York 14:40 RESULTED
Class 2 9 Oct 2026

Friday 9 October William Hill Finale Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

William Hill Finale Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) · 1m5f188y

Official Result

William Hill Finale Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Harper Violet (IRE) Clifford Lee · K. R. Burke
    9/2
  2. 12/1
  3. 6/1
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Big race Sat 17 Oct Balmoral Handicap Stakes (sponsored By Qatar Racing) Ascot · 16:35

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tierra Del Toro silks
Tierra Del Toro
Age 3 · 9-9
2-3944
96
95
103
3
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 FCST 11/4
Tierra Del Toro is the one to beat: he has finished fourth in each of his last two, with a second and a third also in his last five, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our figure of 103 tops the field, though 48 days off is a small reservation.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Glory Road silks
Glory Road
Age 3 · 9-6
-32101
93
96
98
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 7/2 4/1
Glory Road arrives in cracking nick, a winner last time out and again three starts back, with a second and a third also in his last five, and he's back quickly after 14 days. He has run over today's trip and going, but 132 lb is a notable burden and the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Mythical Bay silks
Mythical Bay
Age 3 · 9-4
231197
91
88
98
3
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 15/2 9/1
Mythical Bay won twice in a row three and four starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 98 ranks him second of ten. The risk is a pair of poor efforts since, a ninth and a seventh, after 34 days off.
AI verdict

SR 88 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Harper Violet silks
Harper Violet
Age 3 · 9-0
3-41
87
90
89
3
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 15/2 5/1
Harper Violet won last time out, with a fourth two starts back and a third three starts back, and she has run on today's going before, so the profile is solid. Carrying 126 lb off an official mark of 87 after 30 days off, she looks a mid-pack type, ranked fifth of ten by our rating.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Baltic Fleet silks
Baltic Fleet
Age 3 · 8-13
232P38
86
80
93
3
8-13
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 18/1 12/1
Baltic Fleet has frequently been in the frame, with a third two starts back and a second four starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before; our rating of 93 sits well above his official 86 and makes him a serious threat. The one concern is a disappointing eighth last time out and a 48-day break.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Bintknight silks
Bintknight
Age 3 · 8-10
512141
83
92
85
3
8-10
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 12/1 15/2
Bintknight arrives in fine heart, a winner last time out, a fourth two starts back, and a winner three starts back, with three wins in her last six and a fresh 21-day break. She has run on today's going, but 122 lb and a seventh-ranked rating of 85 in this field suggest a midfield finish.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Prince of Calypso silks
Prince of Calypso
Age 3 · 8-10
373151
77
77
84
3
8-10
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 11/2 28/1
Prince of Calypso won last time out and has a win three starts back too, with a fifth in between, and he is fresh from a run nine days ago and has run on today's going. Our figures rank him only eighth of ten, though, and carrying 122 lb makes him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Itica silks
Itica
Age 3 · 8-8
-56172
81
84
80
3
8-8
★★★☆☆
—
12/1 11/1 9/1
Last-time-out second is a decent calling card, but Itica was seventh two starts back and has won just once in his last five, so consistency is a worry. He has run over today's trip and is fresh from 14 days ago, yet our rating of 80 ranks him last of ten.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Gaspacho silks
Gaspacho
Age 3 · 8-7
511-4
80
93
83
3
8-7
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 11/2 9/2
Gaspacho banked back-to-back wins before a fourth last time out, so the form isn't poor, and she has run on today's going after 31 days off. Even so, our figures rank her ninth of ten and she carries 119 lb off 80, which makes her hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Bridge of Eagles silks
Bridge of Eagles
Age 3 · 8-5
-16333
78
80
88
3
8-5
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 10/1 17/2
Bridge of Eagles has finished third in each of his last three starts, and a win five starts back shows he can get it done, while he has run over today's trip and going before. Off 117 lb after 34 days off, he's consistent but has been missing a gear, with our rating of 88 only sixth best of ten.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tierra Del Toro 3/1 open 4.33 10/3 open 4.00 3/1 3/1 3/1 open 3.75 11/4 open 4.00 10/3 Paddy Power
2 Glory Road 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 Bet365
3 Mythical Bay 12/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 Bet365
4 Harper Violet 5/1 open 9.50 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.50 11/2 open 9.50 11/2 open 8.50 5/1 open 9.00 11/2 Paddy Power
5 Baltic Fleet 12/1 open 34.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 26.00 14/1 William Hill
6 Bintknight 15/2 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 15/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 8/1 Paddy Power
7 Prince of Calypso 28/1 open 6.50 28/1 open 7.00 28/1 open 8.00 28/1 open 8.00 28/1 open 8.00 28/1 open 8.00 28/1 Bet365
8 Itica 12/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 11/1 12/1 14/1 Paddy Power
9 Gaspacho 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
10 Bridge of Eagles 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tierra Del Toro

Speculative

Tierra Del Toro owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Ralph Beckett Jason Hart
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Glory Road

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Ralph Beckett
✓ Value Signal

Prince of Calypso

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Edward Bethell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Tierra Del Toro
58.3 3/1
2 2. Glory Road
56.1 4/1
3 9. Gaspacho
55.7 9/2
4 4. Harper Violet
54.9 5/1
5 6. Bintknight
54.4 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Harper Violet
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-9
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-6
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾 —

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 8-7
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-0
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 8-10
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 8-5
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 8-13
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 8-8
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Harper Violet
Confidence: Speculative

Harper Violet (SR 90, 11/2) has shortened 30% in the market — the strongest steam among the credible SR-range contenders — and arrives on a 3-4-1 form line that shows a last-time-out win. Carrying 9-0, she has a clear weight edge over Tierra Del Toro (9-9) and Glory Road (9-6) while posting a comparable SR. The K.R. Burke yard runs at a 20% career strike rate with Clifford Lee at 17%, and the step up one class is a risk mitigated by the fact the market is actively backing her into this. The principal uncertainty is both DistFit and GoingFit are unproven (?), but with no negative flags and a 30% market move this morning, the money is doing the talking. Each-way alternative: Gaspacho. Main danger: Gaspacho — Gaspacho (SR 93, 4/1) carries the joint-highest SR in the field, has shortened 31% in the market, is trained by William Haggas (23% career strike rate — the best trainer stat in this field), and while the +10 mark rise and a step up two classes are concerns, the raw ability and market confidence make it the most credible threat to Harper Violet.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Both DistFit and GoingFit are unproven (?), meaning Harper Violet has no demonstrated evidence she handles today's specific York conditions — a significant unknown at Group level.
  • Form line of 3-4-1 is very thin: only three runs visible, the '4' sandwiched between placings suggests inconsistency, and the LTO win may have been in weaker company than today's SR-95/96 rivals.
  • Bintknight (SR:92, 15/2) has drifted only slightly yet shows a 512141 form line — six runs of recent evidence including a last-time-out win, far more exposed and battle-hardened than Harper Violet's…
  • A class rise combined with top weight rivals posting SR 95-96 — five to six points above Harper Violet's SR 90 — means the weight advantage (9-0 vs 9-9) may not compensate for a genuine ability gap a…
Shortlist Harper Violet, Gaspacho, Bintknight, Tierra Del Toro
Each-way: Gaspacho Danger: Gaspacho

🗺 The Course Class 2

1m5f188y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
York Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade