Downpatrick 17:37 RESULTED
9 Oct 2026

Friday 9 October Northern Ireland On Course Bookmakers Association Handicap Steeplechase

Northern Ireland On Course Bookmakers Association Handicap Steeplechase · 2m7f150y

Official Result

Northern Ireland On Course Bookmakers Association Handicap Steeplechase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Schiehallion (IRE) Alix Balfe · Dermot A McLoughlin
    13/2
  2. 100/30F
  3. 33/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

Newmarket

13:15–17:20 · 8 races

Chepstow

13:22–17:31 · 8 races

York

13:30–17:00 · 7 races

Downpatrick

14:13–17:37 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

16:05–20:15 · 9 races

Dundalk (AW)

16:50–20:30 · 8 races

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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Custers Mistake silks
Custers Mistake
Age 9 · 12-0
/821-P
100
71
105
9
12-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 14/1 16/1
Custers Mistake won two starts back and was second the run before, while he has run over today's trip and going and arrives fresh after 28 days off; our rating of 104 ranks him second of 14. The risk is that he was pulled up last time out, and he carries 168 lb.
AI verdict

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

2
Lecale's Diamond silks
Lecale's Diamond
Age 6 · 11-8
6-4189
94
88
94
6
11-8
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 5/1 9/2
Lecale's Diamond won three starts back and has run over today's trip and on this going before, while his 162 lb burden is a hefty one to shoulder. The main risk is a fading profile: he was a ninth last time out, an eighth before that, and has been off for 49 days.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Three By Two silks
Three By Two
Age 10 · 11-8
P0476-
94
76
117
10
11-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 10/1 12/1
Our top-rated runner, Three By Two has run over today's trip and going before, and she returns after 247 days off carrying 162 lb. Winless in her last five and a sixth last time out is the reservation, but our 117 sits well clear of her official 94.
AI verdict

SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

4
Shantou Show silks
Shantou Show
Age 10 · 11-7
-73P55
93
74
95
10
11-7
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 FCST 9/1
Shantou Show comes in fresh after 21 days off, with back-to-back fifths and a third four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 161 lb off 93, he's yet to win in his last five, so the weight is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Bayonetta silks
Bayonetta
Age 8 · 11-4
422439
90
81
93
8
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 10/1 11/2
Bayonetta is yet to score in her last six, though a third two starts back and a pair of seconds earlier show she's rarely far away, and she has run over today's trip and going. A ninth last time out and 158 lb temper enthusiasm after 42 days off, despite our rating of 93 sitting fifth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
King Gris silks
King Gris
Age 6 · 11-4
15-570
90
71
83
6
11-4
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 11/2 10/1
King Gris has been trending the wrong way since winning five starts back, finishing a fifth, then a fifth, a seventh and unplaced last time, though he has run on today's going before and returns after 21 days. Carrying 158 lb off an official mark of 90, he looks a midfield sort, and our rating of 82 ranks him ninth of 14.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Fr Gilligansvoyge silks
Fr Gilligansvoyge
Age 13 · 11-2
211206
88
57
79
13
11-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 20/1 28/1
Sixth last time out and unplaced the start before, Fr Gilligansvoyge has cooled since winning twice, four and five starts back, and he carries 156 lb off an official mark of 88. He has run over this trip and going and is fresh from nine days ago, but our rating ranks him 12th of 14.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

8
Schiehallion silks
Schiehallion
Age 9 · 11-2
-P5P04
88
73
93
9
11-2
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 6/1 10/1
Fourth last time out and fresh enough after 21 days, Schiehallion has run over today's trip and going, but he is winless in his last five and was pulled up twice in that spell. Our rating of 93 sits above his official 88, though 156 lb is a hefty burden.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Mobile Mamma silks
Mobile Mamma
Age 7 · 10-13
3-2036
85
76
82
7
10-13
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 8/1 13/2
Winless in her last five, Mobile Mamma was sixth last time out, 9 days ago, and carries 153 lb off 85, which is a hard sell. She has run over today's trip and going and was third two starts back, but our figures rank her 11th of 14.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Mini Getaway silks
Mini Getaway
Age 9 · 10-11
4-3031
83
85
78
9
10-11
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 FCST 11/4
Fresh from a win last time out and back within nine days, Mini Getaway has experience of today's trip and going, but she carries 151 lb off an official mark of 83. Our rating of 78 ranks her 13th of 14, so she is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Technology silks
Technology
Age 9 · 10-11
-F0209
83
78
83
9
10-11
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 7/1 15/2
Technology was ninth last time out just four days ago, with a second three starts back his best recent effort, and he is yet to win in his last five starts. He has run over today's trip and going, but carries 151 lb for a yard struggling at 1/31 lately.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Malton Groove silks
Malton Groove
Age 9 · 10-6
7236FP
78
51
90
9
10-6
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 16/1 25/1
Malton Groove was pulled up last time and fell two starts back, but a third four starts back and a second five starts back show he has ability, and he has run over today's trip and going. Quick back out after nine days, and winless in his last six, he carries 146 lb.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

13
Mastermind silks
Mastermind
Age 12 · 10-2
3301-6
74
67
70
12
10-2
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 12/1 20/1
Mastermind was sixth last time out after a win two starts back, but a 154-day absence and a 142 lb burden are hard to overlook, and our figures rank him 14th of 14. In his favour, he has run over today's trip and on this going before.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Subset silks
Subset
Age 12 · 10-0
F/2-P0
72
51
91
12
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
100/1 50/1 100/1
Subset has been in and out lately, unplaced last time out and pulled up two starts back, though a second three starts back shows some ability, and he has run over today's trip and going. Back after 20 days, he carries 140 lb off 72, while our rating of 91 puts him seventh of 14.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Custers Mistake 20/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 Coral
2 Lecale's Diamond 9/2 open 11.00 5/1 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 Paddy Power
3 Three By Two 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Shantou Show 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 10/1 10/1 Bet365
5 Bayonetta 6/1 open 15.00 6/1 open 11.00 11/2 open 13.00 11/2 open 13.00 6/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 12.00 6/1 Bet365
6 King Gris 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 Bet365
7 Fr Gilligansvoyge 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Schiehallion 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 Bet365
9 Mobile Mamma 7/1 open 10.00 13/2 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 Bet365
10 Mini Getaway 3/1 open 3.75 11/4 open 4.00 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 Bet365
11 Technology 17/2 open 10.00 15/2 open 8.00 8/1 8/1 17/2 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 Bet365
12 Malton Groove 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 28/1 Bet365
13 Mastermind 22/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 Bet365
14 Subset 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lecale's Diamond

Speculative

Lecale's Diamond owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Gavin Cromwell Keith Donoghue
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mini Getaway

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · M M Lynch
✓ Value Signal

Malton Groove

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Dermot A McLoughlin
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Lecale's Diamond
55.9 9/2
2 10. Mini Getaway
52.2 3/1
3 9. Mobile Mamma
51.1 7/1
4 5. Bayonetta
51.0 6/1
5 11. Technology
50.4 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Mini Getaway
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

10
Age 9 · 10-11
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 11-8
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 8 · 11-4
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 7 · 10-13
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 9 · 10-11
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 10 · 11-7
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 6 · 11-4
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 9 · 11-2
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 10 · 11-8
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

1
Age 9 · 12-0
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾 —

SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Mini Getaway
Confidence: Speculative

Mini Getaway (SR:85, 11/4) is the clear class leader in this modest 14-runner handicap, carrying a workable 10-11 and posting a last-run win (form reads 4-3031, rightmost = 1) over a similar trip where DistFit:+ confirms genuine proven ability at this distance. The trainer M M Lynch has a compact yard but the horse's recent course place (Course:W0P1), combined with GoingFit:~ suggesting no real going concern on Good ground, ticks enough boxes. The 11/4 market position reflects genuine confidence in a field where the next-best SR is 88 (Lecale's Diamond) but that rival is off a mark 7lb higher than last win and is a 6yo whose form (6-4189) shows inconsistency. Each-way alternative: Lecale's Diamond. Main danger: Lecale's Diamond — Lecale's Diamond (SR:88, 11/2) has steamed in 22% in the market and Gavin Cromwell with Keith Donoghue is a sharp combination — if the blinkers (first-time headgear context) sharpen a horse whose raw SR tops the field, the market money could be right.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Mini Getaway's handicap mark has risen 7lb (MarkMv:+7) following that last-run win, so today's 10-11 is a stiffer ask than the winning mark — first run off a penalty in a competitive 14-runner field.
  • Trainer M M Lynch has a very small yard (only 22 runners recorded) with a 9% strike rate, giving minimal statistical depth; a compact operation at a track where Course:W0P1 shows no course win.
  • Bayonetta (SR:81, 9/1) has drifted in 25% in the market and boasts Course:W0P4 — far superior course form — and carries 7lb less, making it a live pace/course threat that could outrun Mini Getaway's…
  • The form string 4-3031 contains a 0 (last-but-one run was a well-beaten finish), suggesting Mini Getaway is not consistently at peak — one below-par effort in recent starts raises bounce risk after t…
Shortlist Mini Getaway, Lecale's Diamond, Bayonetta, Mobile Mamma
Each-way: Lecale's Diamond Danger: Lecale's Diamond

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m7f150y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Downpatrick Track and setting