meaningful 13lb advantage over top-weight Pralognan — and his recent form shows a win followed by improvement (Form:P80-61, rightmost being a '1'). The market has firmed 6% from opening, confirming quiet stable confidence. His amateur jockey Mr O McGill carries a strong 17% career strike rate from 152 rides, well above the field average, which is a notable positive signal in this grade. Each-way alternative: Pralognan. Main danger: Pralognan — Pralognan (SR:86, 11/4) is the highest-rated runner in the field, has course form (W1P1 at Downpatrick), and the market has steamed in 11% — the strongest move in the race — though his MarkMv:+30 and top-weight of 12-0 are serious concerns against a younger, lighter rival.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads P80-61 — the '8' and '0' (pulled up/fell/unseated) in recent starts suggest significant inconsistency; only one win sandwiched between poor runs, making reliability questionable.
  • Trainer Noel C. Kelly strikes at just 9% overall — modest for a horse sent off favourite at 9/4, and there's no course form recorded for Invincible Oscar at Downpatrick unlike Pralognan and Pahlavi w…
  • Market move is only +6% (in) while Pralognan has firmed 11% — the horse most strongly backed by the market is the top-rated runner (SR:86) at 11/4, suggesting smarter money may be against Invincible…
  • As a 5-year-old with the dash '-' in form (P80-61) indicating a seasonal break, there is a fitness/absence concern, and the amateur jockey Mr O McGill on only 152 career rides adds inexperience risk…
Shortlist Invincible Oscar, Pralognan, Centaq, Dark Berkshire
Each-way: Pralognan Danger: Pralognan

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m1f65y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Downpatrick Track and setting