Dundalk (AW) 18:00 RESULTED
9 Oct 2026

Friday 9 October Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I)

Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I) · 7f

Official Result

Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner In A Hurry (GB) Rory Cleary · Keith Henry Clarke
    28/1
  2. Second Rappell (IRE)
    11/2
  3. 4/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:15–17:20 · 8 races

Chepstow

13:22–17:31 · 8 races

York

13:30–17:00 · 7 races

Downpatrick

14:13–17:37 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:05–20:15 · 9 races

Dundalk (AW)

16:50–20:30 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 15 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Hastily silks
Hastily
Age 7 · 8-7
000909
35
19
41
7
8-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1
Hastily is hard to fancy, having finished ninth last time out and remained winless in her last six starts, with nothing better than a ninth in that spell. She has run over today's trip and going and is fit after ten days off, but that's about it.
AI verdict

SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

1
Barbapapa silks
Barbapapa
Age 7 · 10-4
3-0939
74
73
85
7
10-4
★★☆☆☆
—
7/2
Barbapapa is a leading threat, with a rating of 85 topping the 14-runner field and experience of both today's trip and going, plus a quick 11-day turnaround from stall one. The risk is a ninth last time out, and he is yet to win in his last five starts, though a third two starts back shows he can bounce back.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Mickey The Steel silks
Mickey The Steel
Age 8 · 10-1
373613
71
67
77
8
10-1
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 13/2 8/1
Mickey The Steel arrives fit after just nine days, a third last time out and a winner two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The risk is a 141 lb burden from stall 13, though our rating of 77 ranks him third of 14.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Leveraging silks
Leveraging
Age 3 · 9-12
1-0607
70
46
73
3
9-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 20/1 18/1
Leveraging has run over today's trip and going and is back quickly after 14 days, but a seventh last time out and just one win in his last five, five starts back, tell of waning form. Carrying 138 lb from draw 2, he looks mid-pack at best, with our rating of 72 only modest support.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

4
Lahore Da King silks
Lahore Da King
Age 4 · 9-11
107005
67
54
73
4
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 10/1 17/2
Lahore Da King has run over today's trip and on this going before, and our 73 puts him fourth of 14, but a fifth last time out is his best finish since a win six starts back. Risk is a 38-day absence and 137 lb from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Nazario silks
Nazario
Age 3 · 9-10
-44748
68
74
85
3
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
7/2 5/1 3/1
Nazario is our pick on overall profile: three fourths in his last five starts show he is consistently in the mix, and he has run over today's trip and going before. A fresh 31 days since an eighth last time out is the one reservation, though our rating of 85 ranks him second of 14.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
In A Hurry silks
In A Hurry
Age 4 · 9-8
892603
64
54
66
4
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 8/1 17/2
In A Hurry arrives fresh from a third last time out, 21 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going before, though she is winless in her last six and was only sixth three starts back. Carrying 134 lb from draw 15, she looks a midfield type, with our rating of 66 just above her official mark of 64.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Glendower silks
Glendower
Age 5 · 9-7
9/3579
63
34
69
5
9-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 28/1 33/1
Glendower is winless in his last five and was beaten into ninth last time, though a third four starts back shows some ability, and he has run over today's trip and going. A 54-day break and 133 lb from stall 10 temper enthusiasm, despite our rating of 69 ranking him seventh of 14.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

8
Rappell silks
Rappell
Age 5 · 9-7
621034
63
67
72
5
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 5/1 7/1
Rappell comes in with a fourth last time out and a third two starts back, having won four starts back, and he's fresh enough after 18 days. He has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 133 lb from stall 14 and ranked sixth of 14 by our rating, he looks more a player than a standout.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Battle Borne silks
Battle Borne
Age 4 · 9-6
020809
62
32
62
4
9-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
40/1 25/1 40/1
Battle Borne is hard to fancy, beaten into ninth last time out and winless in his last six, with a second five starts back the only bright spot. He has run over today's trip and going, and 21 days off is fine, but our figures rank him 11th of 14.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

10
Elusive Duke silks
Elusive Duke
Age 4 · 9-6
227200
62
54
66
4
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 7/1 11/1
Elusive Duke is yet to win in his last six starts, though he has been second three times in that spell, the latest three starts back, and has run over today's trip on this going. Unplaced in his last two and carrying 132 lb from stall 11, he looks a mid-pack type.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Iff In Doubt silks
Iff In Doubt
Age 3 · 9-4
-41250
62
65
67
3
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 FCST 7/1
Iff In Doubt won four starts back and was second three starts back, but he was unplaced last time and has been off for 89 days, so fitness is a question. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 67 sits eighth of 14 from stall eight.
AI verdict

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Evangelic silks
Evangelic
Age 4 · 9-0
4040-0
56
31
61
4
9-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 50/1 66/1
Winless in his last five and unplaced in his last two, Evangelic has little recent form to lean on, and a 45-day layoff adds to the doubt. A fourth three starts back is his best finish lately, though he has run over today's trip and drew stall three, while our rating ranks him last of 14.
AI verdict

SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

13
Beat The Devil silks
Beat The Devil
Age 4 · 8-12
506098
54
54
61
4
8-12
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 13/2 10/1
Winless in his last six, Beat The Devil was eighth last time out, ninth two starts back and unplaced three starts back, so he is hard to fancy. In his favour, he has run over today's trip and going before, is fit after 14 days, and is drawn seven.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Jess Abi silks
Jess Abi
Age 4 · 8-10
50078-
52
43
62
4
8-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 FCST 16/1
Jess Abi is winless in her last five, with an eighth last time out and a seventh the start before, and a 303-day absence raises fitness doubts. She has run over today's trip and going, and an official 52 gives some hope, but our rating of 62 ranks her twelfth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Hastily 33/1 50/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 50/1 Paddy Power
1 Barbapapa 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 Paddy Power
2 Mickey The Steel 17/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 Bet365
3 Leveraging 20/1 18/1 open 21.00 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 Bet365
4 Lahore Da King 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 12.00 17/2 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 Bet365
5 Nazario 7/2 open 7.50 3/1 open 6.00 10/3 open 7.00 10/3 open 7.00 10/3 open 7.00 10/3 open 6.50 7/2 Bet365
6 In A Hurry 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 Bet365
7 Glendower 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Rappell 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 Coral
9 Battle Borne 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 Bet365
10 Elusive Duke 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 Bet365
11 Iff In Doubt 15/2 open 8.00 7/1 open 8.50 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 15/2 Bet365
12 Evangelic 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 66/1 Bet365
13 Beat The Devil 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 Bet365
14 Jess Abi 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Nazario

Speculative

Nazario owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 J. P. Murtagh Ben Coen
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Barbapapa

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Henry de Bromhead
✓ Value Signal

Battle Borne

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Patrick J McKenna
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Nazario
51.2 7/2
2 1. Barbapapa
50.4 7/2
3 8. Rappell
49.0 7/1
4 2. Mickey The Steel
46.1 17/2
5 4. Lahore Da King
44.7 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Nazario
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 7 · 10-4
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-10
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 9-7
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-4
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 8 · 10-1
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 9-11
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-8
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 4 · 8-12
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 4 · 8-10
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾 —

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Age 3 · 9-12
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾 —

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Nazario
Confidence: Speculative

Nazario (SR:74, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a manageable 9-10, giving him a meaningful weight advantage over top-weight Barbapapa (SR:73, 10-4) — 8lb lighter for essentially the same ability level. The market has moved emphatically in his favour, shortening 37% since opening, which is the most aggressive market move in the entire field and signals strong informed confidence. His GoingFit:+ confirms he handles this good AW surface well, and trainer J.P. Murtagh (11% strike rate) booking Ben Coen (11% strike rate) is a strong connections pairing. His form of -44748 shows consistency without a win recently, but the class, weight, and market signals all converge here. Each-way alternative: Barbapapa. Main danger: Barbapapa — Barbapapa (SR:73) matches Nazario on ability, has a course record of W3P6 at Dundalk which is the best course form in the field, and has shortened 16% in the market — the weight burden at 10-4 is the only real concern, but his Dundalk specialisation could overcome it.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Nazario has zero course wins from 2 Dundalk starts (W0P2), suggesting he has repeatedly failed to convert here despite placing — this track may not suit him.
  • Form of -44748 shows he has not won in at least 5 starts; a 3yo competing in a competitive 15-runner handicap against experienced older horses (ages 7, 8) who know this AW track.
  • 31 days since last run — the longest absence among the leading fancies — and he carries the headgear (tp) flag, suggesting he needs equipment to focus, raising a fitness/condition question.
  • Barbapapa (10/3, W3P6 at Dundalk) has a vastly superior course record and is trained by Henry de Bromhead (16% strike rate), far outpacing Murtagh's 11%, making the 8lb weight concession insufficient…
Shortlist Nazario, Barbapapa, Rappell, In A Hurry
Each-way: Barbapapa Danger: Barbapapa

🗺 The Course Race conditions

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
15 Confirmed runners
Dundalk (AW) Track and setting