Chepstow 13:57 RESULTED
Class 4 9 Oct 2026

Friday 9 October Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)

Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race) · 2m16y

Official Result

Wasdell Group Novices' Hurdle Race (Div II) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Saint Jeannais (FR) Sam Twiston-Davies · Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
    5/6F
  2. 7/4
  3. 5/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Dutch Corner silks
Dutch Corner
Age 5 · 11-7
33216-
117
121
117OR
5
11-7
★★★☆☆
—
2/1 11/10 32/17
SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Saint Jeannais silks
Saint Jeannais
Age 6 · 11-7
14-1
—
158
—
6
11-7
★★★★☆
—
8/13 10/11 9/17
SR 158 backed by market confidence at 5/6 — a genuine contender.
AI verdict

SR 158 backed by market confidence at 5/6 — a genuine contender.

3
Cheap Sandwiches silks
Cheap Sandwiches
Age 5 · 11-0
/2445-
—
122
—
5
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 14/1 11/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Sharu silks
Sharu
Age 5 · 11-0
70-622
107
90
107OR
5
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 15/2 20/1
SR 90 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Short Sell silks
Short Sell
Age 5 · 11-0
31-8
—
127
—
5
11-0
★★☆☆☆
—
66/1 25/1 40/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Hive Runner silks
Hive Runner
Age 4 · 10-13
1-
—
145
—
4
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 6/1 17/2
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Look Don't Stare silks
Look Don't Stare
Age 4 · 10-13
997-
—
121
—
4
10-13
★★☆☆☆
—
300/1 125/1 200/1
SR 121 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 121 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Morissette silks
Morissette
Age 6 · 10-7
3253-4
—
127
—
6
10-7
★★★☆☆
—
66/1 25/1 40/1
SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Detroit Bay silks
Detroit Bay
Age 4 · 10-6
4P0-
—
121
—
4
10-6
★★☆☆☆
—
250/1 100/1 200/1
SR 121 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 121 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Shirleynightingale silks
Shirleynightingale
Age 4 · 10-6
84-
—
126
—
4
10-6
★★☆☆☆
—
80/1 FCST 50/1
SR 126 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 126 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Dutch Corner 2/1 open 2.10 2/1 open 2.25 15/8 open 2.25 15/8 open 2.25 2/1 open 2.38 15/8 open 2.25 2/1 Bet365
2 Saint Jeannais 8/13 open 2.88 4/7 open 2.25 8/15 open 2.00 8/15 open 1.91 4/7 open 1.91 4/7 open 1.91 8/13 Bet365
3 Cheap Sandwiches 14/1 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Sharu 28/1 open 10.00 25/1 open 8.50 20/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 9.00 25/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 9.00 28/1 Bet365
5 Short Sell 66/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 66/1 Bet365
6 Hive Runner 10/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.00 10/1 Bet365
7 Look Don't Stare 300/1 open 126.00 250/1 open 151.00 200/1 open 151.00 200/1 open 151.00 250/1 open 151.00 200/1 open 151.00 300/1 Bet365
8 Morissette 66/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 66/1 Bet365
9 Detroit Bay 250/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 151.00 250/1 Bet365
10 Shirleynightingale 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 open 67.00 80/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Saint Jeannais

High conviction

Saint Jeannais owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/13 Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies
79% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Hive Runner

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/1 · Tom Lacey
✓ Value Signal

Morissette

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Dean Summersby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Saint Jeannais
71.9 8/13
2 6. Hive Runner
65.7 10/1
3 1. Dutch Corner
61.6 2/1
4 3. Cheap Sandwiches
56.2 14/1
5 8. Morissette
54.1 66/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Saint Jeannais
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 11-7
8/13
★★★★☆ SR 158 🐾 —

SR 158 backed by market confidence at 5/6 — a genuine contender.

1
Age 5 · 11-7
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 121 🐾 —

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 10-13
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 145 🐾 —

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 11-0
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 122 🐾 —

SR 122 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Saint Jeannais
Confidence: Medium

Saint Jeannais (SR:158, 5/6) is in a different ability class to every other runner — a 13-point gap over the next-best Hive Runner (SR:145) and a 31-point gap over the market's second choice Dutch Corner (SR:121). The form string 14-1 shows a win last time out and a strong recent profile, and the market has moved in 12% confirming stable confidence and money behind the selection. The Twiston-Davies yard operates at 13% strike rate with Sam aboard at 17%, solid connections for a yard that sends horses ready to run. While DistFit and GoingFit are marked '?' (novice hurdler with limited sample), the SR dominance here is so pronounced that the absence of confirmed distance/going preference is a minor concern against this calibre of opposition at Class 4 level. Each-way alternative: Dutch Corner. Main danger: Hive Runner — Hive Runner (SR:145) has a form string of 1- showing a win on debut, is from the in-form Tom Lacey yard (19% strike rate), and at 4 years old with a 7lb weight advantage over Saint Jeannais could outrun a 10/1 price if the novice hurdling experience gap matters early in the race.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string '14-1' contains a '-' suggesting a break in running — Days field is missing, raising the possibility of a significant absence before today's race with unknown fitness implications.
  • DistFit and GoingFit both marked '?' — for a novice hurdler at Chepstow in October (likely soft/heavy ground), unproven stamina and going suitability are material unknowns, not merely minor ones.
  • Dutch Corner (SR:121, 5/4 market leader) is trained by Dan Skelton (22% strike rate) with Harry Skelton aboard (26%) — the market has marginally preferred Skelton's runner, suggesting sharp connectio…
  • The Twiston-Davies yard strike rate of 13% is modest; Sam Twiston-Davies at 17% is solid but not elite — against Skelton's 22%/26% combination, the training edge clearly favours the opposition.
Shortlist Saint Jeannais, Hive Runner, Dutch Corner
Each-way: Dutch Corner Danger: Hive Runner

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m16y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade